A. Italiano vs D. La Serena Prediction

A. Italiano
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
D. La Serena
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago·Miguel Araos, Chile 13/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
A. Italiano Rest
5 days
D. La Serena Rest
5 days

A. Italiano vs D. La Serena: result, form and history

A. Italiano and D. La Serena drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 13 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

A. Italiano have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.95
X
24%3.50
2
24%3.58
Double Chance
1X
76%1.26
X2
48%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.62
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.16 = 2.80
Over 1.5
80%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.75
Over 3.5
35%2.75
Under 1.5
20%3.90
Under 2.5
42%2.04
Under 3.5
65%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.67
Over 9.5
45%2.00
Over 10.5
33%2.87
Under 8.5
42%2.10
Under 9.5
55%1.72
Under 10.5
67%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.8
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

33'F. ChamorroFoul
44'A. Zanini INJ. Gutierrez out
46'B. Soto INI. Fuenzalida out
53'B. GutierrezFoul
55'M. Collao INV. Zenteno out
62'E. Matus INP. Guajardo out
62'F. Troyansky IND. Coelho out
66'F. Chamorro INA. Henriquez out
66'M. Pinto INS. Diaz out
74'G. EscalanteAssist: J. Vargas
79'M. Fuentes INF. Loyola out
79'F. Mateos INM. Sandoval out
80'E. FerrarioFoul
82'D. CoelhoAssist: G. Chiaverano
87'M. Marin INF. Diaz out
89'D. CoelhoUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+5'J. Vargas INM. Velasquez out

Lineups

A. Italiano
3-5-2Coach: Gustavo Lema
D. La Serena
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Bozan
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.73
Tomás Ahumada7.21T. Ahumada
Enzo Ferrario7.313E. Ferrario
Marco CollaoC6.68M. Collao
Daniel Piña7.34D. Piña
Raimundo Rebolledo7.335R. Rebolledo
Federico Mateos6.328F. Mateos
Bryan Soto6.332B. Soto
Michael Vadulli7.227M. Vadulli
Esteban Matus6.523E. Matus
Giovani Chiaverano6.921G. Chiaverano
Franco Troyansky6.311F. Troyansky
José Tapia6.531J. Tapia
Bruno Gutiérrez6.921B. Gutiérrez
Andrés Zanini6.62A. Zanini
Rafael Delgado6.733R. Delgado
Yahir Salazar6.917Y. Salazar
Francis Mac Allister7.24F. Mac Allister
Gonzalo Escalante7.78G. Escalante
Matías Pinto6.929M. Pinto
Felipe Chamorro6.714F. Chamorro
Jeisson VargasC7.210J. Vargas
Matías Marín5.623M. Marín

A. Italiano Substitutes

33Ignacio Fuenzalida46'for B. Soto6.3
2Vicente Zenteno55'for M. Collao7.2
7Paolo Guajardo62'for E. Matus6.3
9Diego Coelho62'for F. Troyansky82'89'7.3
6Mario Sandoval79'replaced by F. Mateos6.3
17Favian Loyola79'for M. Fuentes6.9
25Pedro Garrido
20Martín Jiménez
14Diego Monreal

D. La Serena Substitutes

16Joaquín Gutiérrez44'for A. Zanini6.3
6Sebastián Díaz6.6
9Ángelo Henríquez66'for F. Chamorro6.5
24Fabricio Diaz6.7
20Milovan Velásquez90+5'for J. Vargas
26Fernando Dinamarca
28Joan Orellana
19Bastián Sandoval
12Maximo Hernandez

Match Stats

A. ItalianoD. La Serena
50%Ball Possession50%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal11
7Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box10
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls6
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
389Total Passes391
293Passes Accurate289
75%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
1563Elo Rating 1539
0.42Attack 1.36
1.87Defense 1.55
0%Hit Rate 37%
16.9Shots per Game 11.9
6.7Shots on Target 4.6
6.3Corners per Game 4.8
4.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

A. ItalianoA. Italiano4Wins · 67%
Draws00%
D. La SerenaD. La Serena2Wins · 33%
3.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Primera División25/10/2025
D. La SerenaA. Italiano
21
Primera División04/05/2025
A. ItalianoD. La Serena
21
Primera División06/11/2022
A. ItalianoD. La Serena
30
Primera División28/05/2022
D. La SerenaA. Italiano
32
Primera División26/08/2021
D. La SerenaA. Italiano
02
Primera División31/03/2021
A. ItalianoD. La Serena
21

Recent Form

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
2W4D4L
07/06/2026
Universidad de ChileA. Italiano
22
D
01/06/2026
PalestinoA. Italiano
00
D
28/05/2026
OlimpiaA. Italiano
31
L
23/05/2026
A. ItalianoCobresal
21
W
20/05/2026
A. ItalianoBarracas Central
20
W
16/05/2026
Coquimbo UnidoA. Italiano
30
L
07/05/2026
A. ItalianoVasco DA Gama
12
L
29/04/2026
Barracas CentralA. Italiano
11
D
25/04/2026
A. ItalianoDeportes Limache
22
D
20/04/2026
HuachipatoA. Italiano
32
L
D. La SerenaD. La Serena
3W3D4L
07/06/2026
D. La SerenaUnion La Calera
02
L
30/05/2026
D. La SerenaColo Colo
24
L
24/05/2026
D. La SerenaDeportes Limache
41
W
16/05/2026
PalestinoD. La Serena
51
L
26/04/2026
D. La SerenaHuachipato
00
D
19/04/2026
ConcepciónD. La Serena
33
D
11/04/2026
D. La SerenaEverton de Vina
10
W
06/04/2026
Universidad de ChileD. La Serena
40
L
16/03/2026
NublenseD. La Serena
22
D
06/03/2026
D. La SerenaUnion La Calera
30
W

Referee Profile

Miguel Araos109 matches

5.85Cards per match
5.41Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
21.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Miguel Araos5.85
Other referees5.87

5.85 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.87).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the A. Italiano vs D. La Serena forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

A. Italiano and D. La Serena in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, D. La Serena are 9th and A. Italiano 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: A. Italiano 28-36, D. La Serena 40-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.