AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa Prediction

AEK Larnaca
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Karmiotissa
AEK Arena, Larnaca·Andreas Tehrany, Cyprus 06/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.18
SignalHIGHModel78%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
AEK Larnaca Rest
6 days
Karmiotissa Rest
3 days

AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: result, form and history

AEK Larnaca beat Karmiotissa 4-1 in the 1. Division on 6 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AEK Larnaca have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. AEK Larnaca tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 1.0 for Karmiotissa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.18
X
15%6.50
2
9%13.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
24%4.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.02
No
52%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.53 + 0.81 = 3.34
Over 1.5
82%1.11
Over 2.5
67%1.40
Over 3.5
45%2.06
Under 1.5
18%5.33
Under 2.5
33%2.62
Under 3.5
55%1.70
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

36'G. Ekpolo
42'R. Bajic
44'A. Layouni
45+2'D. A. Reynolds
46'Julio Cesar INC. Wheeler out
54'R. Garcia
58'S. Kohler
60'T. Kyprou INI. Savvidis out
60'P. Psychas INJ. Pawirodihardjo out
64'R. Bajic INA. Trica out
68'A. Layouni IND. Ivanovic out
68'Y. Chacon INY. Amyn out
70'M. Kokkinoftas INM. Bajunovic out
72'C. Wheeler
79'J. Smaira INM. Theocharous out
84'N. Andereggen INK. Mrabti out
84'K. Pileas INB. Olivan out
85'E. Saborit
90+2'A. Trica

Lineups

AEK Larnaca
3-4-1-2
Karmiotissa
4-4-2
Alberto Paleari92A. Paleari
Godswill Ekpolo22G. Ekpolo
Hrvoje Miličević15H. Miličević
Enric Saborit4E. Saborit
Amor Layouni14A. Layouni
Sven Köhler23S. Köhler
Ivan Chavdarov Pankov6I. Chavdarov Pankov
Kostas Pileas17K. Pileas
Yerson Chacón10Y. Chacón
Riad Bajić11R. Bajić
Nicolas Andereggen33N. Andereggen
Nikos Giannakopoulos1N. Giannakopoulos
Rubén García22R. García
Jad Smaira44J. Smaira
Curtis Yebli8C. Yebli
Julio César33J. César
Petros Psychas21P. Psychas
Marios Kokkinoftas20M. Kokkinoftas
Alastair Reynolds10A. Reynolds
Nassim Ouammou42N. Ouammou
Patrick Luan9P. Luan
Theodosis Kyprou17T. Kyprou

AEK Larnaca Substitutes

51Andreas Paraskevas
2Petros Ioannou
3Mike Van der Hoorn
5Brian Oliván84'for K. Pileas
44Zacharias Adoni
7Gus Ledes
8Youssef Amyn68'for Y. Chacon
9Đorđe Ivanović68'for A. Layouni
25Chambos Kyriakou
29Giorgos Naoum
19Atanas Trică64'for R. Bajic90+2'
28Kerim Mrabti84'for N. Andereggen

Karmiotissa Substitutes

6Christos Wheeler46'for Julio Cesar72'
18Andreas Violaris
24Charalampos Pavlou
57Artemis Spanos
97Angelos Argyriou
7Mateja Bajunovic
11Iakovos Savvidis60'for T. Kyprou
23Alexandre Kutateladze
30Marios Theocharous
70Themistoklis Themistokleous
34Jael Pawaridihadjo

Team Comparison

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
KarmiotissaKarmiotissa
1718Elo Rating 1488
2.40Attack 1.06
1.80Defense 0.81
46%Hit Rate 42%
10.2Shots per Game 8.0
4.7Shots on Target 3.0
6.1Corners per Game 1.0
5.0Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+230 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.34 goals

Game State Tendencies

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
KarmiotissaKarmiotissa
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca7Wins · 88%
Draws112%
KarmiotissaKarmiotissa0Wins · 0%
2.9Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

1. Division22/02/2025
KarmiotissaAEK Larnaca
03
1. Division25/11/2024
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
20
1. Division26/01/2024
KarmiotissaAEK Larnaca
13
1. Division21/10/2023
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
50
1. Division04/02/2023
KarmiotissaAEK Larnaca
13
1. Division30/10/2022
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
40
1. Division23/12/2020
AEK LarnacaKarmiotissa
10
1. Division13/09/2020
KarmiotissaAEK Larnaca
00

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca962119:8+1120WDWDW
2Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia953117:6+1118WWLDW
3AELAEL960314:14018WLLWW
4Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia952221:11+1017WWWDW
5Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol944121:11+1016LDWWW
6PafosPafos944113:7+616WDDDW
7ArisAris943213:13015LWWDW
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou932415:17-211LWLWL
9OlympiakosOlympiakos916212:13-19WLDDL
10Nea SalamisNea Salamis922514:18-48WLDLL
11AnorthosisAnorthosis92077:17-106LLWLL
12KarmiotissaKarmiotissa91356:20-146LWLLL
13Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou91357:13-66LLLLL
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas91269:20-115LDDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca919:820
2Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia917:618
3AELAEL914:1418
4Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia921:1117
5Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol921:1116
6PafosPafos913:716
7ArisAris913:1315
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou915:1711
9OlympiakosOlympiakos912:139
10Nea SalamisNea Salamis914:188
11AnorthosisAnorthosis97:176
12KarmiotissaKarmiotissa96:206
13Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou97:136
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas99:205
PromotionRelegation

About the AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AEK Larnaca and Karmiotissa in the 1. Division table

The table shows a wide gap: AEK Larnaca are 1st in the 1. Division, while Karmiotissa sit 12th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: AEK Larnaca 19-8, Karmiotissa 6-20. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.