Aris vs AEK Larnaca Prediction

Aris
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
AEK Larnaca
Alphamega Stadium, Limassol·Dimitris Solomou 18/10/2026
ArisAris
1-1
Finished
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseHighGap+1.2%
Aris Rest
4 days
AEK Larnaca Rest
6 days

Aris vs AEK Larnaca: result, form and history

Aris and AEK Larnaca drew 1-1 in the 1. Division on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.62
X
30%3.30
2
42%2.49
Double Chance
1X
58%1.44
X2
72%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.61
No
44%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.75 = 2.78
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
56%1.75
Over 3.5
34%2.79
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
44%1.96
Under 3.5
66%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'Veljko Nikolić
60'Sven Kohler
61'Jan Repas INNicolas Andereggen out
61'Jorge Miramón INpetros ioannou out
68'Veljko Nikolić INGustavo Pajé out
68'Kerim Mrabti
73'Sven Kohler INIvan pankov out
73'Amor Layouni INĐorđe Ivanović out
76'Allachi Chahid INWerton out
82'Werton
83'Enric Saborit INBrian Olivan out
87'dennis gaustad INSane mamadou out
87'Gustavo Pajé INBernardo Pereira Folha out
90'charalampos charalampous
90+1'Nicolas Andereggen

Lineups

Aris
Coach: A. Radkov
AEK Larnaca
Coach: Rubén Sellés

Aris Starting XI

20S. Yago
91M. Zadro
22V. Nikolić21'68'replaced by Gustavo Pajé
17M. Matysik
24G. Kalulu
29D. Gaustad87'for Sane mamadou
6A. Opoku
7Anderson Correia
8C. Charalampous90'
11R. Effaghe
70C. El Allachi76'replaced by Werton

AEK Larnaca Starting XI

4Enric Saborit83'replaced by Brian Olivan
92A. Paleari
11R. Bajić
22G. Ekpolo
23S. Köhler60'73'replaced by Ivan pankov
14A. Layouni73'replaced by Đorđe Ivanović
7Gus Ledes
15H. Miličević
21Miramón61'replaced by petros ioannou
28K. Mrabti68'
20J. Repas61'replaced by Nicolas Andereggen

Aris Substitutes

19Sane mamadou87'replaced by dennis gaustad
18B. Szakos
75michalis theodosiou
1Vaná Alves
99Werton76'for Allachi Chahid82'
78Denis Ovsyannikov
46G. Dimitriou
23Bernardo Folha87'replaced by Gustavo Pajé
21D. Galyata
30Gustavo Pajé68'for Veljko Nikolić87'for Bernardo Pereira Folha
16Oriyomi Lebi
5D. Lelle

AEK Larnaca Substitutes

33N. Andereggen61'for Jan Repas90+1'
44Z. Adoni
37David Gerasimou
2P. Ioannou61'for Jorge Miramón
9Đ. Ivanović73'for Amor Layouni
25C. Kyriakou
29G. Naoum
5Brian Oliván83'for Enric Saborit
6I. Pankov73'for Sven Kohler
51A. Paraskevas
19A. Trică
3M. van der Hoorn

Team Comparison

ArisAris
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
1590Elo Rating 1693
1.72Attack 1.29
2.54Defense 1.93
56%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ArisAris
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ArisAris2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca5Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

1. Division22/05/2026
ArisAEK Larnaca
34
1. Division25/04/2026
AEK LarnacaAris
20
1. Division10/01/2026
ArisAEK Larnaca
10
1. Division22/09/2025
AEK LarnacaAris
32
1. Division27/04/2025
ArisAEK Larnaca
10
1. Division29/03/2025
AEK LarnacaAris
11
1. Division09/02/2025
ArisAEK Larnaca
11
1. Division03/11/2024
AEK LarnacaAris
20
1. Division14/04/2024
ArisAEK Larnaca
01
1. Division04/03/2024
AEK LarnacaAris
11

Recent Form

ArisAris
4W2D4L
14/10/2026
ArisEthnikos Achna
40
W
11/10/2026
OlympiakosAris
12
W
03/10/2026
ArisRiga
12
L
20/09/2026
ArisKarmiotissa
00
D
14/09/2026
Krasava YpsonasAris
01
W
07/09/2026
ArisOmonia Nicosia
14
L
29/08/2026
ArisApollon Limassol
22
D
09/08/2026
Union BerlinAris
32
L
30/07/2026
AtromitosAris
10
L
18/07/2026
Legia WarszawaAris
02
W
AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca
5W1D4L
12/10/2026
AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou
10
W
03/10/2026
AEK LarnacaApollon Limassol
30
W
18/09/2026
Omonia 29is MaiouAEK Larnaca
12
W
13/09/2026
AEK LarnacaPafos
01
L
06/09/2026
Nea SalamisAEK Larnaca
14
W
29/08/2026
AEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
31
W
30/07/2026
Beitar JerusalemAEK Larnaca
4233
L
23/07/2026
AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem
01
L
16/07/2026
Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
00
D
10/07/2026
AjaxAEK Larnaca
10
L

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AELAEL650110:8+215WWWWL
2AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca641111:5+613DWWLW
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia633013:4+912DWWDW
4Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol633014:8+612WWDDW
5PafosPafos63217:3+411DWLWD
6ArisAris62317:8-19DWDWL
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia622212:8+48DWDLW
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou622211:9+28WLLDD
9Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou61324:6-26LLDDW
10OlympiakosOlympiakos605110:11-15DLDDD
11Nea SalamisNea Salamis611411:15-44LLWLL
12Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas61055:14-93WLLLL
13AnorthosisAnorthosis61054:13-93LLLWL
14KarmiotissaKarmiotissa60334:11-73LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1AELAEL610:815
2AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca611:513
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia613:412
4Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol614:812
5PafosPafos67:311
6ArisAris67:89
7Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia612:88
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou611:98
9Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou64:66
10OlympiakosOlympiakos610:115
11Nea SalamisNea Salamis611:154
12Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas65:143
13AnorthosisAnorthosis64:133
14KarmiotissaKarmiotissa64:113
PromotionRelegation

About the Aris vs AEK Larnaca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aris and AEK Larnaca in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, AEK Larnaca are 2nd and Aris 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Aris 7-8, AEK Larnaca 11-5. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aris have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.