AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town Prediction

Plough Lane, Wimbledon 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
AFC Wimbledon Rest
3 days
Mansfield Town Rest
4 days

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: result, form and history

Mansfield Town beat AFC Wimbledon 3-0 in the League One on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 6 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.36
X
27%3.42
2
45%2.10
Double Chance
1X
55%1.69
X2
72%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.62
No
43%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.44 = 2.54
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.80
Over 3.5
31%2.83
Under 1.5
25%3.74
Under 2.5
47%1.99
Under 3.5
69%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.2 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.37
Over 9.5
56%1.67
Over 10.5
45%2.06
Under 8.5
32%2.70
Under 9.5
44%2.08
Under 10.5
55%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%-
Over 4.5
40%-
Under 3.5
41%-
Under 4.5
60%-

Match Events

22'Michael SmithAssist: Stephen McLaughlin
27'Michael SmithAssist: Stephen McLaughlin
42'Adedeji OshilajaFoul
45'Callum Maycock INJames Tilley out
45'George Abbott INRhys Oates out
45'Andy Yiadom INHarry Cornick out
45+1'Andy YiadomFoul
61'Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh INKyle Knoyle out
69'Ryan JohnsonFoul
73'Jonathan RussellAssist: Michael Smith
74'Freddie Simmonds INOllie Harrison out
74'Stephen McLaughlin INFrazer Blake-Tracy out
81'Zack Nelson INSteven Sessegnon out
81'Liam Thompson INRegan·Hendry out
82'Louis Reed INGeorge Maris out

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon
5-4-1Coach: J. Jackson
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2Coach: N. Clough
Avg rating6.10
Avg rating7.17
J. Bursik6.039J. Bursik
A. Yiadom5.517A. Yiadom
F. Simmonds5.815F. Simmonds
R. Johnson5.66R. Johnson
S. Seddon5.73S. Seddon
A. Sasu5.929A. Sasu
C. Maycock5.98C. Maycock
Z. Nelson6.410Z. Nelson
A. Smith6.512A. Smith
M. Hippolyte5.621M. Hippolyte
J. Stockley6.29J. Stockley
L. Roberts6.81L. Roberts
J. Bowery7.09J. Bowery
A. Oshilaja6.823A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney7.35R. Sweeney
L. Reed6.925L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh6.622N. Moriah-Welsh
G. Abbott6.633G. Abbott
L. Thompson6.516L. Thompson
S. McLaughlin7.93S. McLaughlin
M. Smith9.714M. Smith
J. Russell8.213J. Russell

AFC Wimbledon Substitutes

23H. Cornick45'for Andy Yiadom6.9
5O. Harrison74'for Freddie Simmonds6.3
20J. McDonnell
2S. Sessegnon81'for Zack Nelson6.1
7J. Tilley45'for Callum Maycock7.2
25S. Goma
22R. Horan

Mansfield Town Substitutes

19T. Roberts
18R. Oates45'for George Abbott6.3
10G. Maris82'for Louis Reed6.7
2K. Knoyle61'for Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh7.2
24R. Hendry81'for Liam Thompson6.9
8L. Bolton
20F. Blake-Tracy74'for Stephen McLaughlin7.3

Match Stats

AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box11
9Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls11
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
402Total Passes357
311Passes Accurate271
10Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1472Elo Rating 1571
0.34Attack 1.71
0.51Defense 1.96
0%Hit Rate 46%
10.7Shots per Game 16.4
2.6Shots on Target 4.5
6.7Corners per Game 6.7
1.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon1Wins · 17%
Draws350%
Mansfield TownMansfield Town2Wins · 33%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

League One28/02/2026
Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
22
League One13/12/2025
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
00
League Two27/01/2024
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
21
League Two07/10/2023
Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
00
League Two04/03/2023
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
13
League Two16/08/2022
Mansfield TownAFC Wimbledon
52

Recent Form

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
3W2D5L
17/10/2026
Sheffield WednesdayAFC Wimbledon
50
L
10/10/2026
PlymouthAFC Wimbledon
21
L
06/10/2026
AFC WimbledonBarnet
7080
L
26/09/2026
Cambridge UnitedAFC Wimbledon
11
D
17/09/2026
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
00
D
12/09/2026
AFC WimbledonDoncaster
10
W
07/09/2026
BromleyAFC Wimbledon
02
W
02/09/2026
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
41
L
30/08/2026
AFC WimbledonWigan
10
W
27/08/2026
FulhamAFC Wimbledon
30
L
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
2W3D5L
15/10/2026
Mansfield TownOxford United
11
D
10/10/2026
Mansfield TownBromley
21
W
06/10/2026
Port ValeMansfield Town
20
L
19/09/2026
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
22
D
12/09/2026
Mansfield TownHuddersfield
00
D
05/09/2026
BradfordMansfield Town
10
L
02/09/2026
ReadingMansfield Town
50
L
30/08/2026
Mansfield TownLuton
52
W
22/08/2026
PeterboroughMansfield Town
21
L
19/08/2026
Mansfield TownManchester City U21
14
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stockport CountyStockport County1171323:11+1222WWWWD
2HuddersfieldHuddersfield1164122:10+1222WWDWL
3BradfordBradford1163210:5+521DWDDW
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1155118:14+420DWWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1261518:17+119LLWWL
6ReadingReading1153323:12+1118WLWDD
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1053220:10+1018LWDDD
8Oxford UnitedOxford United953118:10+818WDWDW
9StevenageStevenage1043315:10+515WLWLW
10LeicesterLeicester1043316:15+115WWLDW
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1043316:15+115WDWDD
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1142515:12+314LWDLW
13LutonLuton1042419:18+114WLWLL
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1235416:18-214DDLLW
15WycombeWycombe1135318:22-414DWLDW
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon113357:18-1112LLLDD
17BlackpoolBlackpool1032515:16-111WLLLD
18Notts CountyNotts County1024410:13-310WLLLL
19DoncasterDoncaster1023510:13-39LLWWL
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1016311:18-79LWLDD
21PeterboroughPeterborough1123610:20-109LDWLL
22BarnsleyBarnsley1022610:19-98LLLDL
23BromleyBromley102269:25-168LLLWD
24WiganWigan102177:15-87LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Stockport CountyStockport County1123:1122
2HuddersfieldHuddersfield1122:1022
3BradfordBradford1110:521
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1118:1420
5PlymouthPlymouth1218:1719
6ReadingReading1123:1218
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1020:1018
8Oxford UnitedOxford United918:1018
9StevenageStevenage1015:1015
10LeicesterLeicester1016:1515
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1016:1515
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1115:1214
13LutonLuton1019:1814
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1216:1814
15WycombeWycombe1118:2214
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon117:1812
17BlackpoolBlackpool1015:1611
18Notts CountyNotts County1010:1310
19DoncasterDoncaster1010:139
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1011:189
21PeterboroughPeterborough1110:209
22BarnsleyBarnsley1010:198
23BromleyBromley109:258
24WiganWigan107:157
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About the AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town in the League One table

In the League One table, Mansfield Town are 11th and AFC Wimbledon 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: AFC Wimbledon 7-18, Mansfield Town 16-15. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.