AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction

Plough Lane, Wimbledon 17/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.71
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
AFC Wimbledon Rest
5 days
Milton Keynes Dons Rest
5 days

AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons: result, form and history

AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons drew 0-0 in the League One on 17 Sep 2026. AFC Wimbledon had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Milton Keynes Dons.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 9 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%3.05
X
26%3.40
2
40%2.20
Double Chance
1X
60%1.61
X2
66%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.65
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.38 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.83
Over 3.5
30%2.88
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
47%1.94
Under 3.5
70%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
63%1.29
Over 9.5
54%1.52
Over 10.5
41%1.91
Under 8.5
37%3.07
Under 9.5
46%2.23
Under 10.5
59%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
31%1.83
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
69%1.83

Match Events

15'Callum PatersonFoul
30'Ryan JohnsonFoul
56'Cohen BramallArgument
72'Callum Maycock INZack Nelson out
72'Ollie Harrison INDujuan Richards out
79'Aaron Collins INibrahim fullah out
79'Dan Crowley INBen Wiles out
90+2'Johnnie JacksonDissent

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon
3-4-2-1Coach: J. Jackson
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2Coach: P. Warne
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.52
J. Bursik6.639J. Bursik
I. Ogundere6.333I. Ogundere
D. Sweeney6.226D. Sweeney
R. Johnson5.96R. Johnson
S. Sessegnon6.12S. Sessegnon
O. Harrison6.35O. Harrison
A. Smith6.412A. Smith
S. Seddon6.13S. Seddon
C. Maycock6.38C. Maycock
M. Hippolyte7.221M. Hippolyte
J. Stockley6.59J. Stockley
W. Dennis6.723W. Dennis
C. Goode6.15C. Goode
C. Nelson6.735C. Nelson
Elijah Xavier Campbell6.320E. Xavier Campbell
R. Wintle6.624R. Wintle
C. Paterson6.213C. Paterson
D. Crowley7.27D. Crowley
A. Gilbey6.98A. Gilbey
C. Bramall6.815C. Bramall
S. Nombe6.09S. Nombe
A. Collins6.210A. Collins

AFC Wimbledon Substitutes

15F. Simmonds
17A. Yiadom
20J. McDonnell
10Z. Nelson72'for Callum Maycock6.6
19Donnell McNeilly
31D. Richards72'for Ollie Harrison7.2
29A. Sasu

Milton Keynes Dons Substitutes

22I. Fullah79'for Aaron Collins6.5
21M. Ekpiteta
4D. Barlaser
29R. Hepburn-Murphy
2G. Jones
1C. MacGillivray
26B. Wiles79'for Dan Crowley6.5

Match Stats

AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
43%Ball Possession57%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box10
1Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots4
6Fouls18
2Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
284Total Passes375
179Passes Accurate283
18Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
1462Elo Rating 1610
0.64Attack 1.78
0.54Defense 1.47
0%Hit Rate 66%
12.9Shots per Game 14.4
3.2Shots on Target 3.8
6.9Corners per Game 5.8
1.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons3Wins · 33%
1.9Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

League Two25/01/2025
Milton Keynes DonsAFC Wimbledon
00
FA Cup03/11/2024
Milton Keynes DonsAFC Wimbledon
02
League Two14/09/2024
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
30
League Two02/03/2024
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
10
League Two23/01/2024
Milton Keynes DonsAFC Wimbledon
31
League One09/04/2022
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
11
League One11/01/2022
Milton Keynes DonsAFC Wimbledon
10
League One30/01/2021
AFC WimbledonMilton Keynes Dons
02
League One31/10/2020
Milton Keynes DonsAFC Wimbledon
11

Recent Form

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon
4W1D5L
12/09/2026
AFC WimbledonDoncaster
10
W
07/09/2026
BromleyAFC Wimbledon
02
W
02/09/2026
Burton AlbionAFC Wimbledon
41
L
30/08/2026
AFC WimbledonWigan
10
W
27/08/2026
FulhamAFC Wimbledon
30
L
22/08/2026
AFC WimbledonReading
00
D
18/08/2026
Leyton OrientAFC Wimbledon
6151
L
15/08/2026
HuddersfieldAFC Wimbledon
30
L
08/08/2026
AFC WimbledonNewport County
5141
W
01/08/2026
AFC WimbledonQPR
23
L
Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons
1W6D3L
12/09/2026
Milton Keynes DonsPeterborough
11
D
05/09/2026
WycombeMilton Keynes Dons
33
D
02/09/2026
WiganMilton Keynes Dons
31
L
29/08/2026
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
00
D
22/08/2026
Milton Keynes DonsHuddersfield
11
D
15/08/2026
Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
22
D
08/08/2026
NorwichMilton Keynes Dons
41
L
01/08/2026
CheltenhamMilton Keynes Dons
02
W
28/07/2026
BarnetMilton Keynes Dons
00
D
25/07/2026
WealdstoneMilton Keynes Dons
20
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1482426:14+1226WLDWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1265120:11+923DWDWD
4LutonLuton1372426:20+623WWWWL
5PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
6ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
7BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1355322:14+820DDLLW
10LeicesterLeicester1354422:19+319DWLWW
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1346322:20+218WWWLW
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1253420:18+218LWWDW
13WycombeWycombe1346321:23-218WDDWL
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1445518:21-317LWDDL
16StevenageStevenage1244417:13+416DLWLW
17Notts CountyNotts County1235413:14-114WDWLL
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon133469:21-1213LDLLL
19BlackpoolBlackpool1233617:21-412DLWLL
20DoncasterDoncaster1333714:22-812LLWLL
21WiganWigan1331911:22-1110WLLLW
22PeterboroughPeterborough1324711:23-1210LDLDW
23BarnsleyBarnsley1223712:22-109DLLLL
24BromleyBromley1323813:33-209LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1426:1426
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1220:1123
4LutonLuton1326:2023
5PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
6ReadingReading1325:1322
7BradfordBradford1310:822
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1322:1420
10LeicesterLeicester1322:1919
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1322:2018
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1220:1818
13WycombeWycombe1321:2318
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1418:2117
16StevenageStevenage1217:1316
17Notts CountyNotts County1213:1414
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon139:2113
19BlackpoolBlackpool1217:2112
20DoncasterDoncaster1314:2212
21WiganWigan1311:2210
22PeterboroughPeterborough1311:2310
23BarnsleyBarnsley1212:229
24BromleyBromley1313:339
PromotionRelegation

About the AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons in the League One table

In the League One table, Milton Keynes Dons are 11th and AFC Wimbledon 18th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: AFC Wimbledon 9-21, Milton Keynes Dons 22-20. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.