Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical Prediction

Recreation Park, Alloa 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Alloa Athletic Rest
7 days
Hamilton Academical Rest
6 days

Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical: result, form and history

Hamilton Academical beat Alloa Athletic 3-0 in the League One on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Hamilton Academical had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Alloa Athletic.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.00
X
24%3.50
2
54%1.81
Double Chance
1X
46%1.85
X2
78%1.22
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'A. Ryan
27'C. O'Donnell
28'S. McKinstry
41'S. BradleyAssist: A. Ryan
45'
62'K. MacDonald
69'S. Bradley IND. Thomas out
70'G. Marchant INL. Rankin out
73'S. Bannigan
76'M. Cameron INL. Ross out
76'K. Glasgow INB. Forbes out
77'S. McKinstry INK. Orsi out
77'K. MacDonald ING. Crookston out
82'F. Owens INK. Smutek out
82'A. Ryan INA. McGinlay out
86'C. Blues

Team Comparison

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical
1418Elo Rating 1594
0.83Attack 2.17
1.67Defense 2.36
23%Hit Rate 100%

Game State Tendencies

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical5Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

League One08/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
10
League One11/04/2026
Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
10
League One21/02/2026
Alloa AthleticHamilton Academical
30
League One20/12/2025
Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
10
League One23/08/2025
Alloa AthleticHamilton Academical
10
Championship11/05/2024
Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
32
Championship07/05/2024
Alloa AthleticHamilton Academical
22
League One27/04/2024
Alloa AthleticHamilton Academical
01
League One24/02/2024
Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
12
League One09/12/2023
Alloa AthleticHamilton Academical
00

Recent Form

Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
3W4D3L
03/10/2026
Ross CountyAlloa Athletic
41
L
26/09/2026
Alloa AthleticGala Fairydean Rovers
22
D
22/09/2026
Alloa AthleticHibernian U21
41
W
19/09/2026
Alloa AthleticEast Kilbride
12
L
12/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedAlloa Athletic
10
L
08/09/2026
ClydebankAlloa Athletic
11
D
05/09/2026
Cove RangersAlloa Athletic
11
D
29/08/2026
Alloa AthleticPeterhead
11
D
25/08/2026
Alloa AthleticMotherwell U21
30
W
22/08/2026
Queen of the SouthAlloa Athletic
02
W
Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical
8W1D1L
03/10/2026
Hamilton AcademicalPeterhead
21
W
26/09/2026
Hamilton AcademicalKilmarnock II
30
W
23/09/2026
Hamilton AcademicalCowdenbeath
10
W
19/09/2026
Hamilton AcademicalQueen of the South
41
W
08/09/2026
SpartansHamilton Academical
04
W
05/09/2026
East KilbrideHamilton Academical
01
W
29/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalCove Rangers
10
W
25/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalEdinburgh City
01
L
22/08/2026
East FifeHamilton Academical
00
D
15/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
40
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ross CountyRoss County12102043:7+3632DWWWW
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical12102026:5+2132DWWWW
3MontroseMontrose1261517:20-319WDLLW
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1153320:15+518DDWWW
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1234510:19-913LLDWW
6Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1241713:34-2113WLWWL
7Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1233612:14-212LWLLL
8PeterheadPeterhead123189:20-1110LWLLL
9East FifeEast Fife121659:16-79LLDLL
10Cove RangersCove Rangers111379:18-96LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ross CountyRoss County1243:732
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical1226:532
3MontroseMontrose1217:2019
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1120:1518
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1210:1913
6Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1213:3413
7Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1212:1412
8PeterheadPeterhead129:2010
9East FifeEast Fife129:169
10Cove RangersCove Rangers119:186
PromotionRelegation

About the Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alloa Athletic and Hamilton Academical in the League One table

The table shows a wide gap: Hamilton Academical are 2nd in the League One, while Alloa Athletic sit 7th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Alloa Athletic 12-14, Hamilton Academical 26-5. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hamilton Academical have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.