Ajax vs Shelbourne Prediction
World · Qualifying Round 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 3.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Ajax Rest
4 days
Shelbourne Rest
4 days
Ajax vs Shelbourne: the result in context
Ajax beat Shelbourne 3-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 6 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ajax had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Shelbourne.
Referee Atilla Karaoglan averages 5.62 cards a game, 0.97 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
184%1.06
X3%11.00
213%30.50
Double Chance
1X87%1.01
X216%8.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.50
No52%1.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.07 + 0.75 = 2.82
Over 1.577%1.06
Over 2.554%1.25
Over 3.533%1.73
Under 1.523%7.75
Under 2.546%3.50
Under 3.567%2.04
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.6 = 9.2
Over 8.543%1.33
Over 9.534%1.59
Over 10.521%1.95
Under 8.557%2.78
Under 9.566%2.15
Under 10.579%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.530%2.17
Over 4.519%3.25
Under 3.570%1.56
Under 4.581%1.23
Match Events
6'M. Godts(Penalty)
22'O. WijndalAssist: S. Berghuis
47'E. CaffreyRoughing
50'K. DolbergAssist: S. Berghuis
57'M. Godts(Penalty missed)
58'D. Klaassen INMarcos Leonardo out
58'O. Gloukh INJ. Mokio out
64'S. Berghuis INO. Edvardsen out
65'K. Dolberg INJ. Brandt out
74'S. Moore INR. Freitas out
77'M. Godts INM. Carrizo out
80'J. Henry-Francis INA. Coote out
81'K. McInroy INO. Casey out
84'D. Kelly
86'J. MokioRoughing
90+3'J. Norris INS. Gannon out
90+3'S. Bone INJ. Roche out
Lineups
AjaxShelbourne
5-4-1Coach: Lorcan FitzgeraldAvg ratingAvg rating
26M. Paes
3A. Gaaei
30A. Bouwman
17D. Blind
5O. Wijndal
6Y. Regeer
23S. Berghuis
C18D. Klaassen
10O. Gloukh
11M. Godts
9K. Dolberg
19E. Beach
25M. Mbeng
15S. Bone
C29P. Barrett
4K. Ledwidge
18J. Norris
22S. Moore
21J. Henry-Francis
23K. McInroy
27E. Caffrey
17D. KellyAjax Substitutes
24Jorthy Mokio58'for O. Gloukh86'
38Marcos Leonardo58'for D. Klaassen
20Oliver Valaker Edvardsen64'for S. Berghuis
8Julian Brandt65'for K. Dolberg
1Marc-André Ter Stegen
22Joeri Heerkens
2Lucas Rosa
12Caio Henrique
15Youri Baas
7Maher Carrizo77'for M. Godts
68Abdellah Ouazane
99Tolu Arokodare
Shelbourne Substitutes
13Murray Johnson
73Finn Moylan
2Sean Gannon90+3'for J. Norris
16Odhran Casey81'for K. McInroy
55James Roche90+3'for S. Bone
6Jonathan Lunney
14Ali Coote80'for J. Henry-Francis
11Ademipo Odubeko
20Rodrigo Freitas74'for S. Moore
36Will Jarvis
44Daniel Ring
56Joey Ikala Wuna
Match Stats
AjaxShelbourne 71%Ball Possession29%
14Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
32Total Shots3
11Shots on Goal3
15Shots off Goal0
18Shots Inside Box2
14Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots0
11Fouls4
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves8
721Total Passes298
670Passes Accurate224
93%Pass Accuracy75%
Team Comparison
AjaxShelbourne1906Elo Rating 1583
3.27Attack 2.13
2.25Defense 1.69
100%Hit Rate 59%
17.0Shots per Game 14.6
6.6Shots on Target 5.2
4.9Corners per Game 5.8
1.2Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+323 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Ajax- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.2 in first half)
Shelbourne- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Ajax8W1D1L
02/08/2026
FC VolendamAjax
30/07/2026FC VolendamAjax13
WAjax
Vojvodina41
W26/07/2026Ajax
Burnley
23/07/2026AjaxBurnley21
WVojvodinaAjax14
W18/07/2026Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
AjaxOlympiakos Piraeus10
W15/07/2026Ajax
VfL Bochum
AjaxVfL Bochum11
D10/07/2026Ajax
AEK Larnaca
AjaxAEK Larnaca10
W04/07/2026Ajax
Panathinaikos
AjaxPanathinaikos13
L24/05/2026Ajax
Utrecht
AjaxUtrecht4030
W21/05/2026Ajax
Groningen
AjaxGroningen20
WShelbourne3W3D4L
02/08/2026
WaterfordShelbourne
Kalju NommeShelbourneShelbourneKalju NommeShelbourne
DundalkShelbourne
BohemiansShelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
WaterfordShelbourne10
L30/07/2026Kalju NommeShelbourne21
L23/07/2026ShelbourneKalju Nomme52
W17/07/2026
KerryShelbourne
KerryShelbourne6252
L07/07/2026Shelbourne
Celtic
03/07/2026ShelbourneCeltic11
DShelbourneDundalk21
W27/06/2026
Sligo RoversShelbourne
22/06/2026Sligo RoversShelbourne22
DShelbourneBohemians03
L19/06/2026
Drogheda UnitedShelbourne
12/06/2026Drogheda UnitedShelbourne22
DShelbourneShamrock Rovers21
WReferee Profile
5.65Cards per match
5.41Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.62 cards a match, 0.97 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).
Cards come from 147 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 7 | WDW |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | WWD |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 7 | WDW |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 7 | DWW |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | +6 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 | WLW |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | DWL |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | DDD |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 | DDL |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 | LDD |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 | DLD |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 1 | LDL |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 | LLD |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 3 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 | Mjallby AIF | 3 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 3 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 | SC Braga | 3 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Riga | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | FC Thun | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 | Aarhus | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 | FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 | Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
Conference League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
LarneBrighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik ZabrzeMonaco
Hradec KrálovéSC Freiburg
Maccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of Midlothian
RangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafe
TromsoHNK Hajduk Split
Sheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
QarabagInter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FFTwenteFC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar SkopjeRiga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
GaisFC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea ClujBrann
FC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
NK VarazdinFK Jablonec
AluminijVojvodinaAjax
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
PaksPanathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
LudogoretsBorac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ CherkasyGentFC Lugano
Dukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry CityShelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeExplore more predictions
This match
- Ajax Predictions
- Shelbourne Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
- Riga vs Gyori ETO FC 06/08/26
- Sheriff Tiraspol vs FC ST. Gallen 06/08/26
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split 06/08/26
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna 06/08/26
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice 06/08/26
- Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk 06/08/26
- Bohemians vs FC Midtjylland 06/08/26
- HNK Rijeka vs Ilves 06/08/26
About the Ajax vs Shelbourne forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Ajax have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ajax and Shelbourne have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.