FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

FK Žalgiris Stadium, Vilnius·Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands 06/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel39%SurpriseHighGap+6.7%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Rest
7 days
HNK Hajduk Split Rest
4 days

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split: the result in context

HNK Hajduk Split beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 5-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 6 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: FK Zalgiris Vilnius had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for HNK Hajduk Split.

Referee Marc Nagtegaal averages 2.56 cards a game, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.63
X
27%3.50
2
38%1.91
Double Chance
1X
62%1.80
X2
65%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.66
No
51%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.52 = 2.55
Over 1.5
72%1.24
Over 2.5
54%1.76
Over 3.5
27%2.88
Under 1.5
28%3.75
Under 2.5
46%2.00
Under 3.5
73%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Y. Kendysh
5'M. Sego(Penalty)
14'M. Sego(Penalty missed)
24'P. Bosancic
34'N. PetkovicAssist: S. Bilenkyi
44'M. Sego
49'A. Van Hoorenbeeck INR. Raci out
51'R. Pukstas
56'A. PajazitiAssist: M. Soticek
65'I. Lytvynenko INM. Capan out
67'M. Sego INM. Livaja out
67'A. Sanyang INA. Sutalo out
73'D. de AlmeidaAssist: A. Sutalo
75'R. Pukstas
75'N. Petkovic INM. Vareika out
75'P. Golubickas INN. Mihajlovic out
77'D. Sesplaukis
78'R. Pukstas INN. Sigur out
78'D. de Almeida INE. Brruti out
81'P. Bosancic ING. Turda out
81'Y. Kendysh INO. Verbickas out
86'M. Capan
90+2'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Soticek

Lineups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
4-2-3-1Coach: Andrius Skerla
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1Coach: Gonzalo Garcia
Vincentas Sarkauskas12V. Sarkauskas
Deividas Šešplaukis18D. Šešplaukis
Danny Koy Lupano4D. Koy Lupano
Petar Bosančić15P. Bosančić
Dominik Franke21D. Franke
Ivan Lytvynenko20I. Lytvynenko
Yuri Kendysh77Y. Kendysh
Paulius Golubickas10P. Golubickas
Stanislav Bilenkyi19S. Bilenkyi
Bryan Silva Teixeira70B. Silva Teixeira
Nikola Petković11N. Petković
Toni Silić33T. Silić
Mathieu Acapandié22M. Acapandié
Dario Marešić15D. Marešić
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck5A. Van Hoorenbeeck
Šimun Hrgović32Š. Hrgović
Rokas Pukštas21R. Pukštas
Adrion Pajaziti4A. Pajaziti
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba7A. Sanyang Bamba
Dalisson de Almeida9D. de Almeida
Marin Šotiček23M. Šotiček
Michele Šego11M. Šego

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Substitutes

6Marko Capan65'for I. Lytvynenko86'
1Carlos Olses
5Grigore Turda81'for P. Bosancic
13Klaudijus Upstas
14Martynas Setkus
23Saba Mamatsashvili
7Nemanja Mihajlović75'for P. Golubickas
9Gustas Jarusevicius
22Ovidijus Verbickas81'for Y. Kendysh
27Matas Vareika75'for N. Petkovic
29Kajus Bička
8Liviu Antal

HNK Hajduk Split Substitutes

14Ron Raçi49'for A. Van Hoorenbeeck
16Anđelo Šutalo67'for A. Sanyang
10Marko Livaja67'for M. Sego
44Dante Stipica
99Davyd Fesyuk
3Roko Gabrić
8Niko Sigur78'for R. Pukstas
17Dario Melnjak
38Luka Hodak
19Etnik Brruti78'for D. de Almeida
20Alberto del Moral
26Adam Huram

Match Stats

FK Zalgiris VilniusHNK Hajduk Split
48%Ball Possession52%
2Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
5Shots on Goal8
1Shots off Goal10
4Blocked Shots3
14Fouls20
2Offsides4

Team Comparison

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
1617Elo Rating 1748
2.12Attack 1.84
1.99Defense 2.34
56%Hit Rate 54%
-Shots per Game 14.3
-Shots on Target 4.5
-Corners per Game 4.8
-Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
6W1D3L
02/08/2026
NK VarazdinHNK Hajduk Split
21
L
30/07/2026
PafosHNK Hajduk Split
4200
L
23/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitPafos
20
W
16/07/2026
ŽilinaHNK Hajduk Split
21
L
09/07/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitŽilina
20
W
01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
27/06/2026
LNZ CherkasyHNK Hajduk Split
01
W
23/06/2026
ShkendijaHNK Hajduk Split
04
W
22/05/2026
HNK Hajduk SplitVukovar
63
W
16/05/2026
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Hajduk Split
11
D

Referee Profile

Marc Nagtegaal175 matches

2.56Cards per match
2.51Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marc Nagtegaal2.56
Other referees3.27

2.56 cards a match, 0.71 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 164 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano330011:4+79WWW
2PanathinaikosPanathinaikos33009:3+69WWW
3TwenteTwente33008:2+69WWW
4MonacoMonaco33007:1+69WWW
5BrightonBrighton32105:0+57WDW
6BrannBrann32107:3+47DWW
7FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen32107:3+47WDW
8Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova32106:2+47WWD
9Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF32105:1+47WDW
10St. TruidenSt. Truiden32104:1+37DWW
11AjaxAjax32019:3+66WWL
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor32016:3+36LWW
13HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split32013:2+16LWW
14SC FreiburgSC Freiburg32014:5-16WLW
15FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda31116:604WDL
16AtalantaAtalanta31114:404DLW
17SC BragaSC Braga31112:3-14DWL
18GentGent31111:2-14DLW
19RigaRiga30303:303DDD
20FC ThunFC Thun31023:303WLL
21Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka31023:4-13LWL
22Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC31023:6-33WLL
23FK JablonecFK Jablonec30213:4-12DDL
24AarhusAarhus30211:2-12DDL
25FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland30213:5-22LDD
26Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë30212:4-22LDD
27Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30213:7-42DLD
28CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia30124:6-21LDL
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199930122:5-31LDL
30PafosPafos30123:7-41LDL
31GetafeGetafe30123:7-41LLD
32Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian30122:6-41LLD
33KuPSKuPS30122:6-41DLL
34FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland30122:8-61LLD
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes30032:7-50LLL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris30031:11-100LLL
Conference League

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded

About the FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs HNK Hajduk Split forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

HNK Hajduk Split have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FK Zalgiris Vilnius and HNK Hajduk Split have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.