Shelbourne vs Dundalk Prediction

Shelbourne
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Dundalk
Tolka Park, Dublin 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.37
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+6.2%
Shelbourne Rest
6 days
Dundalk Rest
7 days

Shelbourne vs Dundalk: the result in context

Shelbourne beat Dundalk 2-1 in the Premier Division on 3 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Dundalk had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Shelbourne.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.05
X
26%3.50
2
26%3.25
Double Chance
1X
74%1.30
X2
52%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.61
No
51%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.13 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.73
Over 3.5
27%2.80
Under 1.5
25%3.84
Under 2.5
49%2.05
Under 3.5
73%1.37
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'J. WilsonAssist: D. Horgan
16'P. BarrettUnsportsmanlike conduct
17'R. TeahanFoul
37'K. BuckleyFoul
39'D. KellyAssist: J. Norris
41'H. WoodAssist: R. Freitas
48'J. Henry-FrancisFoul
62'O. Casey INK. Ledwidge out
64'T. Wilson INM. Animasahun out
64'D. McDaid INT. Clarke out
67'M. AnimasahunFoul
72'M. Mbeng INS. Gannon out
72'A. Coote INS. Moore out
74'K. Buckley INS. Tracey out
74'M. Animasahun INH. Groome out
82'R. Freitas INW. Jarvis out
82'J. Henry-Francis INS. Bone out
85'H. WoodFoul
89'H. GroomeFoul
89'L. FitzgeraldUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+1'J. WilsonFoul
90+2'K. LedwidgeFoul

Match Stats

ShelbourneDundalk
52%Ball Possession48%
1Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

ShelbourneShelbourne
DundalkDundalk
1583Elo Rating 1521
2.13Attack 1.68
1.69Defense 1.32
59%Hit Rate 27%
14.6Shots per Game 18.6
5.2Shots on Target 5.8
5.8Corners per Game 5.2
1.9Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ShelbourneShelbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ShelbourneShelbourne5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
DundalkDundalk2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division01/05/2026
DundalkShelbourne
12
Premier Division03/04/2026
ShelbourneDundalk
23
Premier Division30/08/2024
DundalkShelbourne
01
Premier Division07/06/2024
ShelbourneDundalk
10
Premier Division03/05/2024
DundalkShelbourne
00
Premier Division29/03/2024
ShelbourneDundalk
21
Premier Division06/10/2023
ShelbourneDundalk
10
Premier Division06/08/2023
DundalkShelbourne
11
Premier Division21/04/2023
ShelbourneDundalk
11
Premier Division06/03/2023
DundalkShelbourne
21

Recent Form

ShelbourneShelbourne
3W6D1L
27/06/2026
Sligo RoversShelbourne
22
D
22/06/2026
ShelbourneBohemians
03
L
19/06/2026
Drogheda UnitedShelbourne
22
D
12/06/2026
ShelbourneShamrock Rovers
21
W
29/05/2026
ShelbourneGalway United
11
D
25/05/2026
Derry CityShelbourne
00
D
22/05/2026
ShelbourneWaterford
21
W
15/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
01
W
08/05/2026
ShelbourneSligo Rovers
00
D
04/05/2026
BohemiansShelbourne
22
D
DundalkDundalk
4W2D4L
26/06/2026
DundalkWaterford
23
L
19/06/2026
BohemiansDundalk
12
W
12/06/2026
Galway UnitedDundalk
01
W
29/05/2026
DundalkDerry City
21
W
22/05/2026
Drogheda UnitedDundalk
11
D
15/05/2026
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
W
08/05/2026
DundalkBohemians
13
L
04/05/2026
WaterfordDundalk
33
D
01/05/2026
DundalkShelbourne
12
L
25/04/2026
Sligo RoversDundalk
20
L

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Shelbourne vs Dundalk forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shelbourne and Dundalk in the Premier Division table

Shelbourne and Dundalk are close in the Premier Division table, 4th and 6th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Shelbourne 52-50, Dundalk 55-59. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.