Al Riyadh vs NEOM Prediction

Al Riyadh
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
NEOM
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh·Mohammed Nasser Abu Shaqara, Saudi Arabia 28/08/2026
Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
1-0
Finished
NEOMNEOM

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseHighGap+2.6%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseHighGap+8.6%
Al Riyadh Rest
2 days
NEOM Rest
3 days

Al Riyadh vs NEOM: the result in context

Al Riyadh beat NEOM 1-0 in the Pro League on 28 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: NEOM had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Al Riyadh.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.67
X
32%3.60
2
40%1.91
Double Chance
1X
60%1.81
X2
73%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.60
No
37%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.4 = 2.83
Over 1.5
83%1.21
Over 2.5
56%1.70
Over 3.5
33%2.74
Under 1.5
17%4.08
Under 2.5
44%2.11
Under 3.5
67%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.62
Over 9.5
50%2.00
Over 10.5
37%2.65
Under 8.5
39%2.12
Under 9.5
50%1.70
Under 10.5
63%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.7 = 3.9
Over 3.5
59%1.59
Over 4.5
36%2.11
Under 3.5
41%2.15
Under 4.5
64%1.65

Match Events

37'V. LekhalFoul
45+1'H. CamaraFoul
45+4'F. Al JayzaniFoul
46'F. Al Jayzani INH. Al Ali out
54'B. MensahFoul
61'T. OkouAssist: H. Al Ali
65'K. Al Dawsari INA. Al Oyayari out
65'I. Hawsawi INM. Abu Taha out
69'Trezeguet INH. Al Shurafa out
74'H. Camara INM. Al Saad out
82'T. Okou INM. H. Tambakti out
83'K. Al Absi INF. Al Ghamdi out
83'A. Hejji INA. Al Anzi out

Lineups

Al Riyadh
4-5-1Coach: Mauricio Dulac
NEOM
4-4-2Coach: Christophe Galtier
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.68
Milan BorjanC6.982M. Borjan
Sultan Alessa6.72S. Alessa
Mohammed Al-Khaibari7.067M. Al-Khaibari
Rodrigo Abascal6.226R. Abascal
Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi6.912S. Hahya Hazazi
Teddy Okou7.210T. Okou
Victor Lekhal6.522V. Lekhal
Fahad Al Jayzani6.679F. Al Jayzani
Bernard Mensah6.743B. Mensah
Leandro Antunes7.077L. Antunes
Mahmoud Trézéguet6.97M. Trézéguet
Marcin Bułka6.51M. Bułka
Khalifah Al-Dawsari6.24K. Al-Dawsari
Malang Sarr7.25M. Sarr
Nathan Zeze7.044N. Zeze
Islam Ahmed Hawsawi6.027I. Ahmed Hawsawi
Giorgos Masouras6.57G. Masouras
Ala'a Al-Hejji7.218A. Al-Hejji
Amadou Koné6.972A. Koné
Khalil Al-Absi6.714K. Al-Absi
Alexandre LacazetteC7.291A. Lacazette
Haroune Camara6.370H. Camara

Al Riyadh Substitutes

11Hassan Hashim Al-Ali7.2
19Hussain Al-Shurafa69'for Trezeguet6.5
97Emad Fidaa
14Essam Bahri
5Hussam Majrashi
87Marzouq Tambakti82'for T. Okou
17Hussain Al-Raqwani
16Faisal Al-Sobhi
29Salman Matar

NEOM Substitutes

15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari65'for K. Al Dawsari6.5
19Mohannad Abu Taha65'for I. Hawsawi6.6
77Muhannad Al Saad74'for H. Camara
81Luís Maximiano
38Mohammed Dakhil Al-Dawsari
75Khalid Al Rammah
55Mohammed Al Dossari
8Faisal Al-Ghamdi83'for K. Al Absi
22Ahmed Al-Anzi83'replaced by A. Hejji

Match Stats

Al RiyadhNEOM
33%Ball Possession67%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots5
13Fouls9
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
264Total Passes550
203Passes Accurate489
77%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
NEOMNEOM
1487Elo Rating 1644
0.91Attack 1.16
0.79Defense 1.74
37%Hit Rate 46%
15.3Shots per Game 12.2
4.3Shots on Target 3.8
4.5Corners per Game 5.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NEOMNEOM
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
NEOMNEOM2Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Pro League06/02/2026
NEOMAl Riyadh
10
Pro League27/09/2025
Al RiyadhNEOM
23

Recent Form

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
3W2D5L
25/08/2026
Al ShababAl Riyadh
33
D
21/08/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr
04
L
17/08/2026
Al ZulfiAl Riyadh
02
W
14/08/2026
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
42
L
21/05/2026
Al RiyadhAl Okhdood
10
W
15/05/2026
Al TaawonAl Riyadh
11
D
10/05/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Fateh
10
W
04/05/2026
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
42
L
29/04/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Qadisiyah FC
04
L
24/04/2026
Al-HazmAl Riyadh
21
L
NEOMNEOM
6W2D2L
24/08/2026
NEOMAl-Qadisiyah FC
02
L
21/08/2026
Al-Faisaly FCNEOM
02
W
18/08/2026
Al-Faisaly FCNEOM
13
W
14/08/2026
NEOMAl-Fayha
21
W
31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
01
W
24/07/2026
Orlando PiratesNEOM
01
W
17/07/2026
PeterboroughNEOM
00
D
21/05/2026
NEOMAl-Ettifaq
11
D
16/05/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCNEOM
20
L
11/05/2026
NEOMAl Shabab
21
W

Referee Profile

Mohammed Nasser Abu Shaqara9 matches analysed

4.59Cards per match
4.31Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 50% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC11100132:9+2330WWWWW
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1291232:12+2028WLWWW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1191128:11+1728WWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1173121:11+1024DWWLW
5NEOMNEOM1271418:10+822WWLLD
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1170428:19+921LWWWW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1254318:17+119DWLWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1243510:13-315LLWDL
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al ShababAl Shabab1135320:15+514WWDWD
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1133517:26-912LLLLL
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1133511:25-1412LWLDW
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1225516:20-411WDLLD
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1224613:24-1110LWLDW
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1213810:25-156LLLWL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon120576:20-145DLLDL
18AbhaAbha110387:19-123DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1132:930
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1232:1228
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1128:1128
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1121:1124
5NEOMNEOM1218:1022
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1128:1921
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1218:1719
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1210:1315
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al ShababAl Shabab1120:1514
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1117:2612
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1111:2512
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1216:2011
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1213:2410
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1210:256
17Al TaawonAl Taawon126:205
18AbhaAbha117:193
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al Riyadh vs NEOM forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al Riyadh and NEOM in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, NEOM are 5th and Al Riyadh 12th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Al Riyadh 11-25, NEOM 18-10. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Riyadh and NEOM have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.