Aldershot Town vs Carlisle Prediction

Aldershot Town
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Carlisle
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseHighGap-10.1%
Aldershot Town Rest
3 days
Carlisle Rest
3 days

Aldershot Town vs Carlisle: result, form and history

Carlisle beat Aldershot Town 3-1 in the National League on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.45
X
25%3.80
2
48%1.85
Double Chance
1X
52%1.88
X2
73%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.46
No
39%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.61 = 3.04
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.52
Over 3.5
39%2.23
Under 1.5
19%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.45
Under 3.5
61%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'D. AjiboyeAssist: M. Azeez
28'D. AjiboyeAssist: J. Williams
32'E. Oladunjoye INT. Dyce out
41'B. Peart INJ. Matton out
62'J. Ellis
64'M. Dinanga INT. Abrahams out
70'T. Jenks INS. Wearne out
71'D. Ajiboye INM. Obiero out
74'B. Nicholson
76'K. Oshilaja
84'J. Williams INR. Galvin out
84'R. Linney INC. Whelan out
87'M. Stickland
89'D. Odusanya
90'J. Ellis INT. Anderson out
90+2'M. ObieroAssist: R. Galvin

Team Comparison

Aldershot TownAldershot Town
CarlisleCarlisle
1484Elo Rating 1618
1.82Attack 1.78
1.42Defense 2.34
39%Hit Rate 81%
-Shots per Game 22.0
-Shots on Target 10.0
-Corners per Game 11.0
-Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Aldershot TownAldershot Town
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CarlisleCarlisle
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Aldershot TownAldershot Town0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
CarlisleCarlisle2Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

National League10/03/2026
Aldershot TownCarlisle
02
National League13/09/2025
CarlisleAldershot Town
20

Recent Form

Aldershot TownAldershot Town
4W3D3L
29/09/2026
AFC HornchurchAldershot Town
21
L
26/09/2026
Aldershot TownTamworth
51
W
19/09/2026
BarrowAldershot Town
10
L
15/09/2026
Aldershot TownYeovil Town
11
D
12/09/2026
Solihull MoorsAldershot Town
12
W
08/09/2026
Aldershot TownWest Ham United U21
03
L
05/09/2026
Aldershot TownFC Halifax Town
10
W
31/08/2026
EastleighAldershot Town
11
D
28/08/2026
Aldershot TownHarrogate Town
31
W
22/08/2026
Kidderminster HarriersAldershot Town
11
D
CarlisleCarlisle
3W4D3L
29/09/2026
AFC FyldeCarlisle
02
W
26/09/2026
CarlisleWoking
25
L
19/09/2026
EastleighCarlisle
10
L
15/09/2026
CarlisleForest Green
11
D
12/09/2026
CarlisleSouthend
22
D
05/09/2026
Boreham WoodCarlisle
21
L
31/08/2026
CarlisleScunthorpe
42
W
28/08/2026
WealdstoneCarlisle
11
D
22/08/2026
CarlisleAFC Hornchurch
41
W
15/08/2026
Yeovil TownCarlisle
11
D

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood14122038:13+2538WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town14101332:18+1431WWWWW
3SouthendSouthend1484233:21+1228DWWDL
4WorthingWorthing1483329:19+1027WWWDW
5AltrinchamAltrincham1490522:20+227WWLWW
6Yeovil TownYeovil Town1474333:17+1625LWWDW
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1472524:22+223LWLLW
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1463524:17+721DWWDL
9BarrowBarrow1363422:16+621WWWWW
10AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1470716:21-521LWLWL
11CarlisleCarlisle1455425:21+420WDWWL
12Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1455416:14+220LDDLL
13WokingWoking1453623:22+118WLWLW
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1453618:17+118LLLLW
15EastleighEastleigh1453618:22-418WLLDL
16Sutton UtdSutton Utd1453615:21-618LLDLD
17Forest GreenForest Green1243519:22-315LDDLD
18WealdstoneWealdstone1443718:24-615WLLDW
19HartlepoolHartlepool1450914:20-615WWLLL
20TamworthTamworth1342721:30-914LWWLW
21Boston UnitedBoston United1433817:27-1012LLLDL
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1331917:24-710LLLWL
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors14211114:37-237LLLWL
24GatesheadGateshead1311118:31-234LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1438:1338
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1432:1831
3SouthendSouthend1433:2128
4WorthingWorthing1429:1927
5AltrinchamAltrincham1422:2027
6Yeovil TownYeovil Town1433:1725
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1424:2223
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1424:1721
9BarrowBarrow1322:1621
10AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1416:2121
11CarlisleCarlisle1425:2120
12Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1416:1420
13WokingWoking1423:2218
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1418:1718
15EastleighEastleigh1418:2218
16Sutton UtdSutton Utd1415:2118
17Forest GreenForest Green1219:2215
18WealdstoneWealdstone1418:2415
19HartlepoolHartlepool1414:2015
20TamworthTamworth1321:3014
21Boston UnitedBoston United1417:2712
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1317:2410
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1414:377
24GatesheadGateshead138:314
PromotionRelegation

About the Aldershot Town vs Carlisle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aldershot Town and Carlisle in the National League table

In the National League table, Carlisle are 11th and Aldershot Town 14th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Aldershot Town 18-17, Carlisle 25-21. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Carlisle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Aldershot Town and Carlisle have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.