Eastleigh vs Southend Prediction

Eastleigh
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Southend
Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh 30/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseHighGap-10.2%
Eastleigh Rest
4 days
Southend Rest
4 days

Eastleigh vs Southend: result, form and history

Eastleigh and Southend drew 1-1 in the National League on 30 Sep 2026. Southend had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Eastleigh.

Southend have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.90
X
23%3.80
2
53%1.73
Double Chance
1X
47%1.98
X2
76%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.52
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.85 = 3.15
Over 1.5
82%1.15
Over 2.5
61%1.56
Over 3.5
39%2.38
Under 1.5
18%4.80
Under 2.5
39%2.35
Under 3.5
61%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'P. OmochereAssist: R. Colclough
32'J. Lundstram
44'T. Dobson-Ventura
53'R. Colclough INZ. Massiah-Edwards out
58'V. Daley-Campbell
62'J. Caprice IND. Rankine out
62'J. Williams INH. Sidwell out
63'S. Kamara INL. Twamley out
63'P. Omochere INH. Cardwell out
72'L. Chambers-Parillon INS. Austin out
74'W. Randall INM. Dickov out
79'J. Cousins INS. Bamey out
90+1'T. Eweka
90+4'

Team Comparison

EastleighEastleigh
SouthendSouthend
1467Elo Rating 1616
2.07Attack 1.80
0.98Defense 1.50
50%Hit Rate 36%
-Shots per Game 20.0
-Shots on Target 8.0
-Corners per Game 9.0
-Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

EastleighEastleigh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SouthendSouthend
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EastleighEastleigh3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
SouthendSouthend6Wins · 60%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

National League20/01/2026
SouthendEastleigh
41
National League24/09/2025
EastleighSouthend
21
National League22/03/2025
EastleighSouthend
12
FA Cup12/10/2024
EastleighSouthend
01
National League10/09/2024
SouthendEastleigh
20
National League13/01/2024
EastleighSouthend
01
National League25/08/2023
SouthendEastleigh
20
National League28/01/2023
SouthendEastleigh
13
National League27/08/2022
EastleighSouthend
21
National League22/02/2022
EastleighSouthend
11

Recent Form

EastleighEastleigh
4W2D4L
26/09/2026
Harrogate TownEastleigh
41
L
19/09/2026
EastleighCarlisle
10
W
15/09/2026
Sutton UtdEastleigh
21
L
12/09/2026
EastleighBoreham Wood
11
D
04/09/2026
AltrinchamEastleigh
21
L
31/08/2026
EastleighAldershot Town
11
D
28/08/2026
HartlepoolEastleigh
01
W
22/08/2026
EastleighScunthorpe
32
W
15/08/2026
Kidderminster HarriersEastleigh
10
L
08/08/2026
EastleighGateshead
21
W
SouthendSouthend
6W2D2L
26/09/2026
SouthendBarrow
24
L
19/09/2026
GatesheadSouthend
16
W
15/09/2026
SouthendTamworth
31
W
12/09/2026
CarlisleSouthend
22
D
05/09/2026
SouthendYeovil Town
32
W
31/08/2026
WokingSouthend
11
D
28/08/2026
SouthendKidderminster Harriers
13
L
22/08/2026
Solihull MoorsSouthend
13
W
15/08/2026
SouthendScunthorpe
10
W
08/08/2026
AltrinchamSouthend
13
W

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood14122038:13+2538WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town14101332:18+1431WWWWW
3SouthendSouthend1484233:21+1228DWWDL
4WorthingWorthing1483329:19+1027WWWDW
5AltrinchamAltrincham1490522:20+227WWLWW
6Yeovil TownYeovil Town1474333:17+1625LWWDW
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1472524:22+223LWLLW
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1463524:17+721DWWDL
9BarrowBarrow1363422:16+621WWWWW
10AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1470716:21-521LWLWL
11CarlisleCarlisle1455425:21+420WDWWL
12Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1455416:14+220LDDLL
13WokingWoking1453623:22+118WLWLW
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1453618:17+118LLLLW
15EastleighEastleigh1453618:22-418WLLDL
16Sutton UtdSutton Utd1453615:21-618LLDLD
17Forest GreenForest Green1243519:22-315LDDLD
18WealdstoneWealdstone1443718:24-615WLLDW
19HartlepoolHartlepool1450914:20-615WWLLL
20TamworthTamworth1342721:30-914LWWLW
21Boston UnitedBoston United1433817:27-1012LLLDL
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1331917:24-710LLLWL
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors14211114:37-237LLLWL
24GatesheadGateshead1311118:31-234LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1438:1338
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1432:1831
3SouthendSouthend1433:2128
4WorthingWorthing1429:1927
5AltrinchamAltrincham1422:2027
6Yeovil TownYeovil Town1433:1725
7AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1424:2223
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1424:1721
9BarrowBarrow1322:1621
10AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1416:2121
11CarlisleCarlisle1425:2120
12Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1416:1420
13WokingWoking1423:2218
14Aldershot TownAldershot Town1418:1718
15EastleighEastleigh1418:2218
16Sutton UtdSutton Utd1415:2118
17Forest GreenForest Green1219:2215
18WealdstoneWealdstone1418:2415
19HartlepoolHartlepool1414:2015
20TamworthTamworth1321:3014
21Boston UnitedBoston United1417:2712
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1317:2410
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1414:377
24GatesheadGateshead138:314
PromotionRelegation

About the Eastleigh vs Southend forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Eastleigh and Southend in the National League table

In the National League table, Southend are 3rd and Eastleigh 15th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Eastleigh 18-22, Southend 33-21. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.