Altrincham vs Hartlepool Prediction

Altrincham
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Hartlepool
Moss Lane, Altrincham 16/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseHighGap-3.5%
Altrincham Rest
4 days
Hartlepool Rest
5 days

Altrincham vs Hartlepool: the result in context

Altrincham beat Hartlepool 2-1 in the National League on 16 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Altrincham had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Hartlepool.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.30
X
24%3.34
2
28%2.80
Double Chance
1X
72%1.36
X2
52%1.55
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'J. Hunter
28'K. Hemmings(Penalty)
41'J. Miley
43'J. MileyAssist: B. Ilunga
52'L. Gibson INC. John out
59'K. Hemmings
60'C. Deeming
64'K. Reddin INJ. Knowles out
77'K. Hemmings INL. Weaver out
78'C. Deeming INC. Thornton out
78'J. Nolan INC. Popov out
81'T. CrawfordAssist: L. Humbles
90+1'S. Barnes INJ. Cooper out

Team Comparison

AltrinchamAltrincham
HartlepoolHartlepool
1591Elo Rating 1417
2.55Attack 1.40
1.68Defense 1.41
66%Hit Rate 44%
21.5Shots per Game 18.0
9.5Shots on Target 5.0
7.2Corners per Game 6.0
0.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+174 Elo
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

AltrinchamAltrincham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HartlepoolHartlepool
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

AltrinchamAltrincham1Wins · 13%
Draws450%
HartlepoolHartlepool3Wins · 37%
2.6Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

National League17/01/2026
HartlepoolAltrincham
10
National League19/08/2025
AltrinchamHartlepool
02
National League18/02/2025
HartlepoolAltrincham
12
National League23/10/2024
AltrinchamHartlepool
11
National League20/02/2024
HartlepoolAltrincham
32
National League19/09/2023
AltrinchamHartlepool
22
National League09/03/2021
AltrinchamHartlepool
11
National League27/10/2020
HartlepoolAltrincham
11

Recent Form

AltrinchamAltrincham
4W1D5L
12/09/2026
WokingAltrincham
51
L
04/09/2026
AltrinchamEastleigh
21
W
31/08/2026
Forest GreenAltrincham
12
W
28/08/2026
AltrinchamFC Halifax Town
21
W
22/08/2026
Boston UnitedAltrincham
10
L
15/08/2026
Sutton UtdAltrincham
10
L
08/08/2026
AltrinchamSouthend
13
L
31/07/2026
AltrinchamManchester United U21
10
W
25/07/2026
AltrinchamMacclesfield
25
L
21/07/2026
ChorleyAltrincham
00
D
HartlepoolHartlepool
4W0D6L
11/09/2026
Kidderminster HarriersHartlepool
20
L
08/09/2026
HartlepoolEverton U21
01
L
05/09/2026
HartlepoolWoking
10
W
01/09/2026
FC Halifax TownHartlepool
10
L
28/08/2026
HartlepoolEastleigh
01
L
22/08/2026
Sutton UtdHartlepool
21
L
15/08/2026
Aldershot TownHartlepool
01
W
11/08/2026
HartlepoolMiddlesbrough U21
010
L
08/08/2026
HartlepoolBarrow
20
W
01/08/2026
HartlepoolFleetwood Town
10
W

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood15132040:14+2641WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town15101432:21+1131LWWWW
3SouthendSouthend1585236:24+1229DDWWD
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1692530:24+629WWLWL
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1584335:18+1728WLWWD
6WorthingWorthing1584332:22+1028DWWWD
7AltrinchamAltrincham1591522:20+228DWWLW
8BarrowBarrow1473425:18+724DWWWW
9CarlisleCarlisle1565428:21+723WWDWW
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1563626:20+621LDWWD
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1556416:14+221DLDDL
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1563617:21-421WLLDL
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1670918:26-821LLLWL
14WokingWoking1553724:24018LWLWL
15Forest GreenForest Green1353521:22-118DLDDL
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1553718:19-118LLLLL
17EastleighEastleigh1553718:24-618LWLLD
18TamworthTamworth1452725:31-617WLWWL
19WealdstoneWealdstone1543820:27-715LWLLD
20HartlepoolHartlepool15501015:23-815LWWLL
21Boston UnitedBoston United1543819:28-915WLLLD
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe14311018:28-1010LLLLW
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors15311117:39-2210WLLLW
24GatesheadGateshead1411129:33-244LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1540:1441
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1532:2131
3SouthendSouthend1536:2429
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1630:2429
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1535:1828
6WorthingWorthing1532:2228
7AltrinchamAltrincham1522:2028
8BarrowBarrow1425:1824
9CarlisleCarlisle1528:2123
10FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1526:2021
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1516:1421
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1517:2121
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1618:2621
14WokingWoking1524:2418
15Forest GreenForest Green1321:2218
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1518:1918
17EastleighEastleigh1518:2418
18TamworthTamworth1425:3117
19WealdstoneWealdstone1520:2715
20HartlepoolHartlepool1515:2315
21Boston UnitedBoston United1519:2815
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1418:2810
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1517:3910
24GatesheadGateshead149:334
PromotionRelegation

About the Altrincham vs Hartlepool forecast

The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Altrincham and Hartlepool in the National League table

In the National League table, Altrincham are 7th and Hartlepool 20th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Altrincham 22-20, Hartlepool 15-23. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Altrincham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.