America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 4
Olimpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali· Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua, Colombia 10/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36SignalNEUTRALModel45%RiskMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+8.8%
America de Cali Rest
3 days
Atletico Nacional Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.38
X31%3.00
225%3.05
Double Chance
1X75%1.36
X256%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.83
No47%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.94 = 2.54
Over 1.571%1.36
Over 2.550%2.15
Over 3.527%3.77
Under 1.529%2.90
Under 2.550%1.67
Under 3.573%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.560%1.69
Over 9.547%2.08
Over 10.534%2.80
Under 8.540%2.06
Under 9.553%1.67
Under 10.566%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.4 = 5.3
Over 3.574%1.37
Over 4.557%1.28
Under 3.526%2.75
Under 4.543%3.25
Match Events
35'C. Tovar
46'Y. GuzmanAssist: R. Carrascal
47'Jean
61'E. Tortolero INJ. Lucumi out
64'M. Uribe INJ. Rengifo out
64'Y. A. Perlaza Perea INS. Velasquez out
68'S. Garcia
72'T. Angel INA. Ramos out
72'A. Sarmiento INC. Arango out
78'A. Morelos
78'R. Carrascal
82'M. Moreno
84'R. Carrascal INJ. Cavadia out
84'Y. Quintero INB. Cordoba out
90+2'E. Cardona INN. Rodriguez out
90+3'Goal Disallowed - handballC. Arango
90+7'M. Casco
Lineups
America de CaliAtletico Nacional
4-2-3-1Coach: Lucas Gonzalez
1J. FernandesJean Fernandes
18Y. QuinteroYani Quintero
24C. TovarCristian Tovar
3D. RoseroDany Rosero
30O. BertelOmar Bertel
15R. CarrascalRafael Carrascal
5J. EscobarJosen Escobar
77E. TortoleroEdson Tortolero
10Y. GuzmánYeison Guzmán
88T. PalaciosTilman Palacios
21T. ÁngelTomás Ángel
34F. ArmaniFranco Armani
27Y. PerlazaYeicar Perlaza
28S. GarciaSimon Garcia
16W. TesilloWilliam Tesillo
20M. CascoMilton Casco
8M. UribeMatheus Uribe
21J. CampuzanoJorman Campuzano
7M. MorenoMarlos Moreno
10E. CardonaEdwin Cardona
29A. SarmientoAndrés Sarmiento
9A. MorelosAlfredo MorelosAmerica de Cali Substitutes
17Jan LucumíF
20Adrián RamosF
44Brayan CórdobaD
6José CavadiaM
12Juan MontoyaG
14Marcos MinaD
2Marlon TorresD
31Juan AponzáM
35Kevin AnguloF
Atletico Nacional Substitutes
33Samuel VelásquezM
19Juan Manuel RengifoF
17Cristian ArangoF
13Nicolás RodríguezF
25Luis MarquinezG
26Andres MarinD
4César HaydarD
31Xavi RiosM
3Neider ParraD
Match Stats
America de CaliAtletico Nacional 38%Ball Possession62%
2Corner Kicks13
3Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots3
15Fouls17
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves5
301Total Passes472
241Passes Accurate409
80%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
America de CaliAtletico Nacional1678Elo Rating 1766
2.40Attack 2.81
1.89Defense 2.50
56%Hit Rate 100%
14.7Shots per Game 15.2
5.8Shots on Target 7.0
5.5Corners per Game 5.9
2.9Cards per Game 2.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
Game State Tendencies
America de Cali- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1 in first half)
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
America de Cali 23%Draw 17%61% Atletico Nacional
3.52Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5
Recent Form
America de Cali4W1D0L
06/08/2026
Once CaldasAmerica de CaliAmerica de Cali
Chico
Internacional de BogotaAmerica de Cali
Once CaldasAmerica de Cali01
W03/08/2026America de CaliChico70
W30/07/2026
Real CartagenaAmerica de Cali
26/07/2026Real CartagenaAmerica de Cali11
DInternacional de BogotaAmerica de Cali02
W22/07/2026America de CaliReal Cartagena
America de CaliReal Cartagena21
WAtletico Nacional4W0D1L
02/08/2026
JaguaresAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Junior
JaguaresAtletico Nacional03
W29/07/2026
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional02
W21/07/2026Atletico NacionalTigres FC
09/06/2026Atletico NacionalTigres FC20
WAtletico NacionalJunior10
W03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional30
LReferee Profile
Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua, Colombia · 24 matches analysed
5.3Avg Yellows
5.6Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 94% of referees analysed
League Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWLWW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDDWD |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WWLWD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WLLDW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | DDWDW |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWLDW |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WWLWW |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | DWLDD |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DDDWD |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DLWLD |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLDD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLL |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | LWDLL |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 20 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Millonarios | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WLWDL |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | +5 | 15 | DWLDD |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:6 | +4 | 13 | DDDWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | +3 | 13 | WLLDW |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 12 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 12 | WWLWD |
| 10 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 | DDLLW |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 | DDWDW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 13 | Cucuta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 | DLLDD |
| 16 | Chico | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 17 | Jaguares | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 6 | DDLLD |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 | WDDWD |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 10 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 7 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 8 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 8 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 9 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 9 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 7 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 9 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 9 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 9 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Chico | 8 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Jaguares | 8 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pereira | 7 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 9 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 8:13 | 3 |
America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional Prediction
This Primera A meeting between America de Cali and Atletico Nacional carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera A
ScorePredicts covers Colombia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. America de Cali and Atletico Nacional have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.52 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.