Atletico Nacional vs Junior Prediction
Colombia · Apertura · Final
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.6 / 10
Value Analysis +1 more
69%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.78
SignalGOODModel77%SurpriseMedium
Atletico Nacional Rest
5 days
Junior Rest
5 days
Atletico Nacional vs Junior: result, form and history
Atletico Nacional beat Junior 1-0 in the Primera A on 8 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
162%1.44
X21%4.39
217%6.60
Double Chance
1X83%1.10
X238%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.83
No47%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1 = 2.58
Over 1.578%1.21
Over 2.554%1.70
Over 3.532%2.75
Under 1.522%4.05
Under 2.546%2.10
Under 3.568%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.29
Over 9.543%1.56
Over 10.531%1.92
Under 8.543%3.04
Under 9.557%2.25
Under 10.569%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.568%-
Over 4.547%-
Under 3.532%-
Under 4.553%-
Match Events
31'Goal Disallowed - offsideA. Roman
38'K. Catano
46'N. Rodriguez INE. Cardona out
54'L. Muriel INE. Herrera out
54'C. Barrios ING. Paiva out
54'J. Sarmiento INJ. Rivas out
56'E. CardonaAssist: A. Sarmiento
58'J. Rios
64'A. Morelos(Penalty missed)
65'J. Rengifo INM. Moreno out
69'B. Castrillon INJ. Canchimbo out
73'A. Roman INC. Arango out
73'M. Uribe INJ. Zapata out
77'J. Guerrero
84'A. Morelos IND. Asprilla out
90'G. Paiva
90+5'J. Guerrero INT. Gutierrez out
90+5'M. Moreno
90+8'
90+8'J. Zapata
Lineups
Atletico NacionalJunior
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfredo AriasAvg ratingAvg rating
15H. Castillo
6A. Román
4C. Haydar
C16W. Tesillo
20M. Casco
21J. Campuzano
8M. Uribe
13N. Rodríguez
19J. Manuel Rengifo
29A. Sarmiento
9A. Morelos
1M. Silveira
34J. Guerrero
98J. Peña
5D. Rivera
26Y. Suárez
C80F. Ángel
14J. David Ríos
77C. Barrios
20J. Sarmiento
88B. Castrillón
10L. MurielAtletico Nacional Substitutes
10Edwin Cardona46'for N. Rodriguez56'
7Marlos Moreno65'for J. Rengifo90+5'
44Kevin Cataño38'
3Neider Parra
31Xavi Rios
14Andres Marin
80Juan Zapata73'for M. Uribe90+8'
17Cristian Arango73'for A. Roman
27Dairon Asprilla84'for A. Morelos
Junior Substitutes
3Edwin Herrera54'for L. Muriel
22Jesús Rivas54'for J. Sarmiento
9Guillermo Paiva54'for C. Barrios90'
30Jefersson Martínez
38Andrés Schmalbach
33Lucas Monzón
21Joel Canchimbo69'for B. Castrillon
29Teófilo Gutiérrez90+5'for J. Guerrero
19Daniel Soccaras
Match Stats
Atletico NacionalJunior 69%Ball Possession31%
13Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1
33Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal3
16Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box3
18Shots Outside Box8
13Blocked Shots5
6Fouls9
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
407Total Passes197
328Passes Accurate123
81%Pass Accuracy62%
Team Comparison
Atletico NacionalJunior1754Elo Rating 1559
1.61Attack 1.10
2.39Defense 1.82
59%Hit Rate 19%
12.1Shots per Game 10.6
5.5Shots on Target 3.0
3.1Corners per Game 3.4
3.1Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Junior- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Nacional2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Junior5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional30
11/03/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional04
01/12/2025JuniorAtletico Nacional21
27/11/2025Atletico NacionalJunior11
14/11/2025JuniorAtletico Nacional21
25/05/2025Atletico NacionalJunior23
27/09/2024Atletico NacionalJunior20
03/03/2024JuniorAtletico Nacional00
18/09/2023JuniorAtletico Nacional11
11/04/2023Atletico NacionalJunior01
Recent Form
Atletico Nacional7W0D3L
03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional30
L24/05/2026Atletico Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima31
W17/05/2026Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional01
W13/05/2026Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota71
W09/05/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional12
W02/05/2026
Once CaldasAtletico Nacional
Once CaldasAtletico Nacional10
L25/04/2026
Deportivo PereiraAtletico Nacional
Deportivo PereiraAtletico Nacional10
L21/04/2026Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
Atletico NacionalBucaramanga20
W12/04/2026
Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional
Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional23
W07/04/2026Atletico Nacional
Jaguares
Atletico NacionalJaguares21
WJunior5W2D3L
03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional30
W29/05/2026
PalmeirasJunior
PalmeirasJunior41
L24/05/2026Junior
Santa Fe
JuniorSanta Fe5040
W21/05/2026Junior
Sporting Cristal
JuniorSporting Cristal32
W17/05/2026Santa FeJunior
Santa FeJunior11
D14/05/2026JuniorOnce Caldas
JuniorOnce Caldas22
D11/05/2026Once CaldasJunior
Once CaldasJunior01
W08/05/2026Junior
Cerro Porteno
JuniorCerro Porteno01
L04/05/2026Junior
Deportivo Pasto
JuniorDeportivo Pasto43
W29/04/2026Sporting CristalJunior
Sporting CristalJunior20
LReferee Profile
5.96Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.96 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.71).
Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
League Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | LWDWD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 17 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Llaneros vs Deportivo Pereira 25/07/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Jaguares 25/07/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto 25/07/26
- Millonarios vs Bucaramanga 26/07/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Junior 26/07/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs America de Cali 26/07/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe 26/07/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Fortaleza FC 27/07/26
About the Atletico Nacional vs Junior forecast
As a knockout tie in the Primera A, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Nacional and Junior in the Primera A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Atletico Nacional are 1st in the Primera A, 5 points ahead of Junior in 2nd. League goal record so far: Atletico Nacional 35-15, Junior 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.6 out of 10 by our context model. Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.