Ararat-Armenia vs Celje Prediction

Ararat-Armenia
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Celje
Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan·Ivan Kružliak, Slovakia 04/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Ararat-Armenia Rest
3 days
Celje Rest
2 days

Ararat-Armenia vs Celje: the result in context

Ararat-Armenia beat Celje 2-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Ivan Kružliak averages 4.99 cards a game, 0.83 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.75
X
22%3.19
2
48%2.49
Double Chance
1X
52%1.50
X2
70%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.70
No
50%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.87 = 2.96
Over 1.5
77%1.29
Over 2.5
53%1.95
Over 3.5
30%3.31
Under 1.5
23%3.35
Under 2.5
47%1.83
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'S. Seslar(Penalty)
38'A. Serobyan
46'V. Tusha INY. Dukuly out
58'Mario KvesićFoul
59'M. Carlier INA. Tera out
59'A. Serobyan INFranca Carlos out
64'S. Seslar INA. Kotnik out
64'A. Kucys INR. Pozeg out
70'Franca CarlosAssist: E. Grigoryan
83'Z. Banjaqui INM. Ayvazyan out
90'H. Oliveira INA. Ndour out
90'Sandro Lima INP. Ayongo out
90+5'Papa DanielFoul
90+5'P. Daniel INM. Poplatnik out

Lineups

Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3Coach: Tulipa
Celje
3-4-3Coach: Vitor Campelos
Joao Bravim98J. Bravim
Junior Julio3J. Julio
B. R. Wilson Valdez43B. R. Wilson Valdez
A. Malis47A. Malis
E. Grigoryan16E. Grigoryan
H. Oliveira2H. Oliveira
K. Muradyan19K. Muradyan
M. Carlier17M. Carlier
A. Serobyan77A. Serobyan
Sandro Lima91S. Lima
Z. Banjaqui11Z. Banjaqui
Z. Leban1Z. Leban
P. Sirvys2P. Sirvys
D. Hrka4D. Hrka
A. Tutyskinas6A. Tutyskinas
V. Tusha25V. Tusha
P. Daniel13P. Daniel
M. Zabukovnik19M. Zabukovnik
M. Kvesic8M. Kvesic
S. Seslar10S. Seslar
A. Kucys47A. Kucys
M. Avdyli11M. Avdyli

Ararat-Armenia Substitutes

1A. Nersesyan
5Luis Felipe
6M. Ayvazyan83'for Z. Banjaqui
7Z. Shaghoyan
8J. A. Balanta
9A. Eloyan
14B. Pereira
20A. Tera59'for M. Carlier
25A. Ndour90'for H. Oliveira
70Benny
90P. Ayongo90'for Sandro Lima
95Franca Carlos59'for A. Serobyan70'

Celje Substitutes

12L. Kolar
23Z. Frelih
3D. Vuklisevic
7B. Verbic
17A. Kotnik64'for S. Seslar
20A. Dionkou
27I. Calusic
33L. Koutris
77M. Ivansek
91Y. Dukuly46'for V. Tusha
94R. Pozeg64'for A. Kucys
99M. Poplatnik90+5'for P. Daniel

Team Comparison

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
CeljeCelje
1616Elo Rating 1666
1.75Attack 2.53
1.27Defense 1.98
39%Hit Rate 66%
15.6Shots per Game 8.3
6.6Shots on Target 5.6
5.7Corners per Game 2.0
4.6Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
CeljeCelje
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
CeljeCelje0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

UEFA Europa League24/09/2020
Ararat-ArmeniaCelje
1000

Recent Form

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
6W1D3L
01/08/2026
GandzasarArarat-Armenia
34
W
28/07/2026
Shamrock RoversArarat-Armenia
21
L
21/07/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers
20
W
14/07/2026
RigaArarat-Armenia
32
L
07/07/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaRiga
20
W
27/06/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaVojvodina
11
D
27/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaGandzasar
10
W
17/05/2026
BKMAArarat-Armenia
23
W
10/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaFC Noah
04
L
06/05/2026
Ararat-ArmeniaPyunik Yerevan
10
W
CeljeCelje
4W4D2L
01/08/2026
CeljeMaribor
11
D
28/07/2026
CeljeEgnatia Rrogozhinë
4111
W
22/07/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
33
D
17/07/2026
CeljeMura
22
D
08/07/2026
CeljeMTK Budapest
43
W
04/07/2026
CeljeCukaricki
11
D
01/07/2026
CeljeHNK Hajduk Split
01
L
27/06/2026
CeljeShkendija
10
W
22/05/2026
PrimorjeCelje
04
W
16/05/2026
CeljeKoper
12
L

Referee Profile

Ivan Kružliak227 matches

4.99Cards per match
4.79Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ivan Kružliak4.99
Other referees4.16

4.99 cards a match, 0.83 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.16).

Cards come from 164 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded

About the Ararat-Armenia vs Celje forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ararat-Armenia and Celje have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.