Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty Prediction

Levski Sofia
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Kairat Almaty
Georgi Asparuhov Stadium, Sofia·Donatas Rumsas, Lithuania 04/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.25
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
Levski Sofia Rest
3 days
Kairat Almaty Rest
6 days

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty: result, form and history

Levski Sofia beat Kairat Almaty 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Levski Sofia tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.1 for Kairat Almaty.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.63
X
22%3.58
2
24%5.75
Double Chance
1X
75%1.13
X2
46%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.15
No
50%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1.16 = 2.67
Over 1.5
75%1.40
Over 2.5
52%2.25
Over 3.5
25%4.20
Under 1.5
25%2.85
Under 2.5
48%1.62
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'N. Serafimov INM. Soula out
60'Edmilson INI. Bekbolat out
61'O. Baybek IND. Kasabulat out
64'A. Oko-Flex INA. Mitkov out
77'O. Jukkola INM. Birkurmanov out
77'M. Gual INE. Tapalov out
78'Reinaldo INJ. Perea out
88'G. Mendonsa INA. Shirobokov out
90'Everton Bala INS. Stoyanchov out
90'SerginhoAssist: M. Soula
90+3'SerginhoFoul

Lineups

Levski Sofia
4-3-3Coach: Julio Velazquez
Kairat Almaty
4-3-3Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin
S. Vutsov92S. Vutsov
A. Neves21A. Neves
K. Dimitrov50K. Dimitrov
N. Serafimov31N. Serafimov
A. Centelles20A. Centelles
Serginho35Serginho
G. Trdin18G. Trdin
M. Moubarik19M. Moubarik
A. Oko-Flex11A. Oko-Flex
Reinaldo7Reinaldo
Everton Bala17E. Bala
T. Anarbekov1T. Anarbekov
A. Mrynskiy24A. Mrynskiy
A. Martynovich14A. Martynovich
Lucas Africo44L. Africo
L. Mata3L. Mata
O. Baybek8O. Baybek
J. Oksanen13J. Oksanen
G. Mendonsa22G. Mendonsa
M. Gual28M. Gual
Edmilson9Edmilson
O. Jukkola19O. Jukkola

Levski Sofia Substitutes

1O. Vladimirov
78M. Lukov
2S. Hevertton
4C. Makoun
9J. Perea78'for Reinaldo
10A. Mitkov64'for A. Oko-Flex
22M. Soula46'for N. Serafimov
27D. Kusso
28S. Stoyanchov90'for Everton Bala
77A. Raychev

Kairat Almaty Substitutes

30D. Buch
82S. Kalmurza
4D. Kasabulat61'for O. Baybek
5L. Kurgin
6A. Sadybekov
15M. Birkurmanov77'for O. Jukkola
17A. Tuyakbaev
20E. Tapalov77'for M. Gual
25A. Shirobokov88'for G. Mendonsa
32A. Nurgaliev
59D. Tashpulatov
81I. Bekbolat60'for Edmilson

Team Comparison

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
1757Elo Rating 1648
1.31Attack 1.76
2.64Defense 1.28
81%Hit Rate 14%
13.4Shots per Game 9.5
4.7Shots on Target 3.2
5.9Corners per Game 3.1
1.9Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Donatas Rumsas193 matches

4.25Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Donatas Rumsas4.25
Other referees4.33

4.25 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 68 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded

About the Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.