Aris vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction

Aris
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Omonia Nicosia
Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi·Menelaos Antoniou, Cyprus 07/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.69
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Aris Rest
9 days
Omonia Nicosia Rest
4 days

Aris vs Omonia Nicosia: the result in context

Omonia Nicosia beat Aris 4-1 in the 1. Division on 7 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Menelaos Antoniou averages 4.15 cards a game, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%3.00
X
27%3.50
2
38%2.15
Double Chance
1X
62%1.67
X2
65%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.58
No
41%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.81 = 3.10
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
63%1.69
Over 3.5
39%2.71
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
37%2.07
Under 3.5
61%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'L. Diony
9'Goal Disallowed - video reviewR. Effaghe
19'A. Sarfo
31'Goal Disallowed - video review
32'Anderson Correia
34'M. Mayambela
46'M. Mayambela INCosta Ewandro out
49'L. Satka
53'R. Effaghe
57'L. Diony
59'S. Yago
61'G. Kalulu INL. Maras out
63'J. Balkovec INA. Christou out
63'L. Diony INF. Tanase out
63'M. Tankovic INL. Brouwers out
69'J. Montnor INA. Kakoullis out
70'Gustavo Paje IND. Gaustad out
70'S. Yago INM. Sane out
75'L. Brouwers
75'Werton INB. Szakos out
75'R. Effaghe INO. Lebi out

Team Comparison

ArisAris
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia
1623Elo Rating 1729
2.37Attack 1.18
2.17Defense 0.86
81%Hit Rate 23%
-Shots per Game 10.3
-Shots on Target 4.4
-Corners per Game 4.1
-Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ArisAris
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ArisAris1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia4Wins · 40%
2.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

1. Division02/05/2026
Omonia NicosiaAris
30
1. Division21/03/2026
ArisOmonia Nicosia
22
1. Division25/01/2026
ArisOmonia Nicosia
35
1. Division05/10/2025
Omonia NicosiaAris
00
1. Division12/05/2025
ArisOmonia Nicosia
33
1. Division06/04/2025
Omonia NicosiaAris
21
1. Division19/01/2025
Omonia NicosiaAris
00
1. Division06/10/2024
ArisOmonia Nicosia
20
Cup17/04/2024
Omonia NicosiaAris
00
Cup10/04/2024
ArisOmonia Nicosia
03

Recent Form

ArisAris
2W1D7L
29/08/2026
ArisApollon Limassol
22
D
09/08/2026
Union BerlinAris
32
L
30/07/2026
AtromitosAris
10
L
18/07/2026
Legia WarszawaAris
02
W
22/05/2026
ArisAEK Larnaca
34
L
16/05/2026
Apollon LimassolAris
32
L
10/05/2026
PafosAris
20
L
06/05/2026
ArisApoel Nicosia
10
W
02/05/2026
Omonia NicosiaAris
30
L
25/04/2026
AEK LarnacaAris
20
L
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia
3W4D3L
03/09/2026
Omonia NicosiaPafos
01
L
31/08/2026
Omonia NicosiaOmonia Aradippou
00
D
27/08/2026
Omonia NicosiaSt. Truiden
42
W
20/08/2026
St. TruidenOmonia Nicosia
10
L
13/08/2026
Omonia NicosiaLincoln Red Imps FC
10
W
06/08/2026
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia Nicosia
11
D
29/07/2026
Kairat AlmatyOmonia Nicosia
6150
L
22/07/2026
Omonia NicosiaKairat Almaty
10
W
09/07/2026
Korona KielceOmonia Nicosia
00
D
05/07/2026
Omonia NicosiaHapoel Beer Sheva
22
D

Referee Profile

Menelaos Antoniou26 matches

4.15Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.00Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Menelaos Antoniou4.15
Other referees4.69

4.15 cards a match, 0.54 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca962119:8+1120WDWDW
2Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia953117:6+1118WWLDW
3AELAEL960314:14018WLLWW
4Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia952221:11+1017WWWDW
5Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol944121:11+1016LDWWW
6PafosPafos944113:7+616WDDDW
7ArisAris943213:13015LWWDW
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou932415:17-211LWLWL
9OlympiakosOlympiakos916212:13-19WLDDL
10Nea SalamisNea Salamis922514:18-48WLDLL
11AnorthosisAnorthosis92077:17-106LLWLL
12KarmiotissaKarmiotissa91356:20-146LWLLL
13Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou91357:13-66LLLLL
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas91269:20-115LDDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca919:820
2Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia917:618
3AELAEL914:1418
4Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia921:1117
5Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol921:1116
6PafosPafos913:716
7ArisAris913:1315
8Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou915:1711
9OlympiakosOlympiakos912:139
10Nea SalamisNea Salamis914:188
11AnorthosisAnorthosis97:176
12KarmiotissaKarmiotissa96:206
13Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou97:136
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas99:205
PromotionRelegation

About the Aris vs Omonia Nicosia forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Aris and Omonia Nicosia in the 1. Division table

In the 1. Division table, Omonia Nicosia are 2nd and Aris 7th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Aris 13-13, Omonia Nicosia 17-6. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aris have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.