Pafos vs AEL Prediction
Cyprus · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Pafos vs AEL: the result in context
AEL beat Pafos 2-0 in the 1. Division on 18 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Pafos have had the better of this fixture, winning 10 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Referee Marios Christoforou averages 3.67 cards a game, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Pafos
99R. Majecki
7Bruno
5D. Goldar
4D. Luiz
12K. Sema
13N. Moumie Ngamaleu
26I. Šunjić
30V. Dragomir
88Pêpê
14N. Ioannou
18Lelê
1S. Kapino
33E. Antoniou
23D. Gomes
22K. Neofytou
10R. Oudin
6D. Zdravkovski
20J. Tavares
11L. Singh
30G. Papageorgiou
77F. Régis Mughe
9S. JovetićPafos Substitutes
AEL Substitutes
Team Comparison
PafosAELAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Pafos- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AEL- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Pafos10Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
22/04/2026PafosAEL08/04/2026AELPafos
15/02/2026AELPafos02/11/2025PafosAEL06/01/2025PafosAEL22/09/2024AELPafos23/12/2023AELPafos02/09/2023PafosAEL08/02/2023PafosAEL06/11/2022AELPafosRecent Form
Pafos
AEK LarnacaPafosPafos
Olympiakos
Omonia NicosiaPafos
KarmiotissaPafosPafos
Dinamo TiranaDinamo TiranaPafosPafos
Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull SalzburgPafosPafos
HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk SplitPafosAELAEL
Nea Salamis
Apoel NicosiaAELAEL
Anorthosis
Krasava OdintsovoAEL
Radomiak RadomAEL
AkritasAELAELOlympiakos
Krasava YpsonasAELAELAnorthosisPafosAELReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.67 cards a match, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).
Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | 20 | WDWDW |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 18 | WWLDW |
| 3 | AEL | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 | WLLWW |
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | +10 | 17 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  Apollon Limassol | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 16 | LDWWW |
| 6 | Pafos | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 16 | WDDDW |
| 7 |  Aris | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 8 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 | LWLWL |
| 9 | Olympiakos | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 8 | WLDLL |
| 11 | Anorthosis | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 6 | LWLLL |
| 13 |  Omonia Aradippou | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 5 | LDDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 3 | AEL | 9 | 14:14 | 18 |
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | 21:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 9 | 21:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Pafos | 9 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 7 | Aris | 9 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | 15:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Olympiakos | 9 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | 14:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Anorthosis | 9 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 9 | 6:20 | 6 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 9 | 9:20 | 5 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More 1. Division matches
About the Pafos vs AEL forecast
The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Pafos and AEL in the 1. Division table
In the 1. Division table, AEL are 3rd and Pafos 6th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Pafos 13-7, AEL 14-14. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.