Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk Prediction

Arsenal Tula
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Chelyabinsk
Arsenal Stadium (Tula), Tula 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Arsenal Tula Rest
7 days
Chelyabinsk Rest
6 days

Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk: the result in context

Chelyabinsk beat Arsenal Tula 2-1 in the First League on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Chelyabinsk tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.0 for Arsenal Tula.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.24
X
29%3.38
2
29%3.12
Double Chance
1X
71%1.33
X2
58%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.19 = 2.45
Over 1.5
72%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.97
Over 3.5
28%3.36
Under 1.5
28%3.38
Under 2.5
52%1.85
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

47'Garrik Levin
62'Timur Melekestsev INTamarindo out
66'Matvey Urvantsev INLuis Kacorri out
66'Ilya Safronov INBaba N'Diaye out
71'Tamarindo
76'Konstantin Kertanov INGeorgiy Borisov out
78'Khetag Kochiev
81'Ivan Enin INDavid Davidyan out
88'Igor Gorbunov INKirill Bolshakov out
90'Ramazan Gadzhimuradov INDenis Samoilov out
90+1'Luis Kacorri
90+3'

Lineups

Arsenal Tula
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Alenichev
Chelyabinsk
4-2-3-1Coach: Aleksey Meleshin
A. Melikhov42A. Melikhov
A. Alekhin82A. Alekhin
K. Gotsuk24K. Gotsuk
I. Enin35I. Enin
D. Plotnikov77D. Plotnikov
M. Brnović14M. Brnović
I. Gorbunov17I. Gorbunov
O. Isaenko44O. Isaenko
A. Biryukov25A. Biryukov
R. Magomedov11R. Magomedov
T. Melekestsev23T. Melekestsev
I. Lomaev1I. Lomaev
B. Gatin5B. Gatin
K. Kochiev15K. Kochiev
V. Lystsov50V. Lystsov
2727M. Ilya Gribakin
S. Makarov6S. Makarov
K. Kertanov18K. Kertanov
R. Gadzhimuradov10R. Gadzhimuradov
G. Levin70G. Levin
I. Safronov7I. Safronov
M. Urvantsev29M. Urvantsev

Arsenal Tula Substitutes

10I. Zhigulev
75T. Zhamaletdinov
22G. Uridia
7Tamarindo62'for Timur Melekestsev71'
8D. Shamkin
21N. Razdorskikh
4D. Penchikov
36M. Levashov
5Y. Krashevskiy
45N. Karmaev
9D. Davidyan81'for Ivan Enin
31K. Bolshakov88'for Igor Gorbunov

Chelyabinsk Substitutes

55G. Borisov76'for Konstantin Kertanov
93I. Tuseev
74L. Kaçorri66'for Matvey Urvantsev90+1'
99D. Kamenshchikov
11G. Miroshnichenko
17B. N'Diaye66'for Ilya Safronov
31M. Pereverzev
33D. Pokotylo
24N. Pridava
77D. Samoylov90'for Ramazan Gadzhimuradov
72A. Bem

Match Stats

Arsenal TulaChelyabinsk
51%Ball Possession49%
1Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
0Total Shots0
0Shots on Goal0
0Shots off Goal0
0Blocked Shots0
10Free Kicks3

Team Comparison

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
1396Elo Rating 1445
1.55Attack 1.53
0.09Defense 1.48
39%Hit Rate 41%
3.4Shots per Game 9.1
2.7Shots on Target 4.5
3.0Corners per Game 5.9
2.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

First League22/04/2026
Arsenal TulaChelyabinsk
00
First League19/10/2025
ChelyabinskArsenal Tula
22

Recent Form

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
2W2D6L
30/10/2026
Nizhny NovgorodArsenal Tula
40
L
24/10/2026
Arsenal TulaKAMAZ
43
W
17/10/2026
FC UFAArsenal Tula
20
L
09/10/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
32
W
04/10/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
31
L
16/09/2026
EniseyArsenal Tula
31
L
13/09/2026
Arsenal TulaSka-khabarovsk
22
D
08/09/2026
TekstilshchikArsenal Tula
10
L
05/09/2026
Volga UlyanovskArsenal Tula
30
L
29/08/2026
Arsenal TulaUral
22
D
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
4W2D4L
01/11/2026
ChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl
20
W
25/10/2026
ChelyabinskUral
13
L
18/10/2026
TekstilshchikChelyabinsk
21
L
13/10/2026
Spartak KostromaChelyabinsk
10
L
09/10/2026
FK NeftekhimikChelyabinsk
24
W
26/09/2026
ChelyabinskEnisey
11
D
18/09/2026
ChelyabinskFC UFA
21
W
14/09/2026
KAMAZChelyabinsk
11
D
10/09/2026
Dinamo BarnaulChelyabinsk
02
W
05/09/2026
ChelyabinskSpartak Kostroma
01
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod17151152:15+3746WWWWW
2UralUral17104329:11+1834WWWLL
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1795329:13+1632WDDWW
4FC SochiFC Sochi17102526:20+632LLWWW
5VelesVeles1894523:21+231WDLDW
6Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1784522:20+228LDLWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1768322:18+426WLWDW
8FC UFAFC UFA1757519:17+222LDLWL
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1864822:25-322LDWWD
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1756624:19+521DDDLD
11ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1763823:27-421WWLLW
12Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1754820:35-1519LLWLW
13LeningradetsLeningradets1746716:27-1118DWDLL
14EniseyEnisey1745819:33-1417WLLLL
15Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1744923:28-516WWWLD
16KAMAZKAMAZ1735921:30-914LDLWD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik17411211:25-1413LLDLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik17251012:29-1711LDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1752:1546
2UralUral1729:1134
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1729:1332
4FC SochiFC Sochi1726:2032
5VelesVeles1823:2131
6Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1722:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1722:1826
8FC UFAFC UFA1719:1722
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1822:2522
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1724:1921
11ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1723:2721
12Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1720:3519
13LeningradetsLeningradets1716:2718
14EniseyEnisey1719:3317
15Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1723:2816
16KAMAZKAMAZ1721:3014
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1711:2513
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1712:2911

About the Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk in the First League table

Chelyabinsk and Arsenal Tula are close in the First League table, 11th and 12th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Arsenal Tula 20-35, Chelyabinsk 23-27. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chelyabinsk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Arsenal Tula and Chelyabinsk have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.