Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripoli 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.34
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Asteras Tripolis Rest
2 days
Aris Thessalonikis Rest
4 days

Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis: result, form and history

Asteras Tripolis and Aris Thessalonikis drew 1-1 in the Cup on 10 Sep 2026. Aris Thessalonikis had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Asteras Tripolis.

Aris Thessalonikis have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Aris Thessalonikis tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 2.7 for Asteras Tripolis.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.92
X
24%3.30
2
50%2.20
Double Chance
1X
50%1.57
X2
74%1.34
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'M. Garcia ING. Gianniotas out
46'S. Palacios INB. Garre out
55'A. PapakanellosFoul
60'B. Kimpioka INJ. Bartolo out
60'F. MachedaAssist: E. Gonzalez
63'R. Mir INL. Moron out
63'B. Sutalo INFabiano out
68'L. MoronAssist: C. Kouame
69'J. PetrisFoul
71'F. Macheda INRicardinho out
83'G. Kotsiras INJ. Chicco out
83'A. Papakanellos INN. Kaltsas out
83'E. Gonzalez ING. Gitersos out
86'K. Charoupas INS. Papasarafianos out
90+1'A. MendezFoul
90+2'E. GonzalezUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'B. GarreFoul

Team Comparison

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
1482Elo Rating 1616
0.72Attack 1.57
1.03Defense 1.09
14%Hit Rate 50%
8.7Shots per Game 13.3
3.3Shots on Target 4.0
2.7Corners per Game 5.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis6Wins · 60%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League 120/12/2025
Asteras TripolisAris Thessalonikis
01
Super League 109/11/2025
Aris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
00
Super League 110/05/2025
Aris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
42
Super League 129/03/2025
Asteras TripolisAris Thessalonikis
02
Super League 123/12/2024
Asteras TripolisAris Thessalonikis
21
Super League 131/08/2024
Aris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
11
Super League 103/01/2024
Asteras TripolisAris Thessalonikis
32
Super League 103/09/2023
Aris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
32
Super League 108/01/2023
Aris ThessalonikisAsteras Tripolis
30
Super League 111/09/2022
Asteras TripolisAris Thessalonikis
02

Recent Form

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
2W4D4L
07/09/2026
Asteras TripolisIraklis 1908
02
L
30/08/2026
Asteras TripolisOlympiakos Piraeus
01
L
23/08/2026
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
31
L
18/08/2026
LevadiakosAsteras Tripolis
20
L
31/07/2026
ADO Den HaagAsteras Tripolis
00
D
28/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
11
D
21/05/2026
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
12
W
16/05/2026
Asteras TripolisKifisia
00
D
12/05/2026
Asteras TripolisPanserraikos
10
W
09/05/2026
LarisaAsteras Tripolis
11
D
Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis
8W0D2L
05/09/2026
AEK Athens FCAris Thessalonikis
50
L
30/08/2026
Aris ThessalonikisOFI
21
W
22/08/2026
KalamataAris Thessalonikis
23
W
17/08/2026
Anagennisi KarditsasAris Thessalonikis
02
W
12/08/2026
NapoliAris Thessalonikis
62
L
30/07/2026
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
13
W
17/05/2026
Aris ThessalonikisLevadiakos
30
W
13/05/2026
Volos NFCAris Thessalonikis
12
W
10/05/2026
Aris ThessalonikisOFI
31
W
03/05/2026
OFIAris Thessalonikis
02
W

About the Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessalonikis forecast

This is a Cup cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About Cup

More Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aris Thessalonikis have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.