Atlante FC vs Toluca Prediction

Atlante FC
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Toluca
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City· Salvador Perez Villalobos, Mexico 16/08/2026
Atlante FCAtlante FC
0-0
Finished
TolucaToluca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+8.2%
Atlante FC Rest
3 days
Toluca Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%5.50
X
24%4.20
2
50%1.53
Double Chance
1X
50%2.38
X2
74%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.67
No
36%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.54 = 2.70
Over 1.5
76%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.61
Over 3.5
35%2.50
Under 1.5
24%4.50
Under 2.5
44%2.25
Under 3.5
65%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 4.9 = 8.4
Over 8.5
44%1.45
Over 9.5
42%1.79
Over 10.5
31%2.22
Under 8.5
56%2.45
Under 9.5
58%1.90
Under 10.5
69%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%1.67
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%2.10

Match Events

13'A. QuirosFoul
29'E. Jimenez INW. Clar out
53'O. Vazquez INMartin Sarrafiore out
60'J. Angulo INHelinho out
60'D. Barbosa INP. Perez out
74'E. Gutierrez INF. Arce out
75'L. Garcia INH. Gonzalez out
80'L. Puente INJ. Moxica out
82'J. Diaz Price INV. Guzman out
90+9'J. N. CarreraFoul

Lineups

Atlante FC
Coach: Ernesto Herrera Aguirre Miguel
Toluca
Coach: Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio

Atlante FC Starting XI

1O. Jimenez
29W. Portales
6J. N. Carrera
4E. Tercero
44A. Quiros
34E. Jimenez
10O. Vazquez
8E. Pizzuto
19L. Calzadilla
9L. Puente
7Jhojan Julio

Toluca Starting XI

22L. Garcia
2D. Barbosa
4Bruno Mendez
6F. Pereira
25E. del Villar
17B. A. Garcia Caprizo
10J. Angulo
5F. Romero
35E. Gutierrez
29J. Diaz Price
16F. Vinas

Atlante FC Substitutes

33Garcia Jordan
3L. Sanchez
32D. O. Bagui Tobar
14C. Alfaro
37W. Clar
13M. Garcia Pardo
21J. Ibarra
30Martin Sarrafiore
11J. Moxica
16D. Gonzalez

Toluca Substitutes

1H. Gonzalez
13Luan
3A. Briseno
184S. Aceves
24F. Arce
7V. Guzman
192L. Navarrete
11Helinho
15P. Perez
23O. Virgen

Team Comparison

Atlante FCAtlante FC
TolucaToluca
1542Elo Rating 1813
0.63Attack 2.70
1.40Defense 2.54
0%Hit Rate 100%
20.0Shots per Game 11.1
4.2Shots on Target 4.6
6.2Corners per Game 4.5
1.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atlante FCAtlante FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TolucaToluca
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Atlante FC 0%Draw 100%0% Toluca
6Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Atlante FCAtlante FC
2W1D2L
12/08/2026
Minnesota United FCAtlante FC
31
L
09/08/2026
Real Salt LakeAtlante FC
40
L
05/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsAtlante FC
01
W
02/08/2026
Cruz AzulAtlante FC
23
W
25/07/2026
Atlante FCClub America
11
D
TolucaToluca
3W0D2L
13/08/2026
TolucaFC Dallas
31
W
09/08/2026
TolucaLos Angeles FC
01
L
06/08/2026
TolucaSeattle Sounders
30
W
03/08/2026
TolucaNecaxa
31
W
26/07/2026
TolucaCruz Azul
13
L

Referee Profile

Salvador Perez Villalobos, Mexico · 7 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
24.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 51% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Atlante FC vs Toluca Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Toluca have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Atlante FC and Toluca have met 1 times recently, averaging 6 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.