Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Toluca
22L. GarcíaLuis García
19S. SimónSantiago Simón
6F. PereiraFederico Pereira
25E. LópezEverardo López
20J. GallardoJesús Gallardo
29J. DíazJorge Díaz
5F. RomeroFranco Romero
10J. Ricardo AnguloJesús Ricardo Angulo
35É. GutiérrezÉrick Gutiérrez
9A. VegaAlexis Vega
21I. LópezIvan López
12L. JimenezLuis Jimenez
99E. RodriguezEmilio Rodriguez
33R. MartínezRaúl Martínez
4A. PeñaAlexis Peña
3A. OliverosAgustín Oliveros
88C. VargasCarlos Vargas
8L. FaravelliLorenzo Faravelli
6D. LeyvaDanny Leyva
10J. RuizJavier Ruiz
11J. TorresJuan Torres
9J. CarranzaJulián CarranzaToluca Substitutes
Necaxa Substitutes
Match Stats
TolucaNecaxa Team Comparison
TolucaNecaxaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Toluca- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Necaxa- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Recent Form
TolucaToluca
Cruz AzulToluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Guadalajara ChivasToluca
Atlante FCToluca
CancúnTolucaNecaxaNecaxa
MonterreyNecaxaAtlante FC
AtlasNecaxa
Correcaminos UatNecaxaNecaxa
MonarcasReferee Profile
Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico · 18 matches analysed
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | +11 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 17 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 7 |  Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 8 |  Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 | DLWLW |
| 9 | Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 12 | DWWDD |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 | WLLWD |
| 14 | Atlante FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 | DLDDL |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:23 | -17 | 3 | WLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 20:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Club Queretaro | 8 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Leon | 9 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Puebla | 9 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Atlas | 9 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 8 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 9 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Atlante FC | 9 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 9 | 6:23 | 3 |
Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Liga MX
ScorePredicts covers Mexico football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Toluca have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Toluca and Necaxa have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.6 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.