Samsunspor vs Göztepe Prediction

Samsunspor
3-3
Finished
HT 2-1
Göztepe
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun·Kadir Saglam, Türkiye 17/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Samsunspor Rest
16 days
Göztepe Rest
22 days

Samsunspor vs Göztepe: result, form and history

Samsunspor and Göztepe drew 3-3 in the Süper Lig on 17 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.20
X
28%3.25
2
32%3.25
Double Chance
1X
68%1.33
X2
60%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.73
No
42%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.33 = 2.75
Over 1.5
80%1.29
Over 2.5
56%1.95
Over 3.5
30%3.35
Under 1.5
20%3.35
Under 2.5
44%1.83
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.1 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.52
Over 9.5
53%1.92
Over 10.5
43%2.38
Under 8.5
36%2.32
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
57%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.2 = 5.9
Over 3.5
78%-
Over 4.5
61%1.65
Under 3.5
22%-
Under 4.5
39%2.15

Match Events

-5'Juan Santos da SilvaArgument
3'A. Matos
17'Alex MatosFoul
25'Penalty confirmedSaikuba Jarju
30'Marius(Penalty)
43'E. KilincAssist: J. Mendes
46'S. Armstrong
52'Toni BorevkovićArgument
52'Sinclair ArmstrongArgument
55'Penalty confirmedMarius Mouandilmadji
56'AllanFoul
58'Marius Mouandilmadji(Penalty missed)
60'A. Antunes INE. Bekiroglu out
60'A. Matos INRhaldney out
61'S. Armstrong INJuan Santos out
61'Andre Henrique INJanderson out
65'E. BekirogluAssist: Janderson
70'Marius INF. Kaya out
78'S. Jarju INA. Sekongo out
78'Y. Kayan INS. Onur out
90'C. YukselAssist: F. Kaya
90+2'A. Kurtulan INO. Bayrak out

Lineups

Samsunspor
4-3-3Coach: Thorsten Fink
Göztepe
3-4-1-2Coach: Stanimir Stoilov
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.69
O. Kocuk6.21O. Kocuk
J. Mendes6.92J. Mendes
T. Borevkovic6.324T. Borevkovic
A. B. Diabbate6.26A. B. Diabbate
L. Tomasson6.217L. Tomasson
A. Makoumbou6.229A. Makoumbou
C. Yuksel8.25C. Yuksel
Y. Kayan6.320Y. Kayan
S. Jarju6.730S. Jarju
Marius7.29Marius
E. KilincC8.211E. Kilinc
L. Gugeshashvili5.725L. Gugeshashvili
T. AltikardesC6.24T. Altikardes
Allan Godoi6.03A. Godoi
E. Yildirim6.213E. Yildirim
A. Kurtulan6.92A. Kurtulan
A. Matos7.56A. Matos
N. Miroshi6.920N. Miroshi
A. Cherni7.215A. Cherni
A. Antunes6.68A. Antunes
Andre Henrique6.57A. Henrique
S. Armstrong7.522S. Armstrong

Samsunspor Substitutes

25B. Bayazit
13E. Ustun
34G. Guarino
72M. Tan
23E. Albak
42A. Sekongo78'for S. Jarju6.5
8S. Onur78'for Y. Kayan7.2
70T. Bulbul
14F. Kaya70'for Marius6.6

Göztepe Substitutes

1A. Ozcimen
33S. Ozturk
16O. Bayrak90+2'for A. Kurtulan
10E. Bekiroglu60'for A. Antunes65'7.6
5Rhaldney60'for A. Matos7.0
11Guilherme Luiz
9Juan Santos-5'61'for S. Armstrong6.3
17G. Bayrakdar
39Janderson61'for Andre Henrique6.2

Match Stats

SamsunsporGöztepe
69%Ball Possession31%
4Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box6
11Blocked Shots7
8Fouls13
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves0
509Total Passes230
408Passes Accurate138
80%Pass Accuracy60%

Team Comparison

SamsunsporSamsunspor
GöztepeGöztepe
1594Elo Rating 1738
0.96Attack 2.33
0.00Defense 2.25
0%Hit Rate 86%
12.0Shots per Game 14.9
3.8Shots on Target 6.4
4.4Corners per Game 4.5
2.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SamsunsporSamsunspor
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
GöztepeGöztepe
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

SamsunsporSamsunspor3Wins · 43%
Draws114%
GöztepeGöztepe3Wins · 43%
2.7Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Süper Lig16/05/2026
SamsunsporGöztepe
30
Süper Lig21/12/2025
GöztepeSamsunspor
20
Süper Lig03/03/2025
GöztepeSamsunspor
22
Süper Lig28/09/2024
SamsunsporGöztepe
43
1. Lig07/04/2023
GöztepeSamsunspor
10
1. Lig06/11/2022
SamsunsporGöztepe
10
Türkiye Kupası29/12/2021
GöztepeSamsunspor
10

Recent Form

SamsunsporSamsunspor
6W1D3L
01/08/2026
KVC WesterloSamsunspor
12
W
29/07/2026
AEK Athens FCSamsunspor
12
W
25/07/2026
RAAL La LouvièreSamsunspor
00
D
22/07/2026
DunkerqueSamsunspor
21
L
16/05/2026
SamsunsporGöztepe
30
W
09/05/2026
BaşakşehirSamsunspor
30
L
02/05/2026
SamsunsporGalatasaray
41
W
27/04/2026
AlanyasporSamsunspor
23
W
23/04/2026
SamsunsporTrabzonspor
1030
L
19/04/2026
SamsunsporBeşiktaş
21
W
GöztepeGöztepe
5W4D1L
26/07/2026
GöztepeRudes
11
D
23/07/2026
Zorya LuhanskGöztepe
12
W
16/07/2026
LNZ CherkasyGöztepe
02
W
13/07/2026
HNK GoricaGöztepe
02
W
16/05/2026
SamsunsporGöztepe
30
L
09/05/2026
GöztepeGaziantep FK
21
W
02/05/2026
TrabzonsporGöztepe
11
D
25/04/2026
GöztepeAntalyaspor
20
W
18/04/2026
KocaelisporGöztepe
11
D
12/04/2026
GöztepeKasımpaşa
33
D

Referee Profile

Kadir Saglam134 matches

5.11Cards per match
4.88Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kadir Saglam5.11
Other referees4.72

5.11 cards a match, 0.39 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.72).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1191127:15+1228WWWWW
2TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1181226:8+1825WWWWW
3AmedAmed1172228:15+1323LWWWD
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1171323:12+1122WDWLW
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1155117:11+620WDWWL
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1161429:10+1919WLLWW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor1161413:9+419WDWLL
8BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1152419:17+217WWLWD
9Çorum FKÇorum FK1151521:21016LWLWW
10GöztepeGöztepe1143422:19+315LWWWW
11RizesporRizespor1142513:16-314WDLLL
12Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK1142510:17-714LLWWD
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor113359:18-912LLLLD
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1132612:21-911LWLLD
15KonyasporKonyaspor112276:14-88LLWLD
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK112279:19-108LLLLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1121811:26-157WLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor1110103:30-273LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1127:1528
2TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1126:825
3AmedAmed1128:1523
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1123:1222
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1117:1120
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1129:1019
7KocaelisporKocaelispor1113:919
8BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1119:1717
9Çorum FKÇorum FK1121:2116
10GöztepeGöztepe1122:1915
11RizesporRizespor1113:1614
12Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK1110:1714
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor119:1812
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1112:2111
15KonyasporKonyaspor116:148
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK119:198
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1111:267
18EyüpsporEyüpspor113:303
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Samsunspor vs Göztepe forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Samsunspor and Göztepe in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Göztepe are 10th and Samsunspor 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Samsunspor 11-26, Göztepe 22-19. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Göztepe have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.