Bayern München vs Union Berlin Prediction

Allianz Arena, Munich·Benjamin Brand 18/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 3.5
1.47
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Bayern München Rest
5 days
Union Berlin Rest
7 days

Bayern München vs Union Berlin: result, form and history

Bayern München beat Union Berlin 7-0 in the Bundesliga on 18 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bayern München had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Union Berlin.

Bayern München have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
96%1.05
X
2%17.00
2
2%36.00
Double Chance
1X
98%1.01
X2
4%11.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.87
No
43%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 3.08 + 0.86 = 3.94
Over 1.5
91%1.02
Over 2.5
80%1.07
Over 3.5
62%1.25
Under 1.5
9%18.00
Under 2.5
20%7.15
Under 3.5
38%3.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 2.9 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.19
Over 9.5
55%1.40
Over 10.5
48%1.65
Under 8.5
34%3.74
Under 9.5
45%2.71
Under 10.5
52%2.11
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.8 = 3
Over 3.5
34%2.57
Over 4.5
18%4.15
Under 3.5
66%1.47
Under 4.5
82%1.21

Match Events

18'Jamal MusialaAssist: Alphonso Davies
38'Felix UduokhaiDissent
39'Harry Kane(Penalty)
42'Rani KhediraFoul
43'Michael OliseAssist: Jamal Musiala
45'Dayot Upamecano INKim Min-Jae out
45'Emmanuel Latte Lath INTim Skarke out
45+2'Dayot UpamecanoDissent
54'Harry KaneAssist: Michael Olise
60'Janik Haberer INAljoscha Kemlein out
60'Woo-Yeong Jeong INLivan Burcu out
63'Luis Díaz INIsmael Saibari out
63'Aleksandar Pavlović INTom Bischof out
70'Ismael SaibariAssist: Alphonso Davies
71'Christopher Trimmel INZeno Van Den Bosch out
73'Michael OliseAssist: Tom Bischof
76'Michael OliseAssist: Tom Bischof
77'Harry Kane INSerge Gnabry out
78'Livan BurcuFoul
82'András Schäfer INDerrick Köhn out
83'Alphonso Davies INNathaniel Brown out

Lineups

Bayern München
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Kompany
Union Berlin
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Lustrinelli
Avg rating7.70
Avg rating5.88
M. Neuer7.31M. Neuer
J. Stanišić7.444J. Stanišić
D. Upamecano7.02D. Upamecano
J. Tah7.54J. Tah
A. Davies9.019A. Davies
J. Kimmich7.26J. Kimmich
A. Pavlović7.245A. Pavlović
M. Olise9.617M. Olise
J. Musiala9.010J. Musiala
L. Díaz7.014L. Díaz
H. Kane8.29H. Kane
F. Rønnow6.51F. Rønnow
C. Trimmel5.028C. Trimmel
L. Querfeld6.414L. Querfeld
F. Uduokhai5.52F. Uduokhai
T. Rothe5.415T. Rothe
R. Khedira5.68R. Khedira
M. Aebischer6.520M. Aebischer
J. Haberer6.219J. Haberer
Jeong Woo-Yeong5.911J. Woo-Yeong
A. Schäfer5.913A. Schäfer
E. Latte Lath6.329E. Latte Lath

Bayern München Substitutes

40J. Urbig
7S. Gnabry77'for Harry Kane6.5
11N. Brown83'for Alphonso Davies7.1
8T. Bischof63'for Aleksandar Pavlović7.8
21H. Ito
42L. Karl
3Kim Min-Jae45'for Dayot Upamecano7.4
39Bara Ndiaye
34I. Saibari63'for Luis Díaz70'7.9

Union Berlin Substitutes

9Livan Burcu60'for Woo-Yeong Jeong78'6.1
30K. Imeri
6A. Kemlein60'for Janik Haberer6.0
17D. Köhn82'for András Schäfer5.4
27M. Ljubičić
31M. Raab
21T. Skarke45'for Emmanuel Latte Lath5.9
24R. Skov
4Z. Van Den Bosch71'for Christopher Trimmel5.5

Match Stats

Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
68%Ball Possession32%
9Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots3
15Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots0
12Fouls9
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves6
642Total Passes299
587Passes Accurate224
8Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Bayern MünchenBayern München
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2115Elo Rating 1676
2.94Attack 0.61
1.90Defense 1.39
63%Hit Rate 14%
18.7Shots per Game 10.9
6.2Shots on Target 2.5
4.8Corners per Game 3.5
1.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+439 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.93 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bayern MünchenBayern München
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Bayern MünchenBayern München7Wins · 70%
Draws330%
Union BerlinUnion Berlin0Wins · 0%
3.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga21/03/2026
Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
40
DFB Pokal03/12/2025
Union BerlinBayern München
23
Bundesliga08/11/2025
Union BerlinBayern München
22
Bundesliga15/03/2025
Union BerlinBayern München
11
Bundesliga02/11/2024
Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
30
Bundesliga20/04/2024
Union BerlinBayern Munich
15
Bundesliga24/01/2024
Bayern MunichUnion Berlin
10
Bundesliga26/02/2023
Bayern MunichUnion Berlin
30
Bundesliga03/09/2022
Union BerlinBayern Munich
11
Bundesliga19/03/2022
Bayern MunichUnion Berlin
40

Recent Form

Bayern MünchenBayern München
9W1D0L
13/09/2026
SV ElversbergBayern München
12
W
10/09/2026
Bayern MünchenBodo/Glimt
50
W
05/09/2026
FC Schalke 04Bayern München
00
D
02/09/2026
VfL OsnabrückBayern München
14
W
28/08/2026
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
51
W
22/08/2026
Borussia DortmundBayern München
12
W
18/08/2026
1. FC HeidenheimBayern München
24
W
15/08/2026
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
31
W
07/08/2026
Bayern MünchenAston Villa
21
W
04/08/2026
Jeju United FCBayern München
12
W
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2W3D5L
11/09/2026
Union BerlinFC Schalke 04
13
L
05/09/2026
Bayer LeverkusenUnion Berlin
40
L
29/08/2026
Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
33
D
23/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigUnion Berlin
24
W
15/08/2026
Union BerlinIpswich
24
L
09/08/2026
Union BerlinAris
32
W
02/08/2026
Union BerlinCagliari
22
D
01/08/2026
Dynamo DresdenUnion Berlin
21
L
18/07/2026
FC AarauUnion Berlin
21
L
17/07/2026
FC WinterthurUnion Berlin
11
D

Referee Profile

Benjamin Brand111 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Benjamin Brand4.32
Other referees4.19

4.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 105 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München963029:9+2021WDWWD
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund963016:7+921WDWDD
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg961220:10+1019WWLLW
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig960327:13+1418WWWLW
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen951320:17+316WLLWW
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen943217:15+215LWWDD
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg941417:18-113LWLWL
8VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart940515:15012WWLLW
91899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim940516:17-112WLWWL
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt933315:20-512DWLWL
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV940510:20-1012WLLWW
12FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05931518:19-110LLLWL
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0792438:11-310DDWDL
14FC AugsburgFC Augsburg923420:2009LLDLD
151. FC Köln1. FC Köln923410:14-49LDDLW
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin91447:21-147LDDDW
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0491355:11-66LLDLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach911712:25-134LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bayern MünchenBayern München929:921
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund916:721
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg920:1019
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig927:1318
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen920:1716
6Werder BremenWerder Bremen917:1515
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg917:1813
8VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart915:1512
91899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim916:1712
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt915:2012
11Hamburger SVHamburger SV910:2012
12FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05918:1910
13SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0798:1110
14FC AugsburgFC Augsburg920:209
151. FC Köln1. FC Köln910:149
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin97:217
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0495:116
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach912:254
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Bayern München vs Union Berlin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bayern München and Union Berlin in the Bundesliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Bayern München are 1st in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin sit 16th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Bayern München 29-9, Union Berlin 7-21. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bayern München have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.