RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 3
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
RB Leipzig Rest
2 days
Hamburger SV Rest
7 days
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: result, form and history
RB Leipzig beat Hamburger SV 5-0 in the Bundesliga on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
166%1.34
X23%5.50
211%7.50
Double Chance
1X89%1.08
X234%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.49
No45%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 0.92 = 3.15
Over 1.583%1.07
Over 2.563%1.29
Over 3.542%1.76
Under 1.517%7.35
Under 2.537%3.40
Under 3.558%2.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.7 = 9.8
Over 8.561%1.40
Over 9.552%1.70
Over 10.538%2.09
Under 8.539%2.69
Under 9.548%2.05
Under 10.562%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.547%2.17
Over 4.528%3.65
Under 3.553%1.64
Under 4.572%1.26
Match Events
6'Nicolás CapaldoFoul
17'Tidiam GomisAssist: Ezechiel Banzuzi
28'Antonio Nusa
35'Assan Ouedraogo INChristopher Nkunku out
45'Yussuf Poulsen INTerem Moffi out
48'Castello Junior LukebaFoul
71'Shafiq NandjaFoul
72'Willi OrbánAssist: Antonio Nusa
73'Patson Daka INFábio Vieira out
73'Shafiq Nandja INWarmed Omari out
74'Benjamin Henrichs INRidle Baku out
74'Tidiam Gomis INRômulo José Cardoso da Cruz out
74'Castello Junior Lukeba INMaxime Esteve out
74'Christopher NkunkuAssist: Antonio Nusa
77'Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
78'Antonio Nusa INMax Finkgräfe out
78'Albert Sambi Lokonga INOtto Emerson Stange out
89'Zakaria El Ouahdi INBakery Jatta out
Lineups
RB LeipzigHamburger SV
3-4-2-1Coach: M. PolzinAvg ratingAvg rating
26M. Vandevoordt
39B. Henrichs
4W. Orbán
23C. Lukeba
22D. Raum
6E. Banzuzi
21N. El Aynaoui
8A. Ouédraogo
10B. Gruda
27T. Gomis
7A. Nusa
1D. Heuer Fernandes
43S. Nandja
23J. Torunarigha
24N. Capaldo
7Z. El Ouahdi
6A. Sambi Lokonga
21N. Remberg
3D. Møller Wolfe
27P. Daka
11A. Grønbæk
15Y. PoulsenRB Leipzig Substitutes
40Rômulo74'for Tidiam Gomis77'
3M. Estève74'for Castello Junior Lukeba
35Max Finkgräfe78'for Antonio Nusa
9Marc Guiu
1Ø. Nyland
30A. MaksimoviÄ
28C. Nkunku35'for Assan Ouedraogo74'
17R. Baku74'for Benjamin Henrichs
13N. Seiwald
Hamburger SV Substitutes
5M. Adeline
18B. Jatta89'for Zakaria El Ouahdi
37L. Lemke
9T. Moffi45'for Yussuf Poulsen
4B. Nadir
17W. Omari73'for Shafiq Nandja
19Otto Emerson Stange78'for Albert Sambi Lokonga
12S. Tangvik
20Fábio Vieira73'for Patson Daka
Match Stats
RB LeipzigHamburger SV 64%Ball Possession36%
7Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
11Fouls13
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves1
622Total Passes350
555Passes Accurate284
89%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
RB LeipzigHamburger SV1821Elo Rating 1712
1.69Attack 1.35
0.26Defense 0.82
36%Hit Rate 69%
14.4Shots per Game 12.3
6.0Shots on Target 3.9
3.5Corners per Game 4.3
1.1Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
RB Leipzig- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Hamburger SV- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
RB Leipzig3Wins · 100%Draws00%
Hamburger SV0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3
Previous meetings
01/03/2026Hamburger SVRB Leipzig12
18/10/2025RB LeipzigHamburger SV21
18/10/2022RB LeipzigHamburger SV40
Recent Form
RB Leipzig5W0D5L
10/09/2026
ComoRB Leipzig
Werder BremenRB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
ComoRB Leipzig41
L05/09/2026Werder BremenRB Leipzig31
L29/08/2026RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach30
W22/08/2026
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig06
W15/08/2026
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig31
L08/08/2026
LeedsRB Leipzig
LeedsRB Leipzig20
L01/08/2026RB Leipzig
Verl
RB LeipzigVerl40
W25/07/2026RB Leipzig
FC Ingolstadt 04
RB LeipzigFC Ingolstadt 0410
W18/07/2026
AltglienickeRB Leipzig
AltglienickeRB Leipzig12
W29/05/2026
Mamelodi SundownsRB Leipzig
Mamelodi SundownsRB Leipzig31
LHamburger SV4W2D4L
06/09/2026Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia DortmundHamburger SV
Hamburger SVFSV Mainz 0505
L29/08/2026Borussia DortmundHamburger SV20
L24/08/2026VerlHamburger SV
VerlHamburger SV03
W15/08/2026
ToulouseHamburger SV
ToulouseHamburger SV12
W08/08/2026Hamburger SV
Lille
Hamburger SVLille22
D01/08/2026Hamburger SV
Everton
Hamburger SVEverton12
L18/07/2026
Rapid ViennaHamburger SV
Rapid ViennaHamburger SV32
L16/05/2026
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV
Bayer LeverkusenHamburger SV11
D10/05/2026Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SVSC Freiburg32
W02/05/2026
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV12
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | +17 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 10 | WLWLW |
| 6 |  SV Elversberg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | WLDLW |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 | DDWDW |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 | WWWLL |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 8 | LDLDW |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 13 |  VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 16 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | -12 | 5 | DWLLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 6 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 16:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 6:15 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 6 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 14 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6 | 8:20 | 0 |
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This match
About the RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, RB Leipzig (7th) and Hamburger SV (9th) are level on 9 points. League goal record so far: RB Leipzig 16-11, Hamburger SV 6-15. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.