BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United Prediction

True BG Stadium, Patum Thani 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
58%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseHighGap-5.6%
BG Pathum United Rest
3 days
Chiangrai United Rest
3 days

BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United: the result in context

BG Pathum United beat Chiangrai United 2-0 in the Thai League 1 on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Chiangrai United tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.3 for BG Pathum United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.57
X
23%3.64
2
20%4.99
Double Chance
1X
81%1.12
X2
43%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.06 = 2.80
Over 1.5
74%1.26
Over 2.5
51%1.85
Over 3.5
29%3.05
Under 1.5
26%3.34
Under 2.5
49%1.88
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Ratthasat Buaban
28'Card upgrade confirmedZé Ricardo
28'Zé Ricardo
33'Gustavo Schutz INVictor Cardozo out
38'Ashley Mark CoffeyFoul
45'Ratthasat Buaban INFabio Kaufmann out
45+1'Jorge Eduardo Silva CostaFoul
61'Ashley Mark Coffey INJoao Magno out
61'Elias Dolah INLeon Pitchaya James out
61'Fabio KaufmannAssist: Joao Magno
67'Hélio Monteiro Batista INDouglas De Souza Nascimento out
67'Sanukran Thinjom INSansern Limwatthana out
67'Harhys Stewart INWendell out
69'Lucas Andersen INChanathip Songkrasin out
79'Sarach YooyenFoul
85'Marko Nikolić INRunpiset Phutummee out

Lineups

BG Pathum United
4-4-2Coach: Peerapong Pichitchotirat
Chiangrai United
4-4-2Coach: W. Wangsawad
Avg rating7.13
Avg rating6.23
S. Anuin7.428S. Anuin
W. Choolthong7.248W. Choolthong
4444M. Nikolić
E. Dolah7.317E. Dolah
E. Osmanović7.550E. Osmanović
A. Pumwisat6.48A. Pumwisat
S. Yooyen7.06S. Yooyen
K. Kaman7.15K. Kaman
9191R. Buaban
A. Coffey6.519A. Coffey
1010L. Andersen
A. Worawong6.31A. Worawong
3333Z. Ricardo
P. Suksakit6.815P. Suksakit
Hélio Baptista6.528H. Baptista
T. Inprakhon6.392T. Inprakhon
H. Stewart5.99H. Stewart
S. Thinjom6.47S. Thinjom
Wanderson Papaterra6.78W. Papaterra
Robinho6.311Robinho
Gustavo Schutz6.119G. Schutz
1010J. Eduardo Silva Costa

BG Pathum United Substitutes

18C. Songkrasin69'replaced by Lucas Andersen7.2
62Runpiset Phutummee85'replaced by Marko Nikolić
2C. Tamma
25P. Tanthatemee
4L. James61'for Elias Dolah6.9
49N. Ineachaeoen
26A. Belmonte
37F. Kaufmann45'replaced by Ratthasat Buaban61'8.2
45João Magno61'for Ashley Mark Coffey6.4
79W. Phraothaisong
24S. Pongsuwan
39T. Siripala

Chiangrai United Substitutes

20T. Jaihan
71Thanakrit Kaewrungroj
80Sansern Limwatthana67'replaced by Sanukran Thinjom
23Victor Cardozo33'for Gustavo Schutz6.5
4Piyaphon Phanichakul
37P. Phoptham
32M. Promsawat
3T. Srisai
17G. Verzura
34S. Wongruankhum
21Douglas De Souza Nascimento67'replaced by Hélio Monteiro Batista
90Wendell67'replaced by Harhys Stewart

Match Stats

BG Pathum UnitedChiangrai United
60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
12Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots4
15Fouls11
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
435Total Passes279
399Passes Accurate226
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United
1571Elo Rating 1487
1.04Attack 0.59
2.10Defense 1.37
27%Hit Rate 0%
13.4Shots per Game 15.9
4.0Shots on Target 3.4
4.3Corners per Game 7.7
1.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United4Wins · 40%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Thai League 131/01/2026
BG Pathum UnitedChiangrai United
22
Thai League 121/09/2025
Chiangrai UnitedBG Pathum United
10
Thai League 118/01/2025
Chiangrai UnitedBG Pathum United
10
Thai League 128/08/2024
BG Pathum UnitedChiangrai United
20
Thai League 106/04/2024
Chiangrai UnitedBG Pathum United
23
Thai League 128/12/2023
BG Pathum UnitedChiangrai United
22
Thai League 106/05/2023
Chiangrai UnitedBG Pathum United
21
Thai League 126/11/2022
BG Pathum UnitedChiangrai United
31
League Cup13/03/2022
Chiangrai UnitedBG Pathum United
42
Thai League 112/02/2022
Chiangrai UnitedBG Pathum United
12

Recent Form

BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United
2W4D4L
21/10/2026
Khon Kaen UnitedBG Pathum United
10
L
18/10/2026
Sisaket UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
15/10/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAdelaide United
12
L
10/10/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAyutthaya FC
11
D
20/09/2026
Bangkok UnitedBG Pathum United
32
L
17/09/2026
Home UnitedBG Pathum United
11
D
12/09/2026
BG Pathum UnitedRasi Salai United
32
W
04/09/2026
PattaniBG Pathum United
00
D
04/08/2026
BG Pathum UnitedAston Villa
13
L
12/07/2026
Roi EtBG Pathum United
05
W
Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United
5W2D3L
21/10/2026
Burapha UnitedChiangrai United
4151
W
18/10/2026
Chiangrai UnitedRatchaburi
12
L
11/10/2026
PrachuapChiangrai United
21
L
19/09/2026
Chiangrai UnitedSisaket United
01
L
11/09/2026
Buriram UnitedChiangrai United
11
D
05/09/2026
Chiangrai UnitedChonburi FC
10
W
10/05/2026
Chiangrai UnitedUthai Thani
10
W
03/05/2026
Lamphun WarriorChiangrai United
00
D
29/04/2026
Chiangrai UnitedRatchaburi
10
W
25/04/2026
Chiangrai UnitedBangkok United
20
W

League Table

Thai League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Port FCPort FC650114:7+715WWWLW
2PrachuapPrachuap64118:3+513DWWWW
3Buriram UnitedBuriram United641111:7+413LWWWD
4RatchaburiRatchaburi631212:6+610LWWDW
5Uthai ThaniUthai Thani631213:9+410LDWWL
6Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC63129:7+210WLDLW
7Bangkok UnitedBangkok United63128:6+210DLWWL
8Sisaket UnitedSisaket United63128:8010WDWWL
9BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United62319:7+29WDDLW
10Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC630310:13-39WWLWL
11Rayong FCRayong FC62229:11-28LDLDW
12Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior62138:10-27WWLDL
13Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United61144:8-44LLLLD
14PattaniPattani61145:11-64LLLLW
15Chonburi FCChonburi FC61056:10-43WLLLL
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United60158:19-111LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Port FCPort FC614:715
2PrachuapPrachuap68:313
3Buriram UnitedBuriram United611:713
4RatchaburiRatchaburi612:610
5Uthai ThaniUthai Thani613:910
6Ayutthaya FCAyutthaya FC69:710
7Bangkok UnitedBangkok United68:610
8Sisaket UnitedSisaket United68:810
9BG Pathum UnitedBG Pathum United69:79
10Sukhothai FCSukhothai FC610:139
11Rayong FCRayong FC69:118
12Lamphun WarriorLamphun Warrior68:107
13Chiangrai UnitedChiangrai United64:84
14PattaniPattani65:114
15Chonburi FCChonburi FC66:103
16Rasi Salai UnitedRasi Salai United68:191
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United forecast

The forecasts for this Thai League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

BG Pathum United and Chiangrai United in the Thai League 1 table

In the Thai League 1 table, BG Pathum United are 9th and Chiangrai United 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: BG Pathum United 9-7, Chiangrai United 4-8. The full standings are on the Thai League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.