Blackpool vs Mansfield Town Prediction

Blackpool
1-4
Finished
HT 1-1
Mansfield Town
Bloomfield Road, Blackpool 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Blackpool Rest
3 days
Mansfield Town Rest
3 days

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: the result in context

Mansfield Town beat Blackpool 4-1 in the League One on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.70
X
26%3.51
2
38%2.42
Double Chance
1X
62%1.51
X2
65%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.54
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.33 = 2.69
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.68
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.11
Under 3.5
66%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.33
Over 9.5
55%1.59
Over 10.5
43%2.00
Under 8.5
34%3.00
Under 9.5
45%2.25
Under 10.5
57%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

14'Albie MorganFoul
17'Michael SmithAssist: Jonathan Russell
40'Michael Smith(Penalty missed)
42'Dion CharlesAssist: Leighton Clarkson
45'Liam Thompson INRhys Oates out
45'Stephen McLaughlin INJordan Bowery out
45+1'Karoy AndersonFoul
52'Elliott HewittFoul
55'Rhys OatesAssist: George Abbott
60'George Abbott INRegan·Hendry out
64'Ilmari NiskanenOG
66'Dale Taylor INJerry Yates out
66'Dion Charles INTom Bloxham out
74'Michael Smith INTyler Roberts out
75'Ilmari Niskanen INFinley Munroe out
78'Tyler RobertsAssist: Rhys Oates
79'Albie Morgan INJordan Brown out
82'Elliott Hewitt INLuke Bolton out

Lineups

Blackpool
4-1-3-2Coach: I. Evatt
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2Coach: N. Clough
Avg rating6.08
Avg rating6.81
B. Peacock-Farrell6.11B. Peacock-Farrell
J. Williams5.728J. Williams
O. Casey6.24O. Casey
Z. Ashworth6.13Z. Ashworth
I. Niskanen4.321I. Niskanen
A. Morgan6.58A. Morgan
J. Bowler5.911J. Bowler
Karoy Anderson5.517K. Anderson
L. Clarkson6.97L. Clarkson
D. Charles7.319D. Charles
D. Taylor6.718D. Taylor
L. Roberts6.81L. Roberts
E. Hewitt6.14E. Hewitt
A. Oshilaja6.723A. Oshilaja
R. Sweeney7.05R. Sweeney
L. Reed6.425L. Reed
N. Moriah-Welsh6.122N. Moriah-Welsh
G. Abbott7.133G. Abbott
L. Thompson6.316L. Thompson
S. McLaughlin6.23S. McLaughlin
J. Russell7.313J. Russell
M. Smith7.714M. Smith

Blackpool Substitutes

6J. Brown79'for Albie Morgan5.9
14T. Bloxham66'for Dion Charles6.2
2A. Lyons
26Finley Munroe75'for Ilmari Niskanen5.9
15H. Coulson
23L. Southwood
12J. Yates66'for Dale Taylor6.3

Mansfield Town Substitutes

20F. Blake-Tracy
8L. Bolton82'for Elliott Hewitt6.2
9J. Bowery45'for Stephen McLaughlin6.6
24R. Hendry60'for George Abbott6.5
2K. Knoyle
18R. Oates45'for Liam Thompson55'8.2
19T. Roberts74'for Michael Smith78'7.8

Match Stats

BlackpoolMansfield Town
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box13
6Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls8
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
463Total Passes404
376Passes Accurate327
8Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

BlackpoolBlackpool
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
1550Elo Rating 1571
1.15Attack 1.71
1.59Defense 1.96
27%Hit Rate 46%
12.7Shots per Game 16.4
4.0Shots on Target 4.5
6.1Corners per Game 6.7
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

Game State Tendencies

BlackpoolBlackpool
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

BlackpoolBlackpool1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
Mansfield TownMansfield Town2Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

League One17/02/2026
BlackpoolMansfield Town
10
League One19/08/2025
Mansfield TownBlackpool
20
League One15/02/2025
BlackpoolMansfield Town
33
League One05/10/2024
Mansfield TownBlackpool
20

Recent Form

BlackpoolBlackpool
3W1D6L
20/10/2026
BlackpoolMilton Keynes Dons
20
W
17/10/2026
Leyton OrientBlackpool
20
L
10/10/2026
Cambridge UnitedBlackpool
10
L
06/10/2026
BlackpoolCrewe
4222
W
22/09/2026
WiganBlackpool
32
L
19/09/2026
BlackpoolPlymouth
24
L
12/09/2026
BlackpoolBromley
22
D
05/09/2026
ReadingBlackpool
31
L
02/09/2026
BarnsleyBlackpool
21
L
29/08/2026
BlackpoolPeterborough
40
W
Mansfield TownMansfield Town
3W3D4L
20/10/2026
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
03
W
15/10/2026
Mansfield TownOxford United
11
D
10/10/2026
Mansfield TownBromley
21
W
06/10/2026
Port ValeMansfield Town
20
L
19/09/2026
Burton AlbionMansfield Town
22
D
12/09/2026
Mansfield TownHuddersfield
00
D
05/09/2026
BradfordMansfield Town
10
L
02/09/2026
ReadingMansfield Town
50
L
30/08/2026
Mansfield TownLuton
52
W
22/08/2026
PeterboroughMansfield Town
21
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1171323:11+1222WWWWD
3BradfordBradford1163210:5+521DWDDW
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1155118:14+420DWWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1261518:17+119LLWWL
6ReadingReading1153323:12+1118WLWDD
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1053220:10+1018LWDDD
8Oxford UnitedOxford United953118:10+818WDWDW
9LutonLuton1152421:19+217WWLWL
10StevenageStevenage1043315:10+515WLWLW
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1043316:15+115WDWDD
12LeicesterLeicester1143417:17015LWWLD
13Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1142515:12+314LWDLW
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1235416:18-214DDLLW
15WycombeWycombe1135318:22-414DWLDW
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon113357:18-1112LLLDD
17BlackpoolBlackpool1032515:16-111WLLLD
18Notts CountyNotts County1024410:13-310WLLLL
19DoncasterDoncaster1023510:13-39LLWWL
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1016311:18-79LWLDD
21PeterboroughPeterborough1123610:20-109LDWLL
22BarnsleyBarnsley1022610:19-98LLLDL
23BromleyBromley102269:25-168LLLWD
24WiganWigan112188:17-97LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1123:1122
3BradfordBradford1110:521
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1118:1420
5PlymouthPlymouth1218:1719
6ReadingReading1123:1218
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1020:1018
8Oxford UnitedOxford United918:1018
9LutonLuton1121:1917
10StevenageStevenage1015:1015
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1016:1515
12LeicesterLeicester1117:1715
13Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1115:1214
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1216:1814
15WycombeWycombe1118:2214
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon117:1812
17BlackpoolBlackpool1015:1611
18Notts CountyNotts County1010:1310
19DoncasterDoncaster1010:139
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1011:189
21PeterboroughPeterborough1110:209
22BarnsleyBarnsley1010:198
23BromleyBromley109:258
24WiganWigan118:177
PromotionRelegation

About the Blackpool vs Mansfield Town forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Blackpool and Mansfield Town in the League One table

In the League One table, Mansfield Town are 11th and Blackpool 17th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Blackpool 15-16, Mansfield Town 16-15. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.