Blumenau vs Nação Prediction

Blumenau
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Nação
22/07/2026
BlumenauBlumenau
0-2
Finished
NaçãoNação

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalSTRONGModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+12.9%
Blumenau Rest
3 days
Nação Rest
3 days

Blumenau vs Nação: the result in context

Nação beat Blumenau 2-0 in the Catarinense - 2 on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.25
X
20%4.80
2
22%9.40
Double Chance
1X
78%1.03
X2
42%3.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.13
No
56%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.17
Over 2.5
39%1.62
Over 3.5
19%2.49
Under 1.5
37%4.13
Under 2.5
61%2.06
Under 3.5
81%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Gustavo Modesto
24'Gustavo Modesto

Team Comparison

BlumenauBlumenau
NaçãoNação
1528Elo Rating 1426
0.71Attack 0.69
2.36Defense 1.28
23%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+101 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

BlumenauBlumenau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
NaçãoNação
  • Tied at half-time in 75% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

BlumenauBlumenau1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
NaçãoNação0Wins · 0%
6.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Catarinense - 203/06/2026
NaçãoBlumenau
06

Recent Form

BlumenauBlumenau
3W4D3L
19/07/2026
Guarani de PalhoçaBlumenau
11
D
15/07/2026
BlumenauMetropolitano
41
W
08/07/2026
BlumenauJuventus SC
11
D
04/07/2026
Fluminense-SCBlumenau
11
D
27/06/2026
BlumenauSão Luiz
1131
L
24/06/2026
BlumenauCaravaggio
12
L
20/06/2026
São LuizBlumenau
11
D
17/06/2026
TubaraoBlumenau
23
W
10/06/2026
BlumenauJaraguá
60
W
07/06/2026
BlumenauSao Jose
01
L
NaçãoNação
2W3D5L
18/07/2026
NaçãoCaravaggio
22
D
15/07/2026
JaraguáNação
02
W
12/07/2026
NaçãoFluminense-SC
12
L
05/07/2026
TubaraoNação
10
L
02/07/2026
NaçãoMetropolitano
00
D
21/06/2026
Guarani de PalhoçaNação
00
D
18/06/2026
NaçãoJuventus SC
10
W
07/06/2026
Hercílio LuzNação
21
L
03/06/2026
NaçãoBlumenau
06
L
28/05/2026
CaravaggioNação
41
L

League Table

Catarinense - 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau961221:3+1819WDDLW
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano961216:6+1019WDLWW
3CaravaggioCaravaggio953125:10+1518LLWWW
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz952217:6+1117WWWWW
5TubaraoTubarao935111:7+414WWWLD
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça93248:14-611LWDLD
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC93157:10-310DLWLL
8NaçãoNação923410:19-99LDDWL
9Juventus SCJuventus SC92163:15-127DWLLL
10JaraguáJaraguá90184:32-281LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau921:319
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano916:619
3CaravaggioCaravaggio925:1018
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz917:617
5TubaraoTubarao911:714
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça98:1411
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC97:1010
8NaçãoNação910:199
9Juventus SCJuventus SC93:157
10JaraguáJaraguá94:321
PromotionRelegation

About the Blumenau vs Nação forecast

The forecasts for this Catarinense - 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Blumenau and Nação in the Catarinense - 2 table

The table shows a wide gap: Blumenau are 1st in the Catarinense - 2, while Nação sit 8th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Blumenau 21-3, Nação 10-19. The full standings are on the Catarinense - 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Blumenau and Nação have met only 1 time recently, with 6.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.