Nação vs Hercílio Luz Prediction

Nação
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Hercílio Luz
25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.27
SignalSTRONGModel37%SurpriseHighGap+10.7%
Nação Rest
3 days
Hercílio Luz Rest
2 days

Nação vs Hercílio Luz: result, form and history

Hercílio Luz beat Nação 2-1 in the Catarinense - 2 on 25 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Hercílio Luz had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Nação.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%4.25
X
22%3.50
2
53%1.70
Double Chance
1X
47%1.96
X2
75%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.80
No
56%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.86
Over 3.5
18%3.14
Under 1.5
37%3.28
Under 2.5
62%1.83
Under 3.5
82%1.27
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'
60'
71'

Team Comparison

NaçãoNação
Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
1426Elo Rating 1605
0.69Attack 1.07
1.28Defense 2.08
0%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

NaçãoNação
  • Tied at half-time in 75% of matches
Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

NaçãoNação0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Catarinense - 207/06/2026
Hercílio LuzNação
21
Catarinense - 116/02/2024
Hercílio LuzNação
22

Recent Form

NaçãoNação
3W3D4L
22/07/2026
BlumenauNação
02
W
18/07/2026
NaçãoCaravaggio
22
D
15/07/2026
JaraguáNação
02
W
12/07/2026
NaçãoFluminense-SC
12
L
05/07/2026
TubaraoNação
10
L
02/07/2026
NaçãoMetropolitano
00
D
21/06/2026
Guarani de PalhoçaNação
00
D
18/06/2026
NaçãoJuventus SC
10
W
07/06/2026
Hercílio LuzNação
21
L
03/06/2026
NaçãoBlumenau
06
L
Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz
8W2D0L
23/07/2026
Hercílio LuzCaravaggio
00
D
19/07/2026
TubaraoHercílio Luz
02
W
16/07/2026
Hercílio LuzJuventus SC
10
W
04/07/2026
Guarani de PalhoçaHercílio Luz
12
W
28/06/2026
Hercílio LuzFluminense-SC
42
W
21/06/2026
Hercílio LuzMetropolitano
30
W
14/06/2026
JaraguáHercílio Luz
02
W
07/06/2026
Hercílio LuzNação
21
W
31/05/2026
CaravaggioHercílio Luz
22
D
28/05/2026
Hercílio LuzTubarao
20
W

League Table

Catarinense - 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BlumenauBlumenau961221:3+1819WDDLW
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano961216:6+1019WDLWW
3CaravaggioCaravaggio953125:10+1518LLWWW
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz952217:6+1117WWWWW
5TubaraoTubarao935111:7+414WWWLD
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça93248:14-611LWDLD
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC93157:10-310DLWLL
8NaçãoNação923410:19-99LDDWL
9Juventus SCJuventus SC92163:15-127DWLLL
10JaraguáJaraguá90184:32-281LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BlumenauBlumenau921:319
2MetropolitanoMetropolitano916:619
3CaravaggioCaravaggio925:1018
4Hercílio LuzHercílio Luz917:617
5TubaraoTubarao911:714
6Guarani de PalhoçaGuarani de Palhoça98:1411
7Fluminense-SCFluminense-SC97:1010
8NaçãoNação910:199
9Juventus SCJuventus SC93:157
10JaraguáJaraguá94:321
PromotionRelegation

About the Nação vs Hercílio Luz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nação and Hercílio Luz in the Catarinense - 2 table

The table shows a wide gap: Hercílio Luz are 4th in the Catarinense - 2, while Nação sit 8th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Nação 10-19, Hercílio Luz 17-6. The full standings are on the Catarinense - 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nação and Hercílio Luz have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.