Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Bodo/Glimt
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Fredrikstad
Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø·Kristoffer Hagenes, Norway 17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 3.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Bodo/Glimt Rest
5 days
Fredrikstad Rest
6 days

Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad: the result in context

Bodo/Glimt beat Fredrikstad 1-0 in the Eliteserien on 17 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bodo/Glimt had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fredrikstad.

Bodo/Glimt have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee Kristoffer Hagenes averages 3.86 cards a game, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.10
X
15%10.00
2
9%18.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.03
X2
24%6.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.84
No
43%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.49 + 1.01 = 3.50
Over 1.5
92%1.06
Over 2.5
87%1.22
Over 3.5
67%1.57
Under 1.5
8%8.50
Under 2.5
13%4.10
Under 3.5
33%2.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.4 + 2.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
63%1.37
Over 9.5
52%1.62
Over 10.5
44%2.04
Under 8.5
37%2.79
Under 9.5
48%2.15
Under 10.5
56%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1 + 2.5 = 3.5
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

44'F. Ghebreyohannes
45+3'O. Blomberg(Penalty)
47'S. Laghzaoui ING. Wesseh out
50'B. Faraas
58'L. Owusu INO. Skari Hansen out
58'S. Auklend
69'J. Kitolano INP. Berg out
69'O. Brynhildsen INJ. Hauge out
69'K. Hogh INA. Helmersen out
75'B. Faraas INJ. Nunez out
75'F. Ghebreyohannes INJ. Nysveen out
80'S. Rafn
83'O. Blomberg INF. Bjorkan out
86'S. Rafn INA. Andresen out
88'M. Borsheim
90+2'S. Auklend INU. Saltnes out

Lineups

Bodo/Glimt
4-4-2Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Andreas Hagen
Avg rating7.24
Avg rating6.77
Nikita Haikin6.712N. Haikin
Fredrik Sjøvold8.320F. Sjøvold
Odin Luras Bjørtuft7.94O. Luras Bjørtuft
Jostein Gundersen7.66J. Gundersen
Isak Dybvik Määttä7.225I. Dybvik Määttä
Joshua Kitolano7.316J. Kitolano
Sondre Auklend7.78S. Auklend
Sondre Fet7.519S. Fet
Ola Brynhildsen7.217O. Brynhildsen
Ole Didrik Blomberg7.611O. Didrik Blomberg
Kasper HøghC7.29K. Høgh
Martin Borsheim8.377M. Borsheim
Simen RafnC8.25S. Rafn
Fredrik Holmé7.64F. Holmé
Ulrik Fredriksen7.512U. Fredriksen
Daniel Eid6.616D. Eid
Max Nilsson7.014M. Nilsson
Leonard Owusu6.324L. Owusu
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem6.219F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Benjamin Faraas6.07B. Faraas
Henrik Langaas Skogvold6.023H. Langaas Skogvold
Salim Laghzaoui6.29S. Laghzaoui

Bodo/Glimt Substitutes

1Julian Lund
5Haitam Aleesami
15Fredrik André Bjørkan83'for O. Blomberg6.3
26Håkon Evjen
14Ulrik Saltnes90+2'for S. Auklend
7Patrick Berg69'for J. Kitolano7.2
10Jens Petter Hauge69'for O. Brynhildsen6.6
77Mikkel Bro Hansen
21Andreas Helmersen69'for K. Hogh6.3

Fredrikstad Substitutes

29Gabriel Wesseh47'for S. Laghzaoui6.6
1Oystein Ovretveit
18Jonathan Norbye
3Aleksander Andresen86'for S. Rafn6.3
26Joachim Nysveen75'for F. Ghebreyohannes6.7
2Kennedy Ikechukwu Okpaleke
37Oscar Skari Hansen58'for L. Owusu6.3
10Johannes Núñez75'for B. Faraas6.5

Match Stats

Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
66%Ball Possession34%
12Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots2
5Shots on Goal0
3Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box0
12Blocked Shots0
7Fouls14
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
766Total Passes397
683Passes Accurate326
89%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
FredrikstadFredrikstad
1897Elo Rating 1598
1.47Attack 1.81
1.68Defense 0.12
37%Hit Rate 23%
13.8Shots per Game 15.3
4.7Shots on Target 4.6
5.4Corners per Game 5.1
0.3Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+298 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.5 goals
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
FredrikstadFredrikstad0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Eliteserien30/11/2025
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
50
Eliteserien16/07/2025
FredrikstadBodo/Glimt
01
Eliteserien10/11/2024
Bodo/GlimtFredrikstad
22
Eliteserien01/04/2024
FredrikstadBodo/Glimt
02

Recent Form

Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt
8W1D1L
12/07/2026
KFUM OsloBodo/Glimt
02
W
04/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtStart
40
W
28/06/2026
MoldeBodo/Glimt
14
W
29/05/2026
RosenborgBodo/Glimt
22
D
24/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtBrann
31
W
20/05/2026
StartBodo/Glimt
14
W
16/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtTromso
50
W
09/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtBrann
4222
W
04/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtMolde
01
L
30/04/2026
Bodo/GlimtStart
50
W
FredrikstadFredrikstad
2W2D6L
11/07/2026
FredrikstadLillestrom
02
L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
L
29/05/2026
FredrikstadStart
21
W
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
W
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
L
02/05/2026
BrannFredrikstad
31
L
25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
L
19/04/2026
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
20
L
12/04/2026
FredrikstadValerenga
11
D

Referee Profile

Kristoffer Hagenes129 matches

3.86Cards per match
3.70Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kristoffer Hagenes3.86
Other referees3.27

3.86 cards a match, 0.59 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.27).

Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bodo/Glimt and Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Bodo/Glimt are 2nd and Fredrikstad 12th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: Bodo/Glimt 63-23, Fredrikstad 31-46. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.