Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK Prediction

Rosenborg
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Kristiansund BK
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim·Marius Lien, Norway 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.93
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Rosenborg Rest
7 days
Kristiansund BK Rest
9 days

Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK: the result in context

Rosenborg beat Kristiansund BK 3-0 in the Eliteserien on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Referee Marius Lien averages 2.69 cards a game, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.60
X
25%4.03
2
27%5.00
Double Chance
1X
74%1.16
X2
52%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.66
No
45%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.16 = 2.80
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.64
Over 3.5
29%2.52
Under 1.5
20%4.32
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
71%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.29
Over 9.5
52%1.50
Over 10.5
40%1.82
Under 8.5
37%3.40
Under 9.5
48%2.42
Under 10.5
60%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.6 = 3.1
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
16%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
84%-

Match Events

25'J. Svensson
31'D. Duris
45'F. Flex INH. Haugen out
46'A. Ronning INH. Magnusson out
46'N. Odegard INS. Skeide out
46'S. Kilen INM. Isah out
53'A. ChiakhaAssist: O. Selnaes
55'O. Selnaes INS. Vaananen out
62'J. Isaksen INH. Bruseth out
66'J. Svensson INJ. Mortensen out
66'D. Duris IND. Islamovic out
66'A. Pereira INT. Dahl out
73'Dino Islamović(Penalty missed)
78'Syver Skundberg SkeideFoul
82'A. Chiakha INJ. Reitan-Sunde out

Lineups

Rosenborg
4-4-2Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Kristiansund BK
4-2-3-1Coach: Amund Skiri
Avg rating7.31
Avg rating6.41
L. Wahlstedt7.01L. Wahlstedt
J. SvenssonC8.922J. Svensson
M. K. Ceide7.94M. K. Ceide
T. Nemcik8.021T. Nemcik
A. Pereira7.719A. Pereira
D. Duris7.029D. Duris
M. Bomholt7.317M. Bomholt
I. Fossum6.78I. Fossum
E. K. Ceide7.235E. K. Ceide
O. Selnaes7.910O. Selnaes
A. Chiakha7.318A. Chiakha
A. Saether6.312A. Saether
A. Munksgaard7.213A. Munksgaard
J. Juliusson6.24J. Juliusson
D. UlvestadC6.55D. Ulvestad
F. Flex5.93F. Flex
W. Igor6.320W. Igor
N. Odegard6.58N. Odegard
A. Ronning6.327A. Ronning
J. Isaksen6.36J. Isaksen
S. Kilen5.99S. Kilen
L. Alvheim6.219L. Alvheim

Rosenborg Substitutes

12R. Sandberg
15J. Mortensen66'for J. Svensson7.2
6S. Vaananen55'for O. Selnaes6.6
2H. Rosten
14J. Reitan-Sunde82'for A. Chiakha6.5
9D. Islamovic66'for D. Duris6.3
11N. Sahsah
3T. Dahl66'for A. Pereira7.5
5H. Volden

Kristiansund BK Substitutes

1M. Lansing
77H. Magnusson46'for A. Ronning6.2
14S. Skeide46'for N. Odegard78'6.9
22H. Haugen45'for F. Flex6.5
10H. Bruseth62'for J. Isaksen7.2
2A. Borset
7M. Isah46'for S. Kilen6.2
31H. Opsahl
38A. N. Brattoy

Match Stats

RosenborgKristiansund BK
69%Ball Possession31%
8Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots9
9Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots3
14Fouls22
0Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves6
623Total Passes265
544Passes Accurate201
87%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

RosenborgRosenborg
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
1768Elo Rating 1504
2.26Attack 1.77
2.40Defense 0.53
63%Hit Rate 27%
19.7Shots per Game 13.8
6.3Shots on Target 5.6
6.2Corners per Game 2.6
2.7Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+264 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

RosenborgRosenborg
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

RosenborgRosenborg4Wins · 50%
Draws225%
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2Wins · 25%
3.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien22/06/2025
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
41
Eliteserien01/05/2025
RosenborgKristiansund BK
11
Eliteserien01/12/2024
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
04
Eliteserien26/05/2024
RosenborgKristiansund BK
21
Eliteserien02/10/2022
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
44
Eliteserien25/06/2022
RosenborgKristiansund BK
31
Eliteserien03/10/2021
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
10
Eliteserien10/07/2021
RosenborgKristiansund BK
10

Recent Form

RosenborgRosenborg
3W3D4L
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
W
29/05/2026
RosenborgBodo/Glimt
22
D
25/05/2026
KFUM OsloRosenborg
20
L
16/05/2026
RosenborgAalesund
23
L
10/05/2026
RosenborgLillestrom
20
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
L
25/04/2026
RosenborgBrann
11
D
18/04/2026
SandefjordRosenborg
00
D
12/04/2026
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
21
W
06/04/2026
TromsoRosenborg
20
L
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
3W2D5L
03/07/2026
BrannKristiansund BK
12
W
27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
L
29/05/2026
ValerengaKristiansund BK
31
L
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
L
20/05/2026
LillestromKristiansund BK
12
W
16/05/2026
MoldeKristiansund BK
10
L
10/05/2026
SandefjordKristiansund BK
20
L
03/05/2026
Kristiansund BKHam-Kam
11
D
26/04/2026
AalesundKristiansund BK
11
D
19/04/2026
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
20
W

Referee Profile

Marius Lien118 matches

2.69Cards per match
2.55Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Lien2.69
Other referees3.42

2.69 cards a match, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.42).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien table

The table shows a wide gap: Rosenborg are 3rd in the Eliteserien, while Kristiansund BK sit 14th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Rosenborg 53-32, Kristiansund BK 30-51. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rosenborg have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.