Bolívar vs The Strongest Prediction

Bolívar
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
The Strongest
Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.7 / 10
Bolívar Rest
2 days
The Strongest Rest
3 days

Bolívar vs The Strongest: result, form and history

Bolívar beat The Strongest 1-0 in the Primera División on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bolívar had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for The Strongest.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.68
X
19%4.00
2
19%3.90
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
38%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.40
No
37%2.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.45 + 0.99 = 3.44
Over 1.5
86%1.09
Over 2.5
68%1.36
Over 3.5
49%1.93
Under 1.5
14%6.05
Under 2.5
32%2.77
Under 3.5
51%1.78
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'Robson MatheusFoul
28'Dairon AsprillaNot retreating
32'Jovani WelchFoul
38'Penalty confirmedRobson Matheus
41'dorny romero(Penalty)
44'Carlos MelgarFoul
45'Sergio Jefferson Terrazas González INDilan Saavedra out
53'Santiago ArceFoul
55'Jaime ArrascaitaFoul
57'Santiago Arce INPablo Pedraza out
57'Widen Saucedo INKevin Salvatierra out
60'Carlos Melgar INLeonel Justiniano out
60'anderson ayhuana INE. Rivero out
60'Jesus Manuel Sagredo INErvin vaca out
66'dorny romero INDamian Batallini out
70'Xavier ArreagaFoul
73'Pablo PedrazaFoul
80'Jovani Welch INLuiz Henrique Pachu Lira out
81'Luiz Henrique Pachu Lira
87'Jhon velasquez INPatito Rodríguez out
87'Fabricio Domenico Quaglio Franco INLuis Adrian Cueto Galvez out

Lineups

Bolívar
4-4-2Coach: A. Restrepo
The Strongest
5-4-1Coach: Antônio Carlos Zago
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.35
C. Lampe6.61C. Lampe
Jesús Sagredo7.12J. Sagredo
S. Echeverría7.45S. Echeverría
X. Arreaga7.33X. Arreaga
Jesús Sagredo7.14J. Sagredo
R. Matheus7.214R. Matheus
A. Ayhuana7.222A. Ayhuana
C. Melgar7.680C. Melgar
J. Velásquez6.77J. Velásquez
D. Romero7.477D. Romero
D. Asprilla6.327D. Asprilla
L. Banegas6.81L. Banegas
W. Saucedo6.322W. Saucedo
M. Chiatti6.44M. Chiatti
A. Jusino6.55A. Jusino
S. Arce5.915S. Arce
4444S. Jefferson Terrazas González
A. Estacio6.517A. Estacio
J. Arrascaita6.630J. Arrascaita
J. Welch6.36J. Welch
F. Quaglio6.021F. Quaglio
G. Sotomayor6.926G. Sotomayor

Bolívar Substitutes

99D. Batallini66'for dorny romero6.9
10B. Arce
9M. Cauteruccio
35E. Rivero60'for anderson ayhuana6.8
23L. Justiniano60'for Carlos Melgar7.0
33F. Mena
11B. Miranda
13D. Méndez
8L. Paz
17P. Rodríguez87'for Jhon velasquez6.5
26E. Saavedra
6E. Vaca60'for Jesus Manuel Sagredo7.0

The Strongest Substitutes

24K. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
16V. Cuellar
40Luis Adrian Cueto Galvez87'replaced by Fabricio Domenico Quaglio Franco
99Pachu80'for Jovani Welch81'6.1
3P. Pedraza57'for Santiago Arce73'6.2
29Y. Portuncho
36R. Ribera
7J. Romay
27Dilan Saavedra45'replaced by Sergio Jefferson Terrazas González6.2
8K. Salvatierra57'for Widen Saucedo6.4
12D. Valdivia
28Hanibal Nelson Arrascaita Iriondo

Match Stats

BolívarThe Strongest
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards5
23Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal9
12Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box6
10Blocked Shots1
17Fouls10
2Goalkeeper Saves3
365Total Passes304
326Passes Accurate245
7Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

BolívarBolívar
The StrongestThe Strongest
1715Elo Rating 1559
1.42Attack 1.83
2.08Defense 0.77
83%Hit Rate 37%
17.1Shots per Game 20.4
6.0Shots on Target 7.5
3.4Corners per Game 4.6
3.1Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.44 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BolívarBolívar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
The StrongestThe Strongest
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BolívarBolívar5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
The StrongestThe Strongest1Wins · 10%
3.6Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa de la División Profesional20/09/2026
The StrongestBolívar
11
Copa de la División Profesional30/08/2026
BolívarThe Strongest
42
Torneo Amistoso de Verano07/02/2026
BolívarThe Strongest
5040
Torneo Amistoso de Verano31/01/2026
The StrongestBolívar
22
Primera División30/11/2025
The StrongestBolívar
23
Copa de la División Profesional09/11/2025
The StrongestBolívar
35
Copa de la División Profesional28/08/2025
BolívarThe Strongest
10
Primera División22/06/2025
BolívarThe Strongest
12
Primera División08/12/2024
BolívarThe Strongest
41
Primera División19/09/2024
The StrongestBolívar
11

Recent Form

BolívarBolívar
8W1D1L
06/11/2026
BolívarReal Potosí
10
W
01/11/2026
GuabiráBolívar
12
W
27/10/2026
BolívarUniversitario de Vinto
21
W
22/10/2026
Real PotosíBolívar
31
L
18/10/2026
Nacional PotosíBolívar
01
W
12/10/2026
BolívarBlooming
10
W
09/10/2026
BloomingBolívar
11
D
05/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
03
W
02/10/2026
BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ
32
W
27/09/2026
BolívarBlooming
30
W
The StrongestThe Strongest
4W2D4L
05/11/2026
The StrongestAlways Ready
14
L
01/11/2026
The StrongestGualberto Villarroel SJ
42
W
26/10/2026
Oriente PetroleroThe Strongest
21
L
23/10/2026
Always ReadyThe Strongest
11
D
18/10/2026
The StrongestAlways Ready
21
W
11/10/2026
Real PotosíThe Strongest
10
L
08/10/2026
GuabiráThe Strongest
21
L
04/10/2026
The StrongestUniversitario de Vinto
52
W
01/10/2026
Oriente PetroleroThe Strongest
11
D
26/09/2026
The StrongestGuabirá
21
W

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Bolívar vs The Strongest forecast

As a derby, this Primera División meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bolívar and The Strongest in the Primera División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Bolívar are 1st in the Primera División, 12 points ahead of The Strongest in 3rd. League goal record so far: Bolívar 61-24, The Strongest 46-29. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.