Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar Prediction

Nacional Potosí
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Bolívar
Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosi 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Nacional Potosí Rest
6 days
Bolívar Rest
6 days

Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar: result, form and history

Bolívar beat Nacional Potosí 1-0 in the Primera División on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 4.2 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%4.15
X
23%4.00
2
54%1.67
Double Chance
1X
46%2.01
X2
77%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.65 = 3.24
Over 1.5
84%1.11
Over 2.5
65%1.44
Over 3.5
44%2.07
Under 1.5
16%5.40
Under 2.5
35%2.60
Under 3.5
56%1.66
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Wilson Álvarez INTommy Tobar out
45'Jesus Manuel Sagredo INLuiz Fernando Paz Vargas out
45+2'Jesus Manuel SagredoDissent
55'Oscar BaldomarFoul
63'dorny romeroAssist: Carlos Melgar
67'Schneider Peña Vaca INC. Abastoflor out
67'José Sagredo INE. Rivero out
71'Jhon velasquezFoul
75'Maximiliano Núñez INMaicon Solis out
75'P. Azogue IND. Hoyos out
77'Carlos Melgar INErwin Mario Saavedra out
77'Jhon velasquez INDamian Batallini out
84'Oscar Baldomar INjuan orellana out
90'Robson Matheus INErvin vaca out
90+5'Carlos LampeDissent
90+6'Tommy Tobar(Penalty missed)
90+6'Santiago EcheverriaDissent
90+6'Dairon AsprillaDissent

Lineups

Nacional Potosí
4-4-2Coach: Dailer Gutiérrez
Bolívar
4-4-2Coach: A. Restrepo
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating7.05
Pedro Galindo7.723P. Galindo
K. Medina6.534K. Medina
S. Alvarez7.15S. Alvarez
L. Demiquel7.033L. Demiquel
A. Torrico7.016A. Torrico
M. Núñez6.410M. Núñez
P. Azogue6.418P. Azogue
Ó. Baldomar6.021Ó. Baldomar
S. Peña6.828S. Peña
W. Álvarez6.119W. Álvarez
M. Tomianovic6.811M. Tomianovic
C. Lampe7.71C. Lampe
Jesús Sagredo6.72J. Sagredo
S. Echeverría6.95S. Echeverría
X. Arreaga7.23X. Arreaga
Jesús Sagredo6.74J. Sagredo
D. Romero8.177D. Romero
A. Ayhuana6.622A. Ayhuana
C. Melgar7.780C. Melgar
J. Velásquez7.37J. Velásquez
R. Matheus6.514R. Matheus
D. Asprilla6.527D. Asprilla

Nacional Potosí Substitutes

26K. Quiroz
22D. Hoyos75'for P. Azogue6.4
30Y. Martínez
20E. Cano
2Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz
9T. Tobar45'for Wilson Álvarez6.0
7M. Solís75'for Maximiliano Núñez6.3
25J. Orellana84'for Oscar Baldomar6.2
27C. Abastoflor67'for Schneider Peña Vaca6.5
1E. Arauz
15Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari
14Juan Batista

Bolívar Substitutes

10B. Arce
99D. Batallini77'for Jhon velasquez6.6
9M. Cauteruccio
35E. Rivero67'for José Sagredo7.0
19J. García
33F. Mena
11B. Miranda
13D. Méndez
8L. Paz45'for Jesus Manuel Sagredo7.1
26E. Saavedra77'for Carlos Melgar7.0
6E. Vaca90'for Robson Matheus
18L. Chávez

Match Stats

Nacional PotosíBolívar
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards5
16Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots4
8Fouls11
3Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves5
394Total Passes248
328Passes Accurate196
83%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
BolívarBolívar
1543Elo Rating 1702
1.71Attack 1.28
1.24Defense 2.03
31%Hit Rate 56%
17.4Shots per Game 19.1
6.4Shots on Target 5.5
4.5Corners per Game 6.3
2.4Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.24 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
BolívarBolívar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
BolívarBolívar5Wins · 50%
4.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División14/05/2026
BolívarNacional Potosí
11
Copa de la División Profesional23/12/2025
BolívarNacional Potosí
14
Copa de la División Profesional20/12/2025
Nacional PotosíBolívar
02
Primera División05/12/2025
BolívarNacional Potosí
52
Copa de la División Profesional11/07/2025
BolívarNacional Potosí
21
Primera División29/06/2025
Nacional PotosíBolívar
11
Copa de la División Profesional27/06/2025
Nacional PotosíBolívar
30
Primera División24/11/2024
BolívarNacional Potosí
53
Primera División28/07/2024
Nacional PotosíBolívar
21
Primera División21/10/2023
BolívarNacional Potosí
43

Recent Form

Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
5W3D2L
11/10/2026
AuroraNacional Potosí
22
D
08/10/2026
Always ReadyNacional Potosí
23
W
03/10/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Oruro
20
W
01/10/2026
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
11
D
26/09/2026
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
90
W
23/09/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Potosí
01
L
20/09/2026
Real PotosíNacional Potosí
22
D
17/09/2026
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
04
L
12/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional Potosí
03
W
09/09/2026
Real OruroNacional Potosí
02
W
BolívarBolívar
7W3D0L
12/10/2026
BolívarBlooming
10
W
09/10/2026
BloomingBolívar
11
D
05/10/2026
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
03
W
02/10/2026
BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ
32
W
27/09/2026
BolívarBlooming
30
W
20/09/2026
The StrongestBolívar
11
D
18/09/2026
BolívarGualberto Villarroel SJ
42
W
14/09/2026
Real TomayapoBolívar
12
W
11/09/2026
BolívarIndependiente Petrolero
11
D
06/09/2026
Independiente PetroleroBolívar
04
W

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Always ReadyAlways Ready23156255:16+3951WLWWW
2BolívarBolívar22163356:22+3451WWWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest22136341:24+1745WLWWW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí23108530:16+1438LWWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero22104838:28+1034DWWLL
6AuroraAurora23810534:30+434WLDLW
7GuabiráGuabirá2286834:44-1030DLWLD
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero23851031:39-829WDLLL
9BloomingBlooming23610731:25+628LDLDW
10Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí22841032:31+128LDLWW
11Real OruroReal Oruro23831237:56-1927LWWLL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo23731324:43-1924WLDWL
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto22631329:43-1421WLDWL
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ23481127:40-1320WLWLL
15ABBABB23621533:51-1820LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo23551316:40-2420LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Always ReadyAlways Ready2355:1651
2BolívarBolívar2256:2251
3The StrongestThe Strongest2241:2445
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2330:1638
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2238:2834
6AuroraAurora2334:3034
7GuabiráGuabirá2234:4430
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2331:3929
9BloomingBlooming2331:2528
10Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2232:3128
11Real OruroReal Oruro2337:5627
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2324:4324
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2229:4321
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2327:4020
15ABBABB2333:5120
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2316:4020

About the Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nacional Potosí and Bolívar in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Bolívar are 2nd and Nacional Potosí 10th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Nacional Potosí 32-31, Bolívar 56-22. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nacional Potosí have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.