Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City Prediction

Bristol Rovers
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Exeter City
Memorial Stadium, Bristol 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-8.0%
Bristol Rovers Rest
7 days
Exeter City Rest
3 days

Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City: result, form and history

Bristol Rovers beat Exeter City 1-0 in the League Two on 26 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bristol Rovers had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Exeter City.

Exeter City have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.65
X
26%3.90
2
21%4.75
Double Chance
1X
79%1.16
X2
46%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.12 = 2.52
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.81
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.54
Under 2.5
48%1.92
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
63%1.50
Over 9.5
50%1.88
Over 10.5
39%2.44
Under 8.5
37%2.37
Under 9.5
50%1.83
Under 10.5
61%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

39'Gwion Edwards
40'Steve EvansDissent
60'Ellis HarrisonFoul
64'Shaqai Forde INReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny out
66'Fabrizio CavegnAssist: Alfie Kilgour
68'Jack Paul Taylor INAndrew Jose Oluwabori out
77'Gwion Edwards INGeorge Birch out
79'Ellis Harrison INJoe Quigley out
85'Jake Doyle Hayes INJosh Gordon out
89'Fabrizio Cavegn INBobby Kamwa out
90'Jack Sparkes INBen Purrington out

Lineups

Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Evans
Exeter City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Taylor
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.37
Brad Young7.61B. Young
T. James6.42T. James
K. Balmer6.64K. Balmer
C. Kelly6.517C. Kelly
A. Kilgour7.95A. Kilgour
R. Smallwood6.621R. Smallwood
C. Mola6.76C. Mola
S. Forde6.77S. Forde
J. Sparkes6.93J. Sparkes
E. Harrison6.419E. Harrison
F. Cavegn8.129F. Cavegn
J. Bycroft6.91J. Bycroft
L. Samuel6.62L. Samuel
J. Taylor6.76J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater6.85J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse6.43L. Woodhouse
J. Doyle-Hayes6.531J. Doyle-Hayes
C. Cummins6.416C. Cummins
G. Edwards6.17G. Edwards
R. Cole5.912R. Cole
Ethan Sutherland5.923E. Sutherland
D. Rose6.432D. Rose

Bristol Rovers Substitutes

22Keenan Gough
10B. Kamwa89'for Fabrizio Cavegn6.2
14B. Purrington90'for Jack Sparkes
9J. Quigley79'for Ellis Harrison7.0
8R. Russell-Denny64'for Shaqai Forde7.2
27P. Sanyaolu
32Charlie Binns

Exeter City Substitutes

8T. Perry
22Frankie Phillips
18Liam Oakes
14H. Kite
10J. Gordon85'for Jake Doyle Hayes6.3
20George Birch77'for Gwion Edwards6.3
11A. Oluwabori68'for Jack Paul Taylor6.0

Match Stats

Bristol RoversExeter City
44%Ball Possession56%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
13Fouls12
5Goalkeeper Saves4
252Total Passes328
148Passes Accurate233
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
Exeter CityExeter City
1484Elo Rating 1560
0.54Attack 1.44
1.29Defense 2.45
0%Hit Rate 66%
15.9Shots per Game 9.9
5.1Shots on Target 3.0
4.9Corners per Game 3.2
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1Wins · 13%
Draws225%
Exeter CityExeter City5Wins · 62%
3.4Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

League One12/04/2025
Bristol RoversExeter City
12
League One26/12/2024
Exeter CityBristol Rovers
31
League One03/02/2024
Exeter CityBristol Rovers
01
League One23/01/2024
Bristol RoversExeter City
01
League One29/12/2022
Bristol RoversExeter City
34
League One01/10/2022
Exeter CityBristol Rovers
22
League Two26/02/2022
Bristol RoversExeter City
11
League Two21/08/2021
Exeter CityBristol Rovers
41

Recent Form

Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
4W1D5L
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
L
12/09/2026
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
20
L
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
W
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
W
29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
02
W
25/08/2026
Bristol RoversChelsea U21
2242
L
22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
53
W
15/08/2026
YorkBristol Rovers
32
L
08/08/2026
Bristol RoversPeterborough
01
L
21/07/2026
Forest GreenBristol Rovers
22
D
Exeter CityExeter City
2W3D5L
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
L
19/09/2026
Exeter CityTranmere
00
D
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
L
08/09/2026
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U21
20
W
05/09/2026
Exeter CityWalsall
00
D
01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
11
D
29/08/2026
YorkExeter City
21
L
22/08/2026
Exeter CityAccrington ST
20
W
15/08/2026
GrimsbyExeter City
10
L
10/08/2026
PlymouthExeter City
20
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1281319:12+725WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1063123:15+821LWWWW
3CreweCrewe1256115:11+421LWWWD
4WalsallWalsall1147016:7+919WDDDW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1253421:22-118WLLLW
6YorkYork1145219:13+617DDDWL
7GillinghamGillingham1245317:14+317DLWDL
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1252513:17-417WWLWD
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1244418:16+216DLDWL
10Exeter CityExeter City124448:6+216WDWWL
11Accrington STAccrington ST1236317:16+115DWDWD
12Newport CountyNewport County1236316:15+115DDWDW
13TranmereTranmere1236315:15015WLDLD
14RochdaleRochdale1243515:17-215DLDWW
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1243513:16-315WDLLD
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1250716:20-415LLLLW
17GrimsbyGrimsby1235415:15014DLLLL
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1235414:15-114LWDLL
19ColchesterColchester1126311:14-312DDLDD
20Port ValePort Vale103346:10-412DWWLW
21OldhamOldham1132613:17-411LWDLL
22RotherhamRotherham1225514:20-611DLLLD
23NorthamptonNorthampton102446:8-210LWDLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1012711:20-95LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1219:1225
2BarnetBarnet1023:1521
3CreweCrewe1215:1121
4WalsallWalsall1116:719
5CheltenhamCheltenham1221:2218
6YorkYork1119:1317
7GillinghamGillingham1217:1417
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1213:1717
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1218:1616
10Exeter CityExeter City128:616
11Accrington STAccrington ST1217:1615
12Newport CountyNewport County1216:1515
13TranmereTranmere1215:1515
14RochdaleRochdale1215:1715
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1213:1615
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1216:2015
17GrimsbyGrimsby1215:1514
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1214:1514
19ColchesterColchester1111:1412
20Port ValePort Vale106:1012
21OldhamOldham1113:1711
22RotherhamRotherham1214:2011
23NorthamptonNorthampton106:810
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1011:205
PromotionRelegation

About the Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bristol Rovers and Exeter City in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Exeter City are 10th and Bristol Rovers 16th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Bristol Rovers 16-20, Exeter City 8-6. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.