Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers Prediction

Grimsby
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Bristol Rovers
Blundell Park, Cleethorpes 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
Grimsby Rest
6 days
Bristol Rovers Rest
6 days

Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers: result, form and history

Grimsby beat Bristol Rovers 2-0 in the League Two on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Bristol Rovers had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Grimsby.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.38
X
31%3.50
2
33%2.70
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
63%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.57
No
44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.23 = 2.62
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.72
Over 3.5
32%2.67
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.06
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.38
Over 9.5
54%1.68
Over 10.5
46%2.10
Under 8.5
35%2.68
Under 9.5
46%2.08
Under 10.5
54%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%-
Over 4.5
29%-
Under 3.5
52%-
Under 4.5
71%-

Match Events

10'Ben PurringtonFoul
22'Kieran Green
26'Riley Harbottle INCiaran Kelly out
38'Shaqai FordeFoul
40'Géza Dávid TuriAssist: Charles Vernam
45'Shaqai Forde INEllis Harrison out
45'Fabrizio Cavegn INJoe Quigley out
45'Bobby Kamwa INJack Aitchison out
64'Kieran GreenArgument
64'Kofi BalmerArgument
68'Harvey Rodgers INEdon Pruti out
71'Charles VernamFoul
74'Andy Cook INIwan Morgan out
74'Charles Vernam INFinn Cartwright out
75'Tommy LeighViolent conduct
78'Richard Smallwood INReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny out
88'Sonny Finch INRyley Reynolds out
88'Mark Shelton INCian Doyle out

Lineups

Grimsby
4-1-4-1Coach: D. Artell
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Evans
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating5.82
D. Harrington6.342D. Harrington
H. Rodgers7.05H. Rodgers
M. Kacurri7.32M. Kacurri
C. McJannet6.717C. McJannet
J. Sweeney7.03J. Sweeney
G. Turi8.015G. Turi
S. Finch6.610S. Finch
K. Green7.44K. Green
M. Shelton6.629M. Shelton
C. Vernam7.630C. Vernam
A. Cook6.539A. Cook
Brad Young5.71B. Young
T. James5.52T. James
K. Balmer5.24K. Balmer
R. Harbottle6.126R. Harbottle
B. Purrington5.414B. Purrington
R. Smallwood5.321R. Smallwood
C. Mola6.26C. Mola
S. Forde5.77S. Forde
T. Leigh4.524T. Leigh
B. Kamwa6.010B. Kamwa
F. Cavegn6.329F. Cavegn

Grimsby Substitutes

41S. Auton
8Cian Doyle88'for Mark Shelton6.8
9Iwan Morgan74'for Andy Cook6.6
26E. Pruti68'for Harvey Rodgers7.2
7J. Walker
11Ryley Reynolds88'for Sonny Finch6.8
28F. Cartwright74'for Charles Vernam6.9

Bristol Rovers Substitutes

17C. Kelly26'for Riley Harbottle6.3
9J. Quigley45'for Fabrizio Cavegn6.6
8R. Russell-Denny78'for Richard Smallwood6.0
11J. Aitchison45'for Bobby Kamwa5.9
19E. Harrison45'for Shaqai Forde6.5
27P. Sanyaolu
32Charlie Binns

Match Stats

GrimsbyBristol Rovers
52%Ball Possession48%
8Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
8Total Shots3
3Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal0
5Shots Inside Box1
3Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots2
9Fouls12
3Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves1
265Total Passes233
155Passes Accurate121
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

GrimsbyGrimsby
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
1543Elo Rating 1484
1.54Attack 0.54
1.72Defense 1.29
27%Hit Rate 0%
17.5Shots per Game 15.7
5.7Shots on Target 5.1
6.7Corners per Game 4.9
3.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GrimsbyGrimsby
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

GrimsbyGrimsby0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers2Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

League Two21/02/2026
Bristol RoversGrimsby
31
League Two30/08/2025
GrimsbyBristol Rovers
01

Recent Form

GrimsbyGrimsby
4W5D1L
05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
22
D
01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
22
D
29/08/2026
GrimsbyFleetwood Town
22
D
22/08/2026
WalsallGrimsby
00
D
15/08/2026
GrimsbyExeter City
10
W
08/08/2026
GrimsbyBlackpool
13
L
04/08/2026
GrimsbyGrimsby Borough
32
W
01/08/2026
GrimsbyWigan
20
W
29/07/2026
Boston UnitedGrimsby
00
D
28/07/2026
GrimsbyLincoln
51
W
Bristol RoversBristol Rovers
4W2D4L
05/09/2026
Bristol RoversRotherham
10
W
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
W
29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
02
W
25/08/2026
Bristol RoversChelsea U21
2242
L
22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
53
W
15/08/2026
YorkBristol Rovers
32
L
08/08/2026
Bristol RoversPeterborough
01
L
21/07/2026
Forest GreenBristol Rovers
22
D
18/07/2026
Bristol RoversPortsmouth
11
D
14/07/2026
Bristol RoversLeicester
12
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
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About the Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Grimsby and Bristol Rovers in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Grimsby are 6th and Bristol Rovers 17th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Grimsby 24-18, Bristol Rovers 17-23. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Grimsby and Bristol Rovers have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.