Plymouth vs Exeter City Prediction

Plymouth
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Exeter City
Home Park, Plymouth·Dean Whitestone, England 10/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseHighGap+9.0%
Plymouth Rest
6 days
Exeter City Rest
9 days

Plymouth vs Exeter City: result, form and history

Plymouth beat Exeter City 2-0 in the League Cup on 10 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Plymouth had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Exeter City.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Referee Dean Whitestone averages 3.07 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%1.41
X
29%4.75
2
44%6.80
Double Chance
1X
56%1.10
X2
73%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.73
No
54%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.67 + 2.55 = 3.22
Over 1.5
83%1.15
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
31%2.32
Under 1.5
17%4.80
Under 2.5
50%2.40
Under 3.5
69%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'C. Cummins
46'J. Doyle-Hayes INH. Kite out
65'G. Edwards INE. Sutherland out
65'T. Perry INJ. Gordon out
67'X. Amaechi INM. Sorinola out
72'R. Cole ING. Birch out
77'M. Ross INJ. Pleguezuelo out
78'E. Sutherland
87'E. Sutherland
87'E. Sutherland
90'W. Harding INF. Issaka out
90+2'A. HartridgeAssist: H. White
90+4'A. PeppleAssist: F. Issaka

Lineups

Plymouth
4-2-3-1Coach: Tom Cleverley
Exeter City
3-5-1-1Coach: Kevin McDonald
Avg rating7.20
Avg rating6.35
Murphy Cooper7.21M. Cooper
Wes HardingC7.345W. Harding
Mathias Ross7.92M. Ross
Alex Mitchell6.615A. Mitchell
Alex Hartridge7.322A. Hartridge
Malachi Boateng7.56M. Boateng
Harvey White7.97H. White
Ronan Curtis6.911R. Curtis
Will Evans6.79W. Evans
Xavier Amaechi7.210X. Amaechi
Aribim Pepple7.227A. Pepple
Jack Bycroft6.91J. Bycroft
Edward James6.240E. James
Jack FitzwaterC6.95J. Fitzwater
Luca Woodhouse6.03L. Woodhouse
Andrew Oluwabori6.311A. Oluwabori
Taylor Perry6.68T. Perry
Jake Doyle-Hayes6.231J. Doyle-Hayes
Charlie Cummins6.616C. Cummins
Gwion Edwards6.77G. Edwards
Reece Cole6.712R. Cole
Jayden Wareham6.09J. Wareham

Plymouth Substitutes

29Matthew Sorinola67'for X. Amaechi7.2
21James Storer
8Joe Edwards
4Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
5Julio Pleguezuelo77'for M. Ross6.7
24Caleb Roberts
25Frederick Issaka90'for W. Harding
23Bradley Ibrahim
43James Sharpe

Exeter City Substitutes

14Harry Kite46'for J. Doyle-Hayes5.9
10Josh Gordon65'for T. Perry6.6
23Ethan Sutherland65'for G. Edwards78'87'87'5.5
20George Birch72'for R. Cole6.2
22Frankie Phillips
47Liam Cartwright
46Louie Cayless
18Liam Oakes
19Sonny Cox

Match Stats

PlymouthExeter City
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal6
16Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
9Fouls14
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
361Total Passes216
267Passes Accurate110
74%Pass Accuracy51%

Team Comparison

PlymouthPlymouth
Exeter CityExeter City
1629Elo Rating 1537
0.97Attack 1.26
1.49Defense 2.23
37%Hit Rate 56%
12.8Shots per Game 12.0
3.7Shots on Target 3.0
3.4Corners per Game 3.8
1.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals

Game State Tendencies

PlymouthPlymouth
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PlymouthPlymouth2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Exeter CityExeter City1Wins · 25%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League One11/04/2026
PlymouthExeter City
22
League One23/10/2025
Exeter CityPlymouth
20
League One15/04/2023
Exeter CityPlymouth
01
League One31/10/2022
PlymouthExeter City
42

Recent Form

PlymouthPlymouth
8W2D0L
04/08/2026
TavistockPlymouth
14
W
01/08/2026
PlymouthBristol City
00
D
25/07/2026
Truro CityPlymouth
01
W
21/07/2026
TorquayPlymouth
01
W
18/07/2026
Bath CityPlymouth
03
W
11/07/2026
Plymouth ParkwayPlymouth
14
W
02/05/2026
NorthamptonPlymouth
23
W
25/04/2026
PlymouthPort Vale
21
W
21/04/2026
BradfordPlymouth
11
D
18/04/2026
AFC WimbledonPlymouth
13
W
Exeter CityExeter City
2W4D4L
01/08/2026
Exeter CityBristol City
11
D
31/07/2026
TorquayExeter City
21
L
25/07/2026
Weston-super-MareExeter City
02
W
18/07/2026
Truro CityExeter City
10
L
02/05/2026
Exeter CityBradford
12
L
25/04/2026
Burton AlbionExeter City
11
D
18/04/2026
Exeter CityStockport County
33
D
11/04/2026
PlymouthExeter City
22
D
06/04/2026
Exeter CityDoncaster
30
W
03/04/2026
BlackpoolExeter City
10
L

Referee Profile

Dean Whitestone186 matches

3.07Cards per match
2.98Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dean Whitestone3.07
Other referees3.79

3.07 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Sunderland
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Bournemouth
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

About the Plymouth vs Exeter City forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.