Plymouth vs Exeter City Prediction

Plymouth
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Exeter City
Home Park, Plymouth· Dean Whitestone, England 10/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel35%RiskHighGap+9.0%
Plymouth Rest
6 days
Exeter City Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%1.41
X
29%4.75
2
44%6.80
Double Chance
1X
56%1.10
X2
73%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.73
No
54%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.67 + 2.55 = 3.22
Over 1.5
83%1.15
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
31%2.32
Under 1.5
17%4.80
Under 2.5
50%2.40
Under 3.5
69%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'C. Cummins
46'J. Doyle-Hayes INH. Kite out
65'G. Edwards INE. Sutherland out
65'T. Perry INJ. Gordon out
67'X. Amaechi INM. Sorinola out
72'R. Cole ING. Birch out
77'M. Ross INJ. Pleguezuelo out
78'E. Sutherland
87'E. Sutherland
87'E. Sutherland
90'W. Harding INF. Issaka out
90+2'A. HartridgeAssist: H. White
90+4'A. PeppleAssist: F. Issaka

Lineups

Plymouth
4-2-3-1Coach: Tom Cleverley
Exeter City
3-5-1-1Coach: Kevin McDonald
Murphy Cooper1M. CooperMurphy Cooper
Wes Harding45W. HardingWes Harding
Mathias Ross2M. RossMathias Ross
Alex Mitchell15A. MitchellAlex Mitchell
Alex Hartridge22A. HartridgeAlex Hartridge
Malachi Boateng6M. BoatengMalachi Boateng
Harvey White7H. WhiteHarvey White
Ronan Curtis11R. CurtisRonan Curtis
Will Evans9W. EvansWill Evans
Xavier Amaechi10X. AmaechiXavier Amaechi
Aribim Pepple27A. PeppleAribim Pepple
Jack Bycroft1J. BycroftJack Bycroft
Edward James40E. JamesEdward James
Jack Fitzwater5J. FitzwaterJack Fitzwater
Luca Woodhouse3L. WoodhouseLuca Woodhouse
Andrew Oluwabori11A. OluwaboriAndrew Oluwabori
Taylor Perry8T. PerryTaylor Perry
Jake Doyle-Hayes31J. Doyle-HayesJake Doyle-Hayes
Charlie Cummins16C. CumminsCharlie Cummins
Gwion Edwards7G. EdwardsGwion Edwards
Reece Cole12R. ColeReece Cole
Jayden Wareham9J. WarehamJayden Wareham

Plymouth Substitutes

29Matthew SorinolaD
21James StorerG
8Joe EdwardsD
4Brendan Sarpong-WireduM
5Julio PleguezueloD
24Caleb RobertsM
25Frederick IssakaF
23Bradley IbrahimM
43James SharpeF

Exeter City Substitutes

14Harry KiteM
10Josh GordonF
23Ethan SutherlandD
20George BirchM
22Frankie PhillipsG
47Liam CartwrightD
46Louie CaylessD
18Liam OakesD
19Sonny CoxF

Match Stats

PlymouthExeter City
63%Ball Possession37%
9Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal0
9Shots off Goal6
16Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
9Fouls14
2Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
361Total Passes213
267Passes Accurate109
74%Pass Accuracy51%

Team Comparison

PlymouthPlymouth
Exeter CityExeter City
1637Elo Rating 1522
2.11Attack 0.76
1.59Defense 2.28
66%Hit Rate 23%
12.0Shots per Game 12.1
5.4Shots on Target 2.6
4.4Corners per Game 5.5
1.1Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals

Game State Tendencies

PlymouthPlymouth
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Plymouth 42%Draw 31%27% Exeter City
3.17Avg Goals
51%BTTS Rate
51%Over 2.5

Recent Form

PlymouthPlymouth
4W1D0L
04/08/2026
TavistockPlymouth
14
W
01/08/2026
PlymouthBristol City
00
D
25/07/2026
Truro CityPlymouth
01
W
21/07/2026
TorquayPlymouth
01
W
18/07/2026
Bath CityPlymouth
03
W
Exeter CityExeter City
1W1D3L
01/08/2026
Exeter CityBristol City
11
D
31/07/2026
TorquayExeter City
21
L
25/07/2026
Weston-super-MareExeter City
02
W
18/07/2026
Truro CityExeter City
10
L
02/05/2026
Exeter CityBradford
12
L

Referee Profile

Dean Whitestone, England · 4 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.4Avg Cards
20.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 30% of referees analysed

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Plymouth vs Exeter City Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Plymouth have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Plymouth and Exeter City have met 4 times recently, averaging 3.17 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.