CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala Prediction

CA La Paz
2-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Tlaxcala
Estadio Guaycura, La Paz·O. Delgadillo Franco 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
CA La Paz Rest
7 days
Tlaxcala Rest
6 days

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: result, form and history

CA La Paz and Tlaxcala drew 2-2 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 8 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.46
X
20%4.65
2
21%5.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.14
X2
41%2.45
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'M. RamirezFoul
16'D. AlvarezAssist: E. Robles
29'F. IllescasFoul
31'A. RoblesAssist: U. Jaimes
35'C. RoblesFoul
37'E. RoblesFoul
39'E. RoblesAssist: D. Alvarez
46'U. Jaimes INO. Millan out
46'U. Zurita Jimenez INJ. Ferrer out
53'M. Barragan(Penalty)
55'J. FreyfeldUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'M. Garcia INI. Larios out
61'M. Ramirez INC. Gonzalez out
61'E. Hernandez INChristian out
73'D. Alvarez INR. E. Camacho Lastra out
77'I. Govea INF. Plascencia out
77'A. Iniestra IND. Hernandez out
79'M. A. Trejo CastroSerious foul
82'D. HernandezFoul
90+1'M. Barragan INR. Renteria out
90+6'E. TorresFoul
90+8'A. Robles INH. Torres out

Team Comparison

CA La PazCA La Paz
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
1582Elo Rating 1499
2.57Attack 2.31
1.31Defense 1.08
54%Hit Rate 39%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CA La PazCA La Paz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CA La PazCA La Paz4Wins · 50%
Draws338%
TlaxcalaTlaxcala1Wins · 12%
3.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX08/03/2026
CA La PazTlaxcala
20
Liga de Expansión MX28/09/2025
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
33
Liga de Expansión MX11/01/2025
CA La PazTlaxcala
44
Liga de Expansión MX28/07/2024
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
02
Liga de Expansión MX17/02/2024
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
23
Liga de Expansión MX27/09/2023
CA La PazTlaxcala
10
Liga de Expansión MX05/04/2023
TlaxcalaCA La Paz
10
Liga de Expansión MX10/08/2022
CA La PazTlaxcala
22

Recent Form

CA La PazCA La Paz
7W2D1L
10/10/2026
TapatíoCA La Paz
24
W
03/10/2026
CA La PazVenados FC
12
L
25/09/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaCA La Paz
13
W
19/09/2026
CA La PazCorrecaminos Uat
31
W
13/09/2026
Leones Negros UDGCA La Paz
22
D
05/09/2026
CA La PazMineros de Zacatecas
30
W
28/08/2026
CancúnCA La Paz
12
W
22/08/2026
CA La PazCruz Azul Hidalgo
11
D
15/08/2026
CA La PazPiratas
20
W
08/08/2026
TepatitlánCA La Paz
05
W
TlaxcalaTlaxcala
4W3D3L
11/10/2026
TlaxcalaPiratas
42
W
04/10/2026
MonarcasTlaxcala
11
D
27/09/2026
TlaxcalaCancún
41
W
21/09/2026
TapatíoTlaxcala
40
L
13/09/2026
TlaxcalaCDS Tampico Madero
31
W
05/09/2026
DurangoTlaxcala
11
D
30/08/2026
TlaxcalaVenados FC
31
W
21/08/2026
TepatitlánTlaxcala
32
L
16/08/2026
DoradosTlaxcala
22
D
07/08/2026
TlaxcalaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
02
L

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1483333:18+1527WDWLW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3MonarcasMonarcas1482425:16+926WLDDL
4PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
5Venados FCVenados FC1473431:25+624WDDWW
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1454527:27019WDWDW
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:25-1119WWWLL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1453626:25+118LLDLW
11TapatíoTapatío1452724:27-317LLWLL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1444621:24-316LLLDW
13DoradosDorados1444623:29-616LWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:22-514LWWDL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1433:1827
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3MonarcasMonarcas1425:1626
4PiratasPiratas1426:1424
5Venados FCVenados FC1431:2524
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7DurangoDurango1418:1421
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1427:2719
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1414:2519
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1426:2518
11TapatíoTapatío1424:2717
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1421:2416
13DoradosDorados1423:2916
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1417:2214
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
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About the CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CA La Paz and Tlaxcala in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, CA La Paz are 1st and Tlaxcala 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: CA La Paz 33-18, Tlaxcala 27-27. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.