CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo Prediction

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi, Montevideo 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
CA River Plate Rest
5 days
Uruguay Montevideo Rest
5 days

CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo: the result in context

Uruguay Montevideo beat CA River Plate 2-1 in the Segunda División on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: CA River Plate had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Uruguay Montevideo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.57
X
21%3.60
2
18%5.25
Double Chance
1X
82%1.11
X2
39%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%-
No
47%-
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 0.87 = 2.82
Over 1.5
78%-
Over 2.5
52%2.00
Over 3.5
29%-
Under 1.5
22%-
Under 2.5
48%1.80
Under 3.5
71%-
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'L. Rodriguez
51'
90+2'F. Martinicorena

Team Comparison

CA River PlateCA River Plate
Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
1475Elo Rating 1379
1.28Attack 1.10
1.41Defense 1.16
17%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals

Game State Tendencies

CA River PlateCA River Plate
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

CA River PlateCA River Plate0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

CA River PlateCA River Plate
2W2D6L
18/10/2026
Plaza ColoniaCA River Plate
21
L
14/10/2026
Boston RiverCA River Plate
4030
L
10/10/2026
CA River PlateOriental
31
W
05/10/2026
La LuzCA River Plate
32
L
26/09/2026
CA River PlateColón
30
W
20/09/2026
CerritoCA River Plate
11
D
16/09/2026
Albion FCCA River Plate
00
D
13/09/2026
CA River PlateFenix
01
L
06/09/2026
AtenasCA River Plate
32
L
03/09/2026
CA River PlateClub Nacional
23
L

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313LWWWD
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712WWLDW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611WLDWL
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310LWWDW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LWWDW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29DLDLL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WWDDL
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DLLWD
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLDLL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WLDDL
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34LWWDL
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWLDW
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74LLDDW
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas24135635:22+1344DWLDW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia24107730:24+637WWLDW
3RentistasRentistas24107732:27+537WWDDL
4ColónColón24106828:27+136LWWDW
5PaysanduPaysandu241041032:31+134LWWDL
6La LuzLa Luz2497824:25-134WLDLL
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2496936:31+533LLDDW
8OrientalOriental2489733:29+433LWWWD
9CerritoCerrito2489731:28+333DLLWD
10FenixFenix2479827:29-230WLDWL
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan24861025:33-830LWWDW
12MiramarMiramar2478925:30-529WLDDL
13TacuaremboTacuarembo24671118:27-925DLLLW
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo24561323:36-1321DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2435:2244
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2430:2437
3RentistasRentistas2432:2737
4ColónColón2428:2736
5PaysanduPaysandu2432:3134
6La LuzLa Luz2424:2534
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2436:3133
8OrientalOriental2433:2933
9CerritoCerrito2431:2833
10FenixFenix2427:2930
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2425:3330
12MiramarMiramar2425:3029
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2418:2725
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2423:3621

About the CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CA River Plate and Uruguay Montevideo in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Uruguay Montevideo are 6th and CA River Plate 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: CA River Plate 6-13, Uruguay Montevideo 7-5. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CA River Plate and Uruguay Montevideo have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.