Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo Prediction

12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Uruguay Montevideo Rest
4 days
Tacuarembo Rest
5 days

Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo: the result in context

Uruguay Montevideo and Tacuarembo drew 2-2 in the Segunda División on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.61
X
31%2.86
2
28%2.69
Double Chance
1X
72%1.40
X2
59%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.97
No
52%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.01 = 2.36
Over 1.5
67%1.44
Over 2.5
41%2.35
Over 3.5
24%4.60
Under 1.5
33%2.55
Under 2.5
59%1.50
Under 3.5
76%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'
56'
58'
76'

Team Comparison

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
TacuaremboTacuarembo
1379Elo Rating 1385
0.82Attack 0.66
1.80Defense 1.83
23%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
TacuaremboTacuarembo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
TacuaremboTacuarembo3Wins · 33%
1.7Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Segunda División07/06/2026
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
10
Segunda División26/04/2026
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
11
Segunda División25/10/2025
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
00
Segunda División03/08/2025
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
20
Segunda División26/09/2024
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
00
Segunda División11/06/2024
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
10
Segunda División07/04/2024
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
13
Segunda División29/11/2023
TacuaremboUruguay Montevideo
20
Segunda División22/07/2023
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
30

Recent Form

Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo
3W3D4L
TacuaremboTacuarembo
2W2D6L
06/09/2026
TacuaremboOriental
01
L
29/08/2026
ColónTacuarembo
10
L
23/08/2026
TacuaremboFenix
02
L
16/08/2026
RentistasTacuarembo
01
W
09/08/2026
MiramarTacuarembo
11
D
02/08/2026
TacuaremboCA River Plate
10
W
25/07/2026
TacuaremboPlaza Colonia
02
L
13/07/2026
La LuzTacuarembo
20
L
05/07/2026
TacuaremboCerrito
00
D
27/06/2026
AtenasTacuarembo
20
L

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WWLWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DDWWL
3FenixFenix632113:7+611LDWLD
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310WDLWW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LDLWW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LLDLD
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WLWWD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809LDDLL
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLWLD
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45LWWLD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DDLWW
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWDWL
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74WDLLD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas26145736:23+1347DWDWL
2RentistasRentistas26127735:27+843WLWWD
3ColónColón26126830:27+342LDLWW
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia26108831:26+538DDWWL
5La LuzLa Luz26107925:27-237WLWLD
6PaysanduPaysandu261051134:34035DDLWW
7CA River PlateCA River Plate26971037:34+334WDLLD
8OrientalOriental26810834:31+334WWLWW
9CerritoCerrito26810832:30+234LDDLL
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan26971027:33-634WDLWW
11MiramarMiramar2689929:32-333LWWLD
12FenixFenix26710928:31-331LDWLD
13TacuaremboTacuarembo26681220:31-1126DDDLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo26671325:37-1225LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2636:2347
2RentistasRentistas2635:2743
3ColónColón2630:2742
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2631:2638
5La LuzLa Luz2625:2737
6PaysanduPaysandu2634:3435
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2637:3434
8OrientalOriental2634:3134
9CerritoCerrito2632:3034
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2627:3334
11MiramarMiramar2629:3233
12FenixFenix2628:3131
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2620:3126
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2625:3725

About the Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Uruguay Montevideo and Tacuarembo in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Uruguay Montevideo are 6th and Tacuarembo 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Uruguay Montevideo 7-5, Tacuarembo 5-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.