Cancún vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction

J. Gil 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Cancún Rest
4 days
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Rest
9 days

Cancún vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: the result in context

Cancún beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.72
X
25%3.65
2
17%4.33
Double Chance
1X
83%1.17
X2
42%2.04
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'J. Bustos
29'K. Alvarez
37'C. Trejo
38'D. Guillen
45+5'P. Villa
46'A. Arredondo INF. Melendre out
46'G. Preciado INA. Chavez out
46'P. Villa INA. Justo out
54'F. Melendre
56'D. Martinez
59'P. Uscanga INL. Lopez out
71'K. CamposAssist: A. Chavez
72'A. Hernandez INI. Barreda out
72'J. RodriguezAssist: C. Trejo
77'A. Arellano
81'C. Trejo(Penalty)
82'K. Campos INC. Vela out
82'A. Tecpanecatl INB. Fadika out
82'D. Collazo INJ. Gonzalez out
86'A. Alvarez INC. Salaya De La Cruz out
86'D. Martinez INW. Torres out

Team Comparison

CancúnCancún
Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
1562Elo Rating 1428
1.51Attack 1.16
1.61Defense 0.80
34%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+133 Elo
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CancúnCancún
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CancúnCancún5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX25/01/2026
CancúnAlebrijes de Oaxaca
11
Liga de Expansión MX16/08/2025
Alebrijes de OaxacaCancún
01
Liga de Expansión MX26/01/2025
CancúnAlebrijes de Oaxaca
10
Liga de Expansión MX11/08/2024
Alebrijes de OaxacaCancún
02
Liga de Expansión MX17/01/2024
CancúnAlebrijes de Oaxaca
30
Liga de Expansión MX15/10/2023
Alebrijes de OaxacaCancún
25
Liga de Expansión MX08/04/2023
Alebrijes de OaxacaCancún
10
Liga de Expansión MX17/08/2022
CancúnAlebrijes de Oaxaca
00
Liga de Expansión MX06/01/2022
Alebrijes de OaxacaCancún
20
Liga de Expansión MX10/11/2021
CancúnAlebrijes de Oaxaca
12

Recent Form

CancúnCancún
4W2D4L
16/09/2026
DoradosCancún
11
D
12/09/2026
Correcaminos UatCancún
22
D
06/09/2026
CancúnCruz Azul Hidalgo
60
W
28/08/2026
CancúnCA La Paz
12
L
23/08/2026
PiratasCancún
01
W
16/08/2026
CancúnDurango
20
W
09/08/2026
MonarcasCancún
41
L
02/08/2026
CancúnLeones Negros UDG
02
L
05/07/2026
CancúnU.N.A.M. - Pumas
03
L
04/07/2026
CancúnToluca
10
W
Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
4W1D5L
11/09/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaDurango
10
W
06/09/2026
MonarcasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
41
L
28/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
11
D
23/08/2026
CDS Tampico MaderoAlebrijes de Oaxaca
21
L
14/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTepatitlán
10
W
07/08/2026
TlaxcalaAlebrijes de Oaxaca
02
W
31/07/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaDorados
02
L
26/07/2026
Venados FCAlebrijes de Oaxaca
30
L
18/04/2026
Correcaminos UatAlebrijes de Oaxaca
13
W
11/04/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaCDS Tampico Madero
12
L

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1373330:17+1324DWLWW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1373329:19+1024LDWWL
3MonarcasMonarcas1372423:15+823LDDLW
4PiratasPiratas1363421:14+721WLWLW
5Venados FCVenados FC1363428:23+521DDWWL
6DurangoDurango1363416:11+521WDWWW
7CancúnCancún1354422:18+419DDWLW
8Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1353526:23+318LDLWW
9TapatíoTapatío1352623:25-217LWLLW
10DoradosDorados1344523:24-116WLLLD
11Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1344521:22-116LLDWL
12TlaxcalaTlaxcala1344525:27-216DWDWL
13Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1351712:24-1216WWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1343614:20-615WDLLD
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1335516:20-414WWDLL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán13211010:37-277LLDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1330:1724
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1329:1924
3MonarcasMonarcas1323:1523
4PiratasPiratas1321:1421
5Venados FCVenados FC1328:2321
6DurangoDurango1316:1121
7CancúnCancún1322:1819
8Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1326:2318
9TapatíoTapatío1323:2517
10DoradosDorados1323:2416
11Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1321:2216
12TlaxcalaTlaxcala1325:2716
13Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1312:2416
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1314:2015
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1316:2014
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1310:377
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About the Cancún vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca forecast

The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cancún and Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Cancún are 7th and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Cancún 22-18, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12-24. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.