Cancún vs Tapatío Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Cancún vs Tapatío: the result in context
Cancún beat Tapatío 1-0 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Cancún
TapatíoAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Cancún- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Tapatío- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cancún4Wins · 40%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
27/04/2026CancúnTapatío24/04/2026TapatíoCancún07/03/2026TapatíoCancún28/09/2025CancúnTapatío06/04/2025CancúnTapatío20/10/2024TapatíoCancún27/03/2024CancúnTapatío23/07/2023TapatíoCancún30/03/2023CancúnTapatío27/08/2022TapatíoCancúnRecent Form
Cancún
TlaxcalaCancúnCancún
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
DoradosCancún
Correcaminos UatCancúnCancún
Cruz Azul HidalgoCancún
CA La Paz
PiratasCancúnCancún
Durango
MonarcasCancúnCancún
Leones Negros UDGTapatíoTapatíoTlaxcalaDoradosTapatíoTapatíoLeones Negros UDGAlebrijes de OaxacaTapatíoTapatío
Mineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos UatTapatío
Venados FCTapatíoTapatío
CDS Tampico MaderoTapatíoCruz Azul Hidalgo
LeonTapatíoLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30:17 | +13 | 24 | DWLWW |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 24 | LDWWL |
| 3 | Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | +8 | 23 | LDDLW |
| 4 | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | +7 | 21 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:23 | +5 | 21 | DDWWL |
| 6 | Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 | WDWWW |
| 7 | Cancún | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | +4 | 19 | DDWLW |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | +3 | 18 | LDLWW |
| 10 | Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 17 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 | WLLLD |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 16 | DWDWL |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10:37 | -27 | 7 | LLDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 13 | 30:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 29:19 | 24 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 13 | 23:15 | 23 |
| 4 | Piratas | 13 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 13 | 28:23 | 21 |
| 6 | Durango | 13 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 7 | Cancún | 13 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 8 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 14:25 | 19 |
| 9 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 26:23 | 18 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 13 | 23:25 | 17 |
| 11 | Dorados | 13 | 23:24 | 16 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 25:27 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 17:22 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 13 | 10:37 | 7 |
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This match
About the Cancún vs Tapatío forecast
The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cancún and Tapatío in the Liga de Expansión MX table
In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Cancún are 7th and Tapatío 10th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Cancún 22-18, Tapatío 23-25. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.