Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction

Richmond Park, Carmarthen 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.19
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Carmarthen Town Rest
7 days
Aberystwyth Town Rest
7 days

Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town: the result in context

Aberystwyth Town beat Carmarthen Town 4-0 in the FAW Championship on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Aberystwyth Town had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Carmarthen Town.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.83
X
23%3.94
2
53%1.69
Double Chance
1X
47%1.94
X2
75%1.19
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'D. Owen
58'L. Walsh
66'A. Williams
82'A. Williams

Team Comparison

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town
1405Elo Rating 1480
1.75Attack 2.18
0.19Defense 2.14
0%Hit Rate 66%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town2Wins · 25%
Draws450%
Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town2Wins · 25%
3.4Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

FAW Championship01/01/2026
Aberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
11
FAW Championship22/08/2025
Carmarthen TownAberystwyth Town
10
Premier League18/10/2019
Carmarthen TownAberystwyth Town
00
Premier League16/08/2019
Aberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
32
Premier League26/04/2019
Carmarthen TownAberystwyth Town
62
Premier League08/03/2019
Aberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
32
Premier League30/11/2018
Aberystwyth TownCarmarthen Town
11
Premier League22/09/2018
Carmarthen TownAberystwyth Town
22

Recent Form

Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town
1W3D6L
31/10/2026
Pontardawe TownCarmarthen Town
21
L
23/10/2026
Carmarthen TownCaerphilly Athletic
13
L
17/10/2026
Carmarthen TownNewport City
45
L
10/10/2026
Cardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
22
D
02/10/2026
Carmarthen TownLlantwit Major
12
L
25/09/2026
Baglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
12
W
12/09/2026
Carmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
22
D
31/08/2026
Carmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds
23
L
28/08/2026
llanelli AFCCarmarthen Town
22
D
22/08/2026
Carmarthen TownTreowen Stars
24
L
Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town
7W1D2L
31/10/2026
Aberystwyth TownTrethomas Bluebirds
21
W
17/10/2026
Aberystwyth TownPrestatyn Town
51
W
10/10/2026
Aberystwyth TownCaerau (Ely)
01
L
03/10/2026
Pontypridd TownAberystwyth Town
13
W
25/09/2026
Aberystwyth TownSwansea University
00
D
12/09/2026
Caerphilly AthleticAberystwyth Town
23
W
31/08/2026
Aberystwyth Townllanelli AFC
40
W
28/08/2026
Aberystwyth TownPontardawe Town
10
W
22/08/2026
Aberystwyth TownLlantwit Major
51
W
08/08/2026
Aberystwyth TownTreowen Stars
12
L

League Table

FAW Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1383235:22+1327WWDDW
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1181228:10+1825WWLWD
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1273236:18+1824LWLDW
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1371524:23+122LWLWW
5Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1362525:25020WDWLL
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1362514:14020WLDWL
7Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1154220:13+719LWWWD
8Afan LidoAfan Lido1453624:26-218WLWDL
9Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1345426:23+317DLWWL
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1343624:30-615LLLDL
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1142520:21-114DWDWW
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1342717:24-714LLWWL
13Newport CityNewport City1134421:17+413DWDLD
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1133514:19-512LWLDD
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1233614:26-1212DLWDL
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC14031112:43-313DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town1335:2227
2Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town1128:1025
3Swansea UniversitySwansea University1236:1824
4Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)1324:2322
5Treowen StarsTreowen Stars1325:2520
6Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons1314:1420
7Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions1120:1319
8Afan LidoAfan Lido1424:2618
9Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds1326:2317
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town1324:3015
11Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town1120:2114
12Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic1317:2414
13Newport CityNewport City1121:1713
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians1114:1912
15Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major1214:2612
16llanelli AFCllanelli AFC1412:433

About the Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town forecast

The forecasts for this FAW Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Carmarthen Town and Aberystwyth Town in the FAW Championship table

In the FAW Championship table, Aberystwyth Town are 2nd and Carmarthen Town 10th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Carmarthen Town 24-30, Aberystwyth Town 28-10. The full standings are on the FAW Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Carmarthen Town have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.