Celtic vs Rangers Prediction

Celtic
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Rangers
Celtic Park, Glasgow 20/09/2026
CelticCeltic
0-1
Finished
RangersRangers

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Celtic Rest
2 days
Rangers Rest
7 days

Celtic vs Rangers: result, form and history

Rangers beat Celtic 1-0 in the Premiership on 20 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rangers had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Celtic.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.20
X
26%3.54
2
31%2.97
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
57%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.48
No
37%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.34 = 2.91
Over 1.5
82%1.15
Over 2.5
61%1.57
Over 3.5
39%2.42
Under 1.5
18%4.80
Under 2.5
39%2.30
Under 3.5
61%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.25
Over 9.5
46%1.48
Over 10.5
35%1.82
Under 8.5
46%3.34
Under 9.5
54%2.47
Under 10.5
65%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%1.40
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%2.80

Match Events

4'Emmanuel FernandezFoul
5'Derek McInnesDissent
33'Ryan Naderi
45'Luke McCowan INKasper Hogh out
57'Min-su KimFoul
63'Benjamin Nygren INJames Forrest out
71'Min-su Kim INFindlay Curtis out
71'Kieran Tierney INHaissem Hassan out
71'Camilo Duran INSebastian Tounekti out
72'Djeidi Gassama INBadredine Bouanani out
73'Callum McGregorFoul
74'Sebastian TounektiDissent
75'Goal cancelledOlwethu Makhanya
76'James Penrice INBen Godfrey out
88'Badredine BouananiTime wasting
88'Dan Neil INTochi Chukwuani out
89'Kevin Kelsy INCameron Devlin out
89'Liam Scales INShumaira Mheuka out

Lineups

Celtic
3-5-2Coach: M. O'Neill
Rangers
4-4-1-1Coach: D. McInnes
Avg rating6.39
Avg rating6.84
V. Sinisalo7.41V. Sinisalo
C. Carter-Vickers6.920C. Carter-Vickers
A. Trusty6.96A. Trusty
L. Scales6.25L. Scales
Colby Donovan6.051C. Donovan
L. McCowan6.414L. McCowan
C. McGregor5.942C. McGregor
M. Baur6.522M. Baur
K. Tierney5.863K. Tierney
B. Nygren6.08B. Nygren
C. Durán6.611C. Durán
I. Pandur6.31I. Pandur
D. Sterling7.521D. Sterling
E. Fernandez6.937E. Fernandez
O. Makhanya6.824O. Makhanya
J. Penrice7.229J. Penrice
Minsu Kim7.110M. Kim
D. Neil6.86D. Neil
N. Raskin6.743N. Raskin
D. Gassama6.623D. Gassama
R. Naderi7.720R. Naderi
K. Kelsy6.619K. Kelsy

Celtic Substitutes

23H. Hassan71'for Kieran Tierney6.7
47D. Murray
49J. Forrest63'for Benjamin Nygren6.3
29Shumaira Mheuka89'for Liam Scales6.3
26S. Johnstone
9K. Høgh45'for Luke McCowan6.2
56A. Ralston
17S. Tounekti71'for Camilo Duran74'6.1
21A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

Rangers Substitutes

26B. Bouanani72'for Djeidi Gassama88'6.4
42T. Chukwuani88'for Dan Neil6.5
52Findlay Curtis71'for Min-su Kim6.7
14C. Devlin89'for Kevin Kelsy6.6
22V. Dragojević
4B. Godfrey76'for James Penrice7.0
31L. Kelly
2R. McCrorie
28B. Miovski

Match Stats

CelticRangers
55%Ball Possession45%
8Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
5Total Shots15
1Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box10
1Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
16Fouls19
3Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves1
434Total Passes359
321Passes Accurate250
18Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

CelticCeltic
RangersRangers
1757Elo Rating 1733
2.65Attack 2.06
1.23Defense 2.23
46%Hit Rate 73%
16.0Shots per Game 18.3
8.0Shots on Target 7.1
7.6Corners per Game 6.7
1.5Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

CelticCeltic
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
RangersRangers
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CelticCeltic1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
RangersRangers4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

League Cup13/09/2026
RangersCeltic
30
Premiership10/05/2026
CelticRangers
31
FA Cup08/03/2026
RangersCeltic
2040
Premiership01/03/2026
RangersCeltic
22
Premiership03/01/2026
CelticRangers
13
League Cup02/11/2025
CelticRangers
3111
Premiership31/08/2025
RangersCeltic
00
Premiership04/05/2025
RangersCeltic
11
Premiership16/03/2025
CelticRangers
23
Premiership02/01/2025
RangersCeltic
30

Recent Form

CelticCeltic
7W0D3L
RangersRangers
7W1D2L
13/09/2026
RangersCeltic
30
W
09/09/2026
RangersST Mirren
10
W
05/09/2026
RangersMotherwell
10
W
02/09/2026
FalkirkRangers
12
W
30/08/2026
AberdeenRangers
01
W
27/08/2026
FK JablonecRangers
4130
L
20/08/2026
RangersFK Jablonec
10
W
16/08/2026
RangersST Mirren
51
W
13/08/2026
RangersJagiellonia
11
D
09/08/2026
RangersHibernian
12
L

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic980123:5+1824WWLWW
2RangersRangers962113:7+620DWWWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian951320:15+516LWDLW
4DundeeDundee942313:10+314DWWLD
5ST JohnstoneST Johnstone933311:11012DWDLW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd933311:12-112DWWDL
7AberdeenAberdeen932410:10011WLDWD
8ST MirrenST Mirren93159:17-810LLLLL
9FalkirkFalkirk92349:12-39WLDWD
10MotherwellMotherwell922511:16-58LLLLL
11KilmarnockKilmarnock922510:20-108WLDWD
12HibernianHibernian92169:14-57LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic923:524
2RangersRangers913:720
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian920:1516
4DundeeDundee913:1014
5ST JohnstoneST Johnstone911:1112
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd911:1212
7AberdeenAberdeen910:1011
8ST MirrenST Mirren99:1710
9FalkirkFalkirk99:129
10MotherwellMotherwell911:168
11KilmarnockKilmarnock910:208
12HibernianHibernian99:147
PromotionRelegation

About the Celtic vs Rangers forecast

As a derby, this Premiership meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celtic and Rangers in the Premiership table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Celtic are 1st in the Premiership, 4 points ahead of Rangers in 2nd. League goal record so far: Celtic 23-5, Rangers 13-7. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rangers have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.