ST Johnstone vs Celtic Prediction

ST Johnstone
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Celtic
McDiarmid Park, Perth 09/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
ST Johnstone Rest
3 days
Celtic Rest
4 days

ST Johnstone vs Celtic: result, form and history

Celtic beat ST Johnstone 1-0 in the Premiership on 9 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Celtic had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for ST Johnstone.

Celtic have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Celtic tend to win more corners, 8.4 a game to 2.3 for ST Johnstone.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%6.37
X
20%4.63
2
64%1.44
Double Chance
1X
36%2.70
X2
84%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.71 = 2.84
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
34%2.38
Under 1.5
17%5.00
Under 2.5
41%2.40
Under 3.5
66%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.7 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.23
Over 9.5
54%1.47
Over 10.5
43%1.80
Under 8.5
35%3.17
Under 9.5
46%2.48
Under 10.5
57%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.6 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.83
Over 4.5
31%2.55
Under 3.5
49%1.83
Under 4.5
69%1.42

Match Events

52'Mika BaurAssist: Haissem Hassan
55'Josh CampbellFoul
63'Jason Holt INSam Stanton out
63'Josh Fowler INRuari Paton out
67'Oliver Sorensen INBenjamin Nygren out
69'Reece McAlearFoul
73'Haissem Hassan INCamilo Duran out
73'Sebastian Tounekti INJames Forrest out
74'Josh Campbell INDanny schmidt out
74'Taylor Steven INKai Fotheringham out
82'Liam ScalesFoul
86'Kasper Hogh INShumaira Mheuka out
87'Liam Scales INKieran Tierney out
87'Joel Cotterill INMacaulay Tait out
90+4'Mika BaurHandball

Lineups

ST Johnstone
3-4-2-1Coach: S. Valakari
Celtic
4-2-3-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.98
T. Steward7.81T. Steward
M. Todd5.826M. Todd
D. Finlayson6.419D. Finlayson
C. Diabate6.73C. Diabate
J. Campbell5.932J. Campbell
R. McAlear6.542R. McAlear
J. Holt6.18J. Holt
E. Alıç6.92E. Alıç
3030J. Cotterill
T. Steven6.07T. Steven
J. Fowler5.99J. Fowler
S. Johnstone7.426S. Johnstone
Colby Donovan7.351C. Donovan
D. Murray7.147D. Murray
A. Trusty6.96A. Trusty
L. Scales6.75L. Scales
C. McGregor6.842C. McGregor
M. Baur8.222M. Baur
H. Hassan7.723H. Hassan
O. Sørensen6.318O. Sørensen
S. Tounekti6.617S. Tounekti
K. Høgh6.49K. Høgh

ST Johnstone Substitutes

4M. Boyes
18K. Fotheringham74'for Taylor Steven6.3
14M. Foulds
99R. Paton63'for Josh Fowler6.6
22D. Schmidt74'for Josh Campbell6.4
20R. Sinclair
33L. Smith
11S. Stanton63'for Jason Holt6.3
25M. Tait87'replaced by Joel Cotterill6.2

Celtic Substitutes

3J. Lotomba
49J. Forrest73'for Sebastian Tounekti7.1
11C. Durán73'for Haissem Hassan6.6
29Shumaira Mheuka86'for Kasper Hogh6.8
8B. Nygren67'for Oliver Sorensen7.2
21A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
1V. Sinisalo
63K. Tierney87'for Liam Scales6.7
35J. van den Berg

Match Stats

ST JohnstoneCeltic
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks11
2Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots4
13Fouls9
0Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves3
386Total Passes591
303Passes Accurate530
8Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
CelticCeltic
1574Elo Rating 1727
1.30Attack 1.67
1.06Defense 1.17
14%Hit Rate 44%
9.3Shots per Game 17.5
2.9Shots on Target 6.5
2.3Corners per Game 8.4
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
CelticCeltic
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
CelticCeltic8Wins · 80%
3.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

FA Cup20/04/2025
ST JohnstoneCeltic
05
Premiership06/04/2025
ST JohnstoneCeltic
10
Premiership29/12/2024
CelticST Johnstone
40
Premiership28/09/2024
ST JohnstoneCeltic
06
Premiership16/03/2024
CelticST Johnstone
31
Premiership03/12/2023
ST JohnstoneCeltic
13
Premiership26/08/2023
CelticST Johnstone
00
Premiership05/02/2023
ST JohnstoneCeltic
14
Premiership24/12/2022
CelticST Johnstone
41
Premiership08/10/2022
ST JohnstoneCeltic
12

Recent Form

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
5W1D4L
06/09/2026
ST JohnstoneHibernian
21
W
02/09/2026
DundeeST Johnstone
11
D
29/08/2026
Heart Of MidlothianST Johnstone
21
L
08/08/2026
ST MirrenST Johnstone
10
L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
W
25/07/2026
ST JohnstoneEast Fife
4151
L
21/07/2026
Inverness CTST Johnstone
10
L
18/07/2026
ST JohnstoneMorton
30
W
14/07/2026
Linlithgow RoseST Johnstone
02
W
11/07/2026
Cove RangersST Johnstone
24
W
CelticCeltic
7W2D1L
05/09/2026
ST MirrenCeltic
12
W
02/09/2026
CelticAberdeen
30
W
29/08/2026
CelticFalkirk
21
W
25/08/2026
Lask LinzCeltic
5411
L
19/08/2026
CelticLask Linz
30
W
15/08/2026
Dundee UtdCeltic
04
W
09/08/2026
KilmarnockCeltic
15
W
03/08/2026
CelticDundee
10
W
25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
22
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1291227:10+1728LDWWW
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4FalkirkFalkirk1253415:12+318WWWWL
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1227:1028
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4FalkirkFalkirk1215:1218
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
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About the ST Johnstone vs Celtic forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ST Johnstone and Celtic in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Celtic are 1st and ST Johnstone 7th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: ST Johnstone 17-20, Celtic 27-10. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.