Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction

Kilmarnock
1-5
Finished
HT 0-3
Celtic
Rugby Park, Kilmarnock· R. Lee 09/08/2026
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1-5
Finished
CelticCeltic

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.76
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+11.9%
Kilmarnock Rest
6 days
Celtic Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%6.90
X
27%5.00
2
52%1.36
Double Chance
1X
47%2.90
X2
79%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.62
No
45%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.48 = 2.73
Over 1.5
76%1.13
Over 2.5
51%1.42
Over 3.5
26%2.10
Under 1.5
24%5.75
Under 2.5
49%2.75
Under 3.5
74%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.8 = 9.5
Over 8.5
62%1.35
Over 9.5
50%1.60
Over 10.5
39%1.98
Under 8.5
38%2.92
Under 9.5
50%2.18
Under 10.5
61%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
47%1.78
Over 4.5
31%2.33
Under 3.5
53%1.98
Under 4.5
69%1.49

Match Events

2'K. HoghAssist: A. Engels
26'J. HugillFoul
33'K. HoghAssist: B. Nygren
35'K. HoghAssist: C. Duran
46'A. Johnston INC. Donovan out
47'B. Nygren
56'M. Schjonning-LarsenAssist: T. Lowery
64'C. Duran INS. Tounekti out
74'Yang Hyun-Jun INL. McCowan out
74'B. Nygren INJ. Forrest out
74'M. Schjonning-Larsen INM. O'Hara out
75'T. John-Jules INB. Rice out
75'L. McCowan
82'K. Hogh INC. Osmand out

Lineups

Kilmarnock
4-3-1-2Coach: Neil McCann
Celtic
4-2-3-1Coach: Martin O'Neill
Max Stryjek1M. StryjekMax Stryjek
Jamie Brandon2J. BrandonJamie Brandon
George Stanger14G. StangerGeorge Stanger
Johnly Yfeko15J. YfekoJohnly Yfeko
Michael Schjønning-Larsen21M. Schjønning-LarsenMichael Schjønning-Larsen
Erik Ring8E. RingErik Ring
Aaron Tshibola36A. TshibolaAaron Tshibola
Tom Lowery18T. LoweryTom Lowery
Greg Kiltie11G. KiltieGreg Kiltie
Joe Hugill9J. HugillJoe Hugill
Tyreece John-Jules10T. John-JulesTyreece John-Jules
Viljami Sinisalo1V. SinisaloViljami Sinisalo
Alistair Johnston2A. JohnstonAlistair Johnston
Cameron Carter-Vickers20C. Carter-VickersCameron Carter-Vickers
Auston Trusty6A. TrustyAuston Trusty
Kieran Tierney63K. TierneyKieran Tierney
Callum McGregor42C. McGregorCallum McGregor
Arne Engels27A. EngelsArne Engels
Camilo Durán11C. DuránCamilo Durán
Benjamin Nygren8B. NygrenBenjamin Nygren
Yang Hyun-Jun13Y. Hyun-JunYang Hyun-Jun
Kasper Høgh9K. HøghKasper Høgh

Kilmarnock Substitutes

12Calum FerrieG
25Ethan BrownD
39Euan BowieD
20Nicky CleșcencoF
7Rory McKenzieM
5Mark O'HaraM
22Jack ThomsonM
49Bailey RiceM
27Ieuan OwenF

Celtic Substitutes

31Ross DoohanG
47Dane MurrayD
51Colby DonovanD
21Alex Oxlade-ChamberlainM
49James ForrestM
17Sebastian TounektiF
41Reo HatateM
14Luke McCowanM
19Callum OsmandF

Match Stats

KilmarnockCeltic
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots32
5Shots on Goal16
2Shots off Goal10
9Shots Inside Box28
0Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots6
12Fouls10
1Offsides0
10Goalkeeper Saves3
364Total Passes645
295Passes Accurate587
81%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

KilmarnockKilmarnock
CelticCeltic
1535Elo Rating 1762
0.69Attack 1.22
2.39Defense 1.34
23%Hit Rate 50%
8.6Shots per Game 18.8
3.7Shots on Target 5.9
5.7Corners per Game 9.4
2.2Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CelticCeltic
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Kilmarnock 0%Draw 0%100% Celtic
4.27Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

KilmarnockKilmarnock
3W0D2L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
L
25/07/2026
PeterheadKilmarnock
5040
L
21/07/2026
KilmarnockHamilton Academical
10
W
18/07/2026
Elgin CityKilmarnock
01
W
14/07/2026
KilmarnockRaith Rovers
4020
W
CelticCeltic
1W3D1L
03/08/2026
CelticDundee
10
W
25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
22
D
18/07/2026
CelticMiddlesbrough
11
D
14/07/2026
Sporting CPCeltic
41
L
07/07/2026
ShelbourneCeltic
11
D

Referee Profile

R. Lee · 8 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
24.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 11% of referees analysed

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian741214:8+613DLWWW
3RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
4DundeeDundee73139:7+210WLDLW
5ST MirrenST Mirren73138:9-110LLLWD
6ST JohnstoneST Johnstone72239:10-18DLWDL
7AberdeenAberdeen72237:8-18DWDLL
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd72239:11-28WDLWL
9MotherwellMotherwell72239:11-28LLLWD
10HibernianHibernian72148:11-37DLLLW
11FalkirkFalkirk71336:9-36DWDLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock71246:15-95DWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian714:813
3RangersRangers67:413
4DundeeDundee79:710
5ST MirrenST Mirren78:910
6ST JohnstoneST Johnstone79:108
7AberdeenAberdeen77:88
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd79:118
9MotherwellMotherwell79:118
10HibernianHibernian78:117
11FalkirkFalkirk76:96
12KilmarnockKilmarnock76:155
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Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Kilmarnock and Celtic have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.27 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.