Cerrito vs Tacuarembo Prediction

Cerrito
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Tacuarembo
10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseHighGap-11.0%
Cerrito Rest
3 days
Tacuarembo Rest
6 days

Cerrito vs Tacuarembo: the result in context

Cerrito beat Tacuarembo 2-1 in the Segunda División on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cerrito had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Tacuarembo.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.85
X
27%3.30
2
29%3.90
Double Chance
1X
71%1.22
X2
56%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.88
No
50%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.95 = 2.52
Over 1.5
69%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.07
Over 3.5
25%3.68
Under 1.5
31%2.93
Under 2.5
55%1.67
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'A. Enzo
85'
87'
89'

Team Comparison

CerritoCerrito
TacuaremboTacuarembo
1494Elo Rating 1374
1.49Attack 0.70
1.66Defense 1.61
39%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+120 Elo

Game State Tendencies

CerritoCerrito
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TacuaremboTacuarembo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

CerritoCerrito4Wins · 45%
Draws333%
TacuaremboTacuarembo2Wins · 22%
2.0Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Segunda División05/07/2026
TacuaremboCerrito
00
Segunda División29/03/2026
TacuaremboCerrito
11
Segunda División24/08/2025
CerritoTacuarembo
11
Segunda División04/06/2025
TacuaremboCerrito
20
Segunda División16/11/2024
CerritoTacuarembo
31
Segunda División28/07/2024
TacuaremboCerrito
02
Segunda División26/11/2023
TacuaremboCerrito
01
Segunda División15/07/2023
CerritoTacuarembo
21
Segunda División12/03/2023
CerritoTacuarembo
02

Recent Form

CerritoCerrito
3W2D5L
07/10/2026
CerritoWanderers
3242
L
04/10/2026
Plaza ColoniaCerrito
13
W
27/09/2026
CerritoLa Luz
12
L
24/09/2026
WanderersCerrito
13
W
20/09/2026
CerritoCA River Plate
11
D
13/09/2026
AtenasCerrito
00
D
10/09/2026
CerroCerrito
02
W
05/09/2026
CerritoPaysandu
12
L
02/09/2026
CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
02
L
29/08/2026
Sportivo HuracanCerrito
21
L
TacuaremboTacuarembo
2W4D4L
04/10/2026
TacuaremboAtenas
01
L
29/09/2026
PaysanduTacuarembo
22
D
20/09/2026
TacuaremboSportivo Huracan
11
D
12/09/2026
Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
22
D
06/09/2026
TacuaremboOriental
01
L
29/08/2026
ColónTacuarembo
10
L
23/08/2026
TacuaremboFenix
02
L
16/08/2026
RentistasTacuarembo
01
W
09/08/2026
MiramarTacuarembo
11
D
02/08/2026
TacuaremboCA River Plate
10
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313LWWWD
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712WWLDW
3FenixFenix632113:7+611WLDWL
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310LWWDW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LWWDW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29DLDLL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WWDDL
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DLLWD
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLDLL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WLDDL
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34LWWDL
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWLDW
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74LLDDW
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas24135635:22+1344DWLDW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia24107730:24+637WWLDW
3RentistasRentistas24107732:27+537WWDDL
4ColónColón24106828:27+136LWWDW
5PaysanduPaysandu241041032:31+134LWWDL
6La LuzLa Luz2497824:25-134WLDLL
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2496936:31+533LLDDW
8OrientalOriental2489733:29+433LWWWD
9CerritoCerrito2489731:28+333DLLWD
10FenixFenix2479827:29-230WLDWL
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan24861025:33-830LWWDW
12MiramarMiramar2478925:30-529WLDDL
13TacuaremboTacuarembo24671118:27-925DLLLW
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo24561323:36-1321DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2435:2244
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2430:2437
3RentistasRentistas2432:2737
4ColónColón2428:2736
5PaysanduPaysandu2432:3134
6La LuzLa Luz2424:2534
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2436:3133
8OrientalOriental2433:2933
9CerritoCerrito2431:2833
10FenixFenix2427:2930
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2425:3330
12MiramarMiramar2425:3029
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2418:2725
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2423:3621

About the Cerrito vs Tacuarembo forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cerrito and Tacuarembo in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Cerrito are 8th and Tacuarembo 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Cerrito 8-8, Tacuarembo 5-9. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.