Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito Prediction

Plaza Colonia
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Cerrito
Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento 04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Plaza Colonia Rest
4 days
Cerrito Rest
7 days

Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito: result, form and history

Cerrito beat Plaza Colonia 3-1 in the Segunda División on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 7 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.08
X
28%3.14
2
27%3.27
Double Chance
1X
73%1.29
X2
55%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.87
No
52%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 0.91 = 2.27
Over 1.5
67%1.36
Over 2.5
42%2.15
Over 3.5
23%4.00
Under 1.5
33%2.86
Under 2.5
58%1.61
Under 3.5
77%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'J. Isasmendi
38'L. Batista
67'
76'(Penalty missed)
82'
87'
87'
90+4'

Team Comparison

Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia
CerritoCerrito
1524Elo Rating 1493
1.06Attack 1.68
1.72Defense 1.56
23%Hit Rate 34%

Game State Tendencies

Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CerritoCerrito
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia4Wins · 57%
Draws114%
CerritoCerrito2Wins · 29%
2.0Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Segunda División28/06/2026
CerritoPlaza Colonia
10
Segunda División10/11/2024
Plaza ColoniaCerrito
10
Segunda División20/07/2024
CerritoPlaza Colonia
01
Segunda División30/03/2024
Plaza ColoniaCerrito
12
Primera División - Apertura26/06/2022
Plaza ColoniaCerrito
30
Primera División - Apertura04/06/2022
CerritoPlaza Colonia
11
Primera División - Apertura12/06/2021
CerritoPlaza Colonia
12

Recent Form

Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia
5W3D2L
30/09/2026
Defensor SportingPlaza Colonia
01
W
27/09/2026
AtenasPlaza Colonia
00
D
19/09/2026
Plaza ColoniaPaysandu
11
D
16/09/2026
RentistasPlaza Colonia
21
L
12/09/2026
Sportivo HuracanPlaza Colonia
12
W
08/09/2026
Plaza ColoniaUruguay Montevideo
10
W
31/08/2026
OrientalPlaza Colonia
20
L
26/08/2026
Plaza ColoniaCerro Largo
21
W
22/08/2026
Plaza ColoniaColón
11
D
16/08/2026
FenixPlaza Colonia
14
W
CerritoCerrito
3W3D4L
27/09/2026
CerritoLa Luz
12
L
24/09/2026
WanderersCerrito
13
W
20/09/2026
CerritoCA River Plate
11
D
13/09/2026
AtenasCerrito
00
D
10/09/2026
CerroCerrito
02
W
05/09/2026
CerritoPaysandu
12
L
02/09/2026
CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
02
L
29/08/2026
Sportivo HuracanCerrito
21
L
22/08/2026
CerritoUruguay Montevideo
30
W
14/08/2026
CerritoOriental
11
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WLWWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DWWLD
3FenixFenix632113:7+611DWLDW
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310DLWWD
5ColónColón62318:5+39DLWWD
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19LWWDD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17LWLDL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WWLDD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64WDWLD
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74DLLDD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas25135735:23+1244WDWLD
2RentistasRentistas25117734:27+740LWWDD
3ColónColón25116829:27+239DLWWD
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia25108731:25+638DWWLD
5PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2597937:32+534DLLDD
7OrientalOriental25810734:30+434WLWWW
8CerritoCerrito25810732:29+334DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz2597924:27-334LWLDL
10FenixFenix25710828:30-231DWLDW
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan25871025:33-831DLWWD
12MiramarMiramar2579926:31-530WWLDD
13TacuaremboTacuarembo25681119:28-926DDLLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2535:2344
2RentistasRentistas2534:2740
3ColónColón2529:2739
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2531:2538
5PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2537:3234
7OrientalOriental2534:3034
8CerritoCerrito2532:2934
9La LuzLa Luz2524:2734
10FenixFenix2528:3031
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2525:3331
12MiramarMiramar2526:3130
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2519:2826
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Plaza Colonia and Cerrito in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Plaza Colonia are 2nd and Cerrito 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Plaza Colonia 9-2, Cerrito 8-8. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cerrito have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.