Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Prediction

Cerro Porteno
2-2
After Penalties
HT 2-2AET 0-0PEN 5-3
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Estadio Defensores del Chaco 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Cerro Porteno Rest
4 days
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Rest
4 days

Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: the result in context

Cerro Porteno beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo on penalties (5-3) after a 2-2 draw in the Copa Paraguay on 14 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cerro Porteno had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 1. Cerro Porteno tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.3 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.36
X
17%4.60
2
10%6.50
Double Chance
1X
90%1.09
X2
27%2.80
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'G. Gerzel
17'L. A. Quintana Rodriguez
18'G. Gerzel
24'B. Riveros
45+1'S. Araujo
46'K. Fernandez INT. Paredes out
57'S. Salcedo INM. Ferreira out
63'G. Gerzel INA. Alvarez out
66'D. Rodriguez INF. Dominguez out
66'S. Araujo INJ. Torres out
69'B. Riveros INA. G. Benitez out
78'L. Merolla INI. Aliseda out
78'I. Ramirez INA. D. Canete Torres out
79'
79'
80'F. Aragon INB. Pinatares out

Penalty Shootout5 - 3

1I. Aliseda(Penalty)
1J. Barrios(Penalty)
2(Penalty)
2(Penalty missed)
3(Penalty)
3(Penalty)
4(Penalty)
4(Penalty)
5(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
1614Elo Rating 1378
1.86Attack 1.36
1.53Defense 1.37
34%Hit Rate 0%
14.6Shots per Game 12.7
5.9Shots on Target 3.5
7.8Corners per Game 4.3
1.0Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+236 Elo
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno3Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura16/08/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
Division Profesional - Apertura29/03/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
20
Division Profesional - Apertura28/01/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoCerro Porteno
24

Recent Form

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
6W2D2L
11/10/2026
Sportivo LuquenoCerro Porteno
03
W
06/10/2026
Cerro Porteno2 de Mayo
02
L
01/10/2026
Cerro PortenoRubio NU
21
W
27/09/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseCerro Porteno
21
L
19/09/2026
Cerro PortenoRubio NU
10
W
12/09/2026
Club GuaraniCerro Porteno
11
D
07/09/2026
Cerro PortenoNacional Asuncion
10
W
03/09/2026
Deportivo RecoletaCerro Porteno
13
W
30/08/2026
Cerro PortenoLibertad Asuncion
11
D
27/08/2026
ResistenciaCerro Porteno
01
W
Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
1W3D6L
10/10/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoSportivo Trinidense
11
D
03/10/2026
Club GuaraniClub Sp. San Lorenzo
11
D
28/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
00
D
23/09/2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo4 de Mayo
21
W
20/09/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoOlimpia
03
L
11/09/2026
Sportivo AmelianoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
L
05/09/2026
Club Sp. San Lorenzo2 de Mayo
12
L
01/09/2026
Rubio NUClub Sp. San Lorenzo
31
L
28/08/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoNacional Asuncion
03
L
24/08/2026
Libertad AsuncionClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
4 de Mayo3
Fulgencio Yegros2
Independiente F.b.c.1
Sportivo Ameliano0
29 de Setiembre12
Club Sp. San Lorenzo14
On penalties
Sportivo Iteno2
Club Guarani1
1 de Marzo Pilar2
Atlético Tembetary3
Benjamín Aceval0
Nacional Asuncion2
Deportivo Obrero0
Fernando De La Mora3
Paraguari AC0
Sportivo Luqueno2
Humaitá1
2 de Mayo4
Tacuary03
Libertad Asuncion04
On penalties
General Caballero22
Rubio NU24
On penalties
SOL DE America2
Sportivo Trinidense1
Cristóbal Colón JAS3
Olimpia5
Guairena FC3
12 de Octubre2
Resistencia0
Cerro Porteno1
2 de Mayo0
SOL DE America4
Club Sp. San Lorenzo2
4 de Mayo1
Fernando De La Mora12
Libertad Asuncion13
On penalties
Atlético Tembetary2
Sportivo Iteno0
Deportivo Recoleta3
Guairena FC1
Independiente F.b.c.24
Nacional Asuncion23
On penalties
Cerro Porteno2
Rubio NU1
Olimpia12
Sportivo Luqueno14
On penalties
Atlético Tembetary2
SOL DE America3
Sportivo Luqueno-
Deportivo Recoleta-
28/10/2026
Atlético Tembetary2
SOL DE America3
Sportivo Luqueno-
Deportivo Recoleta-
28/10/2026

About the Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo forecast

As a knockout tie in the Copa Paraguay, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Paraguay

More Copa Paraguay fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Paraguay Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cerro Porteno have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.