Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Jupiler Pro LeagueBelgium Belgium · Regular Season - 3
Charleroi
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
KV Mechelen
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi·Jan Boterberg, Belgium 22/08/2026
CharleroiCharleroi
2-0
Finished
KV MechelenKV Mechelen

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.23
SignalSTRONGModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Charleroi Rest
5 days
KV Mechelen Rest
5 days

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen: result, form and history

Charleroi beat KV Mechelen 2-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charleroi had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for KV Mechelen.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.75
X
24%3.67
2
19%4.33
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
43%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.70
No
42%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 1.03 = 2.89
Over 1.5
82%1.23
Over 2.5
57%1.78
Over 3.5
31%2.90
Under 1.5
18%3.85
Under 2.5
43%2.02
Under 3.5
69%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.41
Over 9.5
49%1.68
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.70
Under 9.5
51%2.08
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
45%1.76
Over 4.5
28%2.50
Under 3.5
55%1.95
Under 4.5
72%1.43

Match Events

35'A. OusouAssist: P. Pflucke
62'P. Pflucke INF. Mbemba out
65'M. Lohunanu-Mbasi INB. Bafdili out
66'B. Raman INS. Ayodele out
74'A. Boukamir INI. Cisse out
74'A. Scheidler INA. Colassin out
76'C. Van Meirvenne INK. Vanrafelghem out
76'D. Praet INM. Kireev out
77'K. Van Den KerkhofAssist: A. Colassin
88'A. Bernier INM. Sow out
88'M. Nzita INA. Bojang out

Match Stats

CharleroiKV Mechelen
60%Ball Possession40%
3Corner Kicks2
12Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
8Fouls15
0Goalkeeper Saves2
575Total Passes385
476Passes Accurate293
83%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

CharleroiCharleroi
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
1693Elo Rating 1594
1.94Attack 2.67
1.49Defense 2.04
58%Hit Rate 86%
15.4Shots per Game 11.2
6.0Shots on Target 4.8
4.9Corners per Game 3.7
3.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CharleroiCharleroi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CharleroiCharleroi3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
KV MechelenKV Mechelen5Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League07/12/2025
KV MechelenCharleroi
10
Cup04/12/2025
CharleroiKV Mechelen
20
Jupiler Pro League28/09/2025
CharleroiKV Mechelen
02
Jupiler Pro League18/05/2025
KV MechelenCharleroi
11
Jupiler Pro League19/04/2025
CharleroiKV Mechelen
30
Jupiler Pro League08/03/2025
CharleroiKV Mechelen
01
Jupiler Pro League31/08/2024
KV MechelenCharleroi
52
Jupiler Pro League27/12/2023
CharleroiKV Mechelen
31
Jupiler Pro League11/11/2023
KV MechelenCharleroi
10
Jupiler Pro League05/02/2023
KV MechelenCharleroi
22

Recent Form

CharleroiCharleroi
4W3D3L
16/08/2026
Lommel UnitedCharleroi
01
W
09/08/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
31
W
01/08/2026
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
23
L
25/07/2026
CharleroiSeraing United
21
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
17/07/2026
FeyenoordCharleroi
31
L
11/07/2026
CharleroiReims
22
D
23/05/2026
Standard LiegeCharleroi
02
W
19/05/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
11
D
16/05/2026
CharleroiKVC Westerlo
01
L
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
3W3D4L
16/08/2026
KV MechelenStandard Liege
33
D09/08/2026
GentKV Mechelen
20
L
01/08/2026
KV MechelenDunkerque
00
D
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
L
18/07/2026
KV MechelenADO Den Haag
23
L
15/07/2026
HeistKV Mechelen
01
W
11/07/2026
Sporting HasseltKV Mechelen
12
W
04/07/2026
KV MechelenRupel Boom
30
W
24/05/2026
St. TruidenKV Mechelen
30
L
21/05/2026
KV MechelenClub Brugge KV
22
D

Referee Profile

Jan Boterberg152 matches

3.89Cards per match
3.68Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jan Boterberg3.89
Other referees4.22

3.89 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 133 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
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About the Charleroi vs KV Mechelen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Charleroi and KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Charleroi are 4th and KV Mechelen 11th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Charleroi 26-13, KV Mechelen 13-20. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

KV Mechelen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.