Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Charleroi
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
KV Mechelen
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi· Jan Boterberg, Belgium 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.23
SignalSOLIDModel60%RiskMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.73
SignalGOODModel57%RiskMediumGap+6.7%
Charleroi Rest
5 days
KV Mechelen Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.75
X
24%3.67
2
19%4.33
Double Chance
1X
81%1.20
X2
43%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.70
No
42%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 1.03 = 2.89
Over 1.5
82%1.23
Over 2.5
57%1.78
Over 3.5
31%2.90
Under 1.5
18%3.85
Under 2.5
43%2.02
Under 3.5
69%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.41
Over 9.5
49%1.68
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.70
Under 9.5
51%2.08
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
45%1.76
Over 4.5
28%2.50
Under 3.5
55%1.95
Under 4.5
72%1.43

Match Events

35'A. OusouAssist: P. Pflucke
62'P. Pflucke INF. Mbemba out
65'M. Lohunanu-Mbasi INB. Bafdili out
66'B. Raman INS. Ayodele out
74'A. Boukamir INI. Cisse out
74'A. Scheidler INA. Colassin out
76'C. Van Meirvenne INK. Vanrafelghem out
76'D. Praet INM. Kireev out
77'K. Van Den KerkhofAssist: A. Colassin
88'A. Bernier INM. Sow out
88'M. Nzita INA. Bojang out

Match Stats

CharleroiKV Mechelen
61%Ball Possession39%
2Corner Kicks1
9Total Shots3
2Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box2
3Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots1
5Fouls9
0Goalkeeper Saves1
465Total Passes294
390Passes Accurate226
84%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

CharleroiCharleroi
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
1727Elo Rating 1528
1.78Attack 0.81
2.12Defense 0.67
77%Hit Rate 0%
16.5Shots per Game 12.0
4.5Shots on Target 3.1
4.9Corners per Game 5.9
1.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+198 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals

Game State Tendencies

CharleroiCharleroi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 40% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Charleroi 37%Draw 17%46% KV Mechelen
1.87Avg Goals
17%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CharleroiCharleroi
3W1D1L
16/08/2026
Lommel UnitedCharleroi
01
W
09/08/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
31
W
01/08/2026
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
23
L
25/07/2026
CharleroiSeraing United
21
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
KV MechelenKV Mechelen
0W2D3L
16/08/2026
KV MechelenStandard Liege
33
D
09/08/2026
GentKV Mechelen
20
L
01/08/2026
KV MechelenDunkerque
00
D
25/07/2026
Willem IIKV Mechelen
10
L
18/07/2026
KV MechelenADO Den Haag
23
L

Referee Profile

Jan Boterberg, Belgium · 11 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
23.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 36% of referees analysed

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise651019:3+1616WWWWD
2GentGent651011:3+816DWWWW
3Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV650112:3+915WWLWW
4CharleroiCharleroi650112:5+715WLWWW
5Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem632110:4+611LWDWD
6Standard LiegeStandard Liege632112:10+211LWWWD
7AnderlechtAnderlecht63124:5-110WDWLL
8SK BeverenSK Beveren63037:10-39WWLLW
9GenkGenk623113:9+49DDWDW
10St. TruidenSt. Truiden622212:10+28LWLWD
11AntwerpAntwerp621311:13-27LLLDW
12Lommel UnitedLommel United62136:8-27LLWWL
13KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo621313:16-37WWDLL
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière61147:12-54WLDLL
15Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge60336:11-53DLLLD
16KV MechelenKV Mechelen60245:14-92LLDLD
17OH LeuvenOH Leuven60153:13-101DLLLL
18KortrijkKortrijk60061:15-140LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise619:316
2GentGent611:316
3Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV612:315
4CharleroiCharleroi612:515
5Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem610:411
6Standard LiegeStandard Liege612:1011
7AnderlechtAnderlecht64:510
8SK BeverenSK Beveren67:109
9GenkGenk613:99
10St. TruidenSt. Truiden612:108
11AntwerpAntwerp611:137
12Lommel UnitedLommel United66:87
13KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo613:167
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière67:124
15Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge66:113
16KV MechelenKV Mechelen65:142
17OH LeuvenOH Leuven63:131
18KortrijkKortrijk61:150
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Charleroi vs KV Mechelen Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Jupiler Pro League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Jupiler Pro League

ScorePredicts covers Belgium football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Charleroi and KV Mechelen have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.87 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.